Belize Weather Forecast: June 18, 2017 General Situation: Belize NMS: A broad low pressure center east of the northern part of Belize supports moist and unstable conditions over the area. Advisories: **Residents living near rivers and streams and along low lying areas are advised to be on the alert for flash floods and localised flooding.** **Small craft caution for gusty winds near heavy showers and thunderstorms.** 24-hour forecast: Cloudy with some showers, periods of rain and a few thunderstorms over most areas today and tomorrow. Winds: East-Northeast | 5-15 kts, Gusty Sea Surface Temp (°F): 84 General Outlook: Some showers, periods of rain and thunderstorms over most areas, especially south Monday night into Tuesday morning. Daily Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical Weather Outlook Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, Caribbean sea or Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours. Marine Conditions:   Winds Seas Waves Details Today E-NE 10-20 kts Choppy-Moderate 3-5 ft SOME SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. Tonight S-SE 10-20 kts Moderate-Rough 5-7 ft SOME SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. Tomorrow S-SE 10-20 kts Rough 6-8 ft SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. Outlook S-SE 10-20 kts Rough 6-8 ft SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook Current Conditions and weather history for Ambergris Caye / San Pedro Current Caye Caulker Weather Information Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO) Windfinder forecast for Ambergris Caye & San Pedro   High Low Coastal 30° C 86° F 25° C 77° F Inland 33° C 92° F 24° C 76° F Hills 25° C 77° F 19° C 67° F TIDES: Low: 11:17 AM AM High: 4:49 PM Low: 11:07 PM High: 5:25 AM (Mon.) Sunrise: 5:19 AM Moonset: 1:04 PM Sunset: 6:29 PM Moonrise: 1:22 AM (Mon.) CLICK here and here for detailed local weather data

On Ambergris Caye this morning it feels like the rainy season has finally arrived. We have a flat calm sea with no breeze and scattered showers. The expected high is 86 f.

From Belmopan...

The ITCZ type of activity in the western Caribbean intensified over night. A Caribbean weather front crossed over Belize late yesterday, causing conflicts with higher level cloud, and patches of rain in many parts of Belize over night, but not Belmopan. The present activity in the Caribbean is causing odd air flows, the mornings heavy clouds are coming in from the WNW. There was a very large ITCZ swell up just off the Honduras coast, that is now massive and moved into the Caribbean, presently it is dying down, but there is the potential for it to develop into a storm. Wunderground are calling it and the general Caribbean as " Windwards, Gulf of Mexico Watching Two Tropical Waves " It and the general weather over Central America and the western Caribbean is rather disturbed, there is a low pressure in the area. At this moment, no indication of a storm developing, but it must be watched.

Looks as if today is going to be very variable and rather unpredictable, heavy cloud at times, some sunshine and the ever present risk of rain.

Temperatures in Belmopan :
( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Sat max. 31°C 88°F Last night min. 24°C 75°F

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/q/locid:BHXX0104;loctype:1
Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=MD1029#history
Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IBELIZED2#history

From Belmopan...

That weather area they are talking about, is now moving towards the NW, over Cuba into the Gulf. It is not having any significant effect on our weather, except we are in the low pressure area, so some cloud coming down from it over the Yucatan. We have had a small ITCZ swell-up over central Belize, there have been small patches of rain in many isolated parts of Belize for much of the day, and continuing, probably through the night.

"We continue to monitor a low pressure center around 60 miles east of the northern coast of Belize. This system has been designated Invest 93L and will track off to the northwest passing near the northeastern portion of the Yucatan Peninsula later today and tonight before entering the southern Gulf of Mexico tomorrow. The National Hurricane Center has tentatively scheduled an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft to investigate Invest 93L Monday.

Invest 93L is currently located just off the coast of northern Belize and is a relatively broad and weak 1007-mb low pressure center. Current satellite imagery continues to show robust but disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity in association with Invest 93L. This thunderstorm activity will continue to bring downpours today and tonight to portions of Belize, the Yucatan Peninsula, western Cuba and northern Honduras. Invest 93L will drift northwestward over the next 24 hours, passing over or very near to the northeastern corner of the Yucatan Peninsula tonight before entering the southern Gulf of Mexico tomorrow. At this point, once Invest 93L is pulling away from the land mass of the Yucatan and into the sufficiently warm waters of the southern Gulf of Mexico, further development and organization will be increasingly likely. Strong shear that has been plaguing the Gulf is projected to weaken somewhat across the central and eastern Gulf over the next day or two. This lessening shear, combined with very warm sea-surface temperatures, will give Invest 93L an opportunity to strengthen and organize over the next day or two."

The other tropical disturbance, Invest 92-L, which is located about 800 miles to the east-southeast of the southern Lesser Antilles has become better organized today.

Invest 92-L is forecast to quickly move west to west-northwestward and will move directly over the southern Lesser Antilles and Barbados during Monday night and Tuesday with 50 to 60 mph winds, squalls of heavy rainfall and very hazardous marine conditions.

Once this system moves into the eastern Caribbean, it is expected to encounter very strong southerly wind shear and rapid weakening and dissipation is expected by Wednesday.