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Belize Weather Forecast: May 15, 2015 #504247
05/15/15 05:01 AM
05/15/15 05:01 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 73,302
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: May 15, 2015

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Warm, fair and mostly dry conditions exist.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells today and partly cloudy skies tonight, sunny with cloudy spells tomorrow. Showers will be isolated along with the chance of an isolated thunderstorm developing over the south tonight.
Winds: East 10-20 knots.
Marine Forecast:
Today: Winds: East 10-20 kt; seas: Choppy - moderate; waves: 3-5 ft; only isolated showers.
Tomorrow: Winds: E-SE 10-20 kt with occasional higher gusts; seas: Moderate-rough *Small craft caution*; waves: 4-5 ft; only isolated showers.
Marine Outlook: (Saturday night) Winds: E-SE 10-20 kt with occasional higher gusts; seas: Moderate-rough *Small craft caution*; waves: 4-5 ft; only isolated showers.
Sea Surface Temp (°F): 82
General Outlook: (Sat and Sat night ) Continuing mainly fair with only isolated showers.

Tropical Weather Outlook: The 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season begins June 1
Click for our daily Tropical Weather Report

Current Conditions and weather history for Ambergris Caye / San Pedro
Wind & weather forecast for Ambergris Caye / San Pedro: Great information for sailors...
Caribbean winds site: An animated map of Caribbean wind and weather. Click for a green circle or position, showing the exact location longitude and latitude, temp and wind speed.
Current Caye Caulker Weather Information
Belize Hydrological & Flooding Information
Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

  High Low
Coastal 31° C
87° F
27° C
81° F
Inland 35° C
95° F
24° C
75° F
Hills 28° C
82° F
20° C
68° F
High - 7:33 AM Low - 2:13 PM
High - 8:40 PM Low - 1:59 AM (SAT.)
Sunrise - 5:21 AM Moonset - 4:02 PM
Sunset - 6:18 PM Moonrise - 4:07 AM (SAT.)

CLICK here and here for detailed local weather data

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: May 15, 2015 [Re: Marty] #504260
05/15/15 06:20 AM
05/15/15 06:20 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,138
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
elbert  Offline
[Linked Image]
On Ambergris Caye this morning its windy and choppy. The Eastern wind has brought back our old friend Mr. Sargasso. The expected high is 87.

White Sands Dive Shop
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: May 15, 2015 [Re: Marty] #504261
05/15/15 06:23 AM
05/15/15 06:23 AM
Joined: Oct 2007
Posts: 1,190
bobcat bill Offline
bobcat bill  Offline

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: May 15, 2015 [Re: Marty] #504264
05/15/15 07:41 AM
05/15/15 07:41 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 73,302
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP

As of right now, the GFS model remains the only piece of guidance that is consistently hinting at either an enhanced area of disturbed weather or tropical cyclone development to begin just southwest of Jamaica towards the end of next week. The GFS model forecasts that this disturbed weather could hang around the western Caribbean and the Bahamas right through the end of this month. None of the other global models are showing tropical development over the next 7 to 10 days. Given that the overall weather pattern, as I have mentioned before, does support tropical mischief, it is something to keep an eye on over the next week or two. It should be noted that the GFS model was the first to pick out the potential for Ana to form. On the other hand, however, the GFS model is notorious for spitting out phantom storms that never develop and this could be very well the case here.

Across the southwestern, central and perhaps even the western Caribbean where the GFS model guidance has been very consistent in forecasting the development of widespread disturbed weather across this region starting between Wednesday and Friday of next week and continuing through the week of May 25th. It looks like the upward motion pulse (wet phase) of the Madden Julian Oscillation is forecast to move into the Caribbean next week. This wet phase of the Madden Julian Oscillation will help to facilitate and support robust thunderstorm development across the western half of the Atlantic Basin. The latest data hints that the upward motion pulse may hang on right through the end of this month and possibly into early June.

I think the chance for tropical development between May 20th and May 31st is very low right now, this is going to be something I will be watching and will keep you updated on the latest.

Crown Weather

From Belmopan...

The weather is changing around us right now. I am guessing at present, that we will have significant rains in the next 2 - 3 weeks. We still have the NW high clouds from north Mexico clashing with the easterly Caribbean winds, which may have given southern Toledo rain over night. But now the SW Pacific winds from near Panama are streaming up over the Caribbean and significant ITCZ activity down over the sea to the south of Panama.

I expect today over Belize to be fairly similar to yesterday, a fair bit of cloud and sun, possibly the odd rain shower, more so down south.

Temperatures in Belmopan:
Today is probably going to be Similar, to yesterday : Wed, max 33°C 92°F Last night min 24°C 75°F ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: May 15, 2015 [Re: Marty] #504267
05/15/15 12:06 PM
05/15/15 12:06 PM
Joined: Nov 2000
Posts: 5,556
Birdland - 1 mile north
ScubaLdy Offline
ScubaLdy  Offline
OMG - look at that beach erosion! Elbert - that stinky stuff is not an old friend of mine. I think you should 'unfriend' him.

Take only pictures leave only bubbles

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