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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: September 10, 2012

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Cloudy with some sunny breaks today and partly cloudy tonight. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will occur mainly along the coast this morning, inland after mid-morning and in the south tonight.
Advisories: ** Small craft caution for gusty winds and locally rough seas near the heavier showers and thunderstorms**
24-hour forecast: East at 5-15 knots. Becoming gusty near heavier showers and thunderstorms.
Winds: East at 5-15 knots.
Marine Forecast: Today: Winds: East 5-15 kts.; Seas: Choppy (locally rough); Waves: 3-5ft.; a few showers and isolated thunderstorms. Outlook: Tuesday night:- Winds: East 5-15 kts.; Seas: Choppy.; Waves: 2-4 ft.; isolated showers or isolated thunderstorms.
Sea Surface Temp (°F): 84
Outlook: For Tuesday and Tuesday night is for partly cloudy skies with isolated showers or an isolated thunderstorm developing.

Tropical Weather Outlook: At 3:00am Tropical Storm Leslie was centered near 35.7°N, 61.2°W or about 870mls SSW of Cape Race Newfoundland with maximum sustained winds of 60mph and moving to the NNE at 16mph.
Click for our complete daily Tropical Weather Information

Valid: Sunday-Monday, Sep. 2-10, 2012

Greetings and best wishes! Well, here I am back from a two-week break. Hope all is well with you and let's hope all remain quiet for the rest of September in our part of the woods, which may be too much to hope for. The Tropical Atlantic ramains active with TS Leslie and the distrubance SW of the Cape Verde Islands. However, the Caribbean will be quiet for the next seven days. So it is a good time to review our Hurricane Plan and make preparations.

Here is the Weekly Outlook.

Have a beautiful Monday and wishing you much blessings!


A relatively weak pressure gradient will prevail over the western Caribbean and northern Central America during most of this working week. A shear line or weak trough will swing SE over the NW Caribbean from the central Gulf of Mexico late Wednesday and Thursday. This feature is forecast to trigger off some outbreaks of showers and thunderstorms especially over coastal areas and southern districts of Belize.

Otherwise, the weather will remain generally sunny, hot and humid this week and into the upcoming weekend. No tropical cyclone is expected to form or move into the Caribbean region during the next seven days. So, as we move into the historical peak of the North Atlantic Basin hurricane season, conditions across the Caribbean will remain disturbingly quiet. Nevertheless, we must remain vigilant for the latter part of September and the month of October, when the preferred area for tropical cyclone formation shifts to the western Caribbean.

Rainfall rates will be in the range of 0.01-0.10 of-an-inch on Sunday, Monday, Tuesday and most of Wednesday. Daily rainfall rates will be on the increase, especially along the coast and southern areas from Wednesday night through Friday, ranging from 0.50-0.75 of-an-inch. Over the weekend, daily rainfall rates will range from 0.10-0.25 of-an-inch over most districts.

CLICK HERE for the full Belize Weekly Weather Report

Current Caye Caulker Weather Information
Belize Hydrological & Flooding Information
Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

  High Low
Coastal 32° C
89° F
26° C
78° F
Inland 34° C
93° F
23° C
73° F
Hills 27° C
80° F
20° C
68° F
Low - 12:42 AM High - 6:37 PM
Low - 11:32 PM High - 5:50 AM (TUES.)
Sunrise - 5:40 AM Moonrise - 1:30 AM (TUES.)
Sunset - 5:59 PM Moonset - 1:55 PM

Four Day Weather Outlook:

CLICK here and here for detailed weather data

250 Km Radar Picture
(Time Label on picture is GMT. Local time is GMT-6 Hours)

Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,675
[Linked Image]
Despite the ominous sunrise on Ambergris Caye this morning Its going to be a beautiful day with an expected high of 89.
The wind is ESE at 10mph and the sea is choppy.

White Sands Dive Shop
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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oh my GAWD what a pic.... beautiful....

Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 834
Gorgeous photo, elbert! Hate that I slept til 7:15 and missed it.

Former Belize expat traveling the USA & Mexico
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Valid: Monday-Monday, Sep. 10-17, 2012


Here is the Weekly Outlook. It will continue unseasonally dry this working week. Very unsual. Not a tropical wave in the Caribbean at the moment. Some thunderstorms noted around T & T and the ABC Islands..

The Caribbbean will continue remarkably quiet this week except in the SW where moisture will concentrate around mid week, but will move inland over Nicaragua/Honduras by Thursday and Friday.

Have a fine week!


An upper level low near northern Yucatan this morning is forecast to drift SE into the NW Caribbean over the next 24-36 hours and gradually dissipate. This feature will continue to support a few showers and some thunderstorms over and offshore Belize through Tuesday. A weak low pressure system will develop over the extreme NW Caribbean and Belize on Wednesday, but the lack of moisture and unfavorable environmental conditions will not support much convective activity with this system. Otherwise, an east to east-northeasterly airflow will prevail across Belize during this working week through the upcoming weekend, associated with a weak pressure pattern over the NW Caribbean.

Convergence of moisture is forecast in the SW Caribbean east of NE Nicaragua and Honduras in association with a surge in the low level easterly jet around and after mid week. However, organization of this disturbance is not expected as it moves over land across northern Nicaragua and Honduras by Thursday and Friday.

No tropical cyclone is expected to form or move into the Caribbean region during the next seven days. September 10th marks the historical peak of the North Atlantic Hurricane season. In the Atlantic we have tropical storm Leslie heading toward Newfoundland, while hurricane Michael is located in the central Atlantic west of the Azores, heading westwards. A tropical disturbance is located midway between the Caribbean and the Cape Verde Islands. This system has a 90 % chance of becoming a tropical cyclone over the next 48 hours as it drifts WNW at 15 to 20 mph. The forecast track has this disturbance veering NW away from the Caribbean. So, the Caribbean will remain remarkably quiet over the next seven days. Nevertheless, we must remain vigilant as we move into the latter part of September and the month of October, when the preferential areas for tropical cyclone formation shifts to the western Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico.

Rainfall rates over Belize will be in the range of 0.50-0.75 of-an-inch on Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday in the heavier showers and thunderstorms, especially along the coast and in the South. Daily rainfall rates will decrease on Wednesday through the weekend, with daily accumulations of only 0.10-0.25 of-an-inch in locally isolated showers or isolated thunderstorms, especially in the interior and in the hills. Rainfall will be minimal elsewhere during this period.

CLICK HERE for the full Belize Weekly Weather Report

Joined: Oct 2001
Posts: 6,267
I was up for that same sunrise today --- it inspired me to run out to the dock to soak it up!

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Here's some photos Diane took as the sunrise yesterday went along....

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