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#525339 - 08/21/17 11:48 AM Re: Tropical Storm Harvey forms, bears watching [Re: Marty]  
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 55,631
Marty Offline
Marty  Offline
Crown Weather:

Remnants Of Harvey Located Over The Northwestern Caribbean: The remnants of Harvey is pushing into the northwestern Caribbean and is expected to cross the Yucatan Peninsula during the day on Tuesday before moving into the Bay of Campeche on Wednesday. Satellite imagery indicates that there is deep thunderstorm activity firing around Invest 92-L, however, this thunderstorm activity is disorganized. The reason why the thunderstorm activity is disorganized is due to the fact that there is 20-30 knots of shear located just north and east of Invest 92-L and this stronger shear is likely not allowing Harvey to organize more than what's trying to right now.

There is still a possibility that Harvey could regenerate before it reaches Belize and the southern Yucatan Peninsula on Tuesday, however, I think that there is a greater chance that the marginally favorable environmental conditions wont allow for regeneration over the next 24 hours or so.

The remnants of Harvey will produce very heavy rainfall leading to flash flooding and mudslides across the Yucatan Peninsula and Belize starting this afternoon and continuing through tonight and Tuesday. In addition, wind gusts of up to 40-50 mph and rough seas can also be expected across Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula this afternoon through tonight and Tuesday.

I don't think we will see Harvey become a tropical storm again until it reaches the Bay of Campeche on Wednesday.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook: click here

#525341 - 08/21/17 01:34 PM Re: Tropical Storm Harvey forms, bears watching [Re: Marty]  
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 55,631
Marty Offline
Marty  Offline
At 12 p.m. local time, Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased today in association with the remnants of Harvey, but the system still lacks a well-defined center of circulation. Some development of this disturbance is still possible before it reaches the coast of Belize or the Yucatan Peninsula early Tuesday. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are likely to spread westward across Honduras, Belize, and the Yucatan Peninsula during the next couple of days. The possibility of flash-flooding and localised flooding continues to be a threat and residents in Belize are advised to monitor the progress of this system closely and to stay tuned to official updates from NEMO and the National Meteorological Service.

#525343 - 08/21/17 01:37 PM Re: Tropical Storm Harvey forms, bears watching [Re: Marty]  
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 55,631
Marty Offline
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NEMO Advisory #2 :REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY APPROACHING BELIZE

The National Emergency Management Organization in collaboration with the National Meteorological Service hereby informs the public that remnants of Tropical Storm Harvey is expected to cross over the country tomorrow Tuesday 22 August, 2017. There is still a chance for redevelopment before it reaches our coastline. We can expect wind gusts, heavy rainfall and squally conditions.

The public is advised to take actions to protect life and property. If you are exposed to bad weather conditions make the necessary arrangements to lessen the impact on your home and family.

Fishers and seagoing members of the public are advised to take the necessary precautions to reduce injury and loss of life.

Farmers are encouraged to attend to their crops and animals to reduce losses.

Drivers are always reminded to drive with extreme caution.

#525344 - 08/21/17 01:37 PM Re: Tropical Storm Harvey forms, bears watching [Re: Marty]  
Joined: Nov 2000
Posts: 5,441
ScubaLdy Offline
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ScubaLdy  Offline
Raining on and off sometimes hard, sometimes drizzle. Wind blasts then abates. The sky is very grey and low. Seems pretty cool but mosquitos are bad!


Harriette
Take only pictures leave only bubbles
#525347 - 08/21/17 02:00 PM Re: Tropical Storm Harvey forms, bears watching [Re: Marty]  
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 55,631
Marty Offline
Marty  Offline

Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased today in association with the remnants of Harvey, but the system still lacks a well-defined center of circulation. Some development of this disturbance is still possible before it reaches the coast of Belize or the Yucatan Peninsula early Tuesday. The system is forecast to move into the Bay of Campeche early Wednesday, where environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for redevelopment into a tropical cyclone.

Regardless of development...the wave will continue across the NW Caribbean Sea waters and portions of Central America through tonight into early Tuesday morning and move across the Yucatan peninsula Tuesday. Largest impacts at this point will be the expected rainfall and strong convection the wave and low pressure area will generate across interior portions of eastern Honduras... Guatemala...Belize...southern Mexico...and the Yucatan peninsula Monday night into Tuesday. In addition to the expected rainfall...a higher probability of flash flooding and mudslides will be an ongoing hazard across this region early in the week.


#525348 - 08/21/17 03:36 PM Re: Tropical Storm Harvey forms, bears watching [Re: Marty]  
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 55,631
Marty Offline
Marty  Offline

Latest satellite view....



#525349 - 08/21/17 04:19 PM Re: Tropical Storm Harvey forms, bears watching [Re: Marty]  
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 55,631
Marty Offline
Marty  Offline

From Belmopan...

It looks as if the heavy rain was out at sea this morning, reduced as it got to land, so there has not been heavy rain in most parts of Belize. Now most of the remaining rain is going up into the Yucatan. It looks as if the worst of it is now finishing over the next hour or so. The general area of activity has been mainly developing northwards, resulting a general movement now WNW and up over the Yucatan. We may well have significant cloud for a day or two and some more rain, but the worst appears to have now passed Belize.



#525353 - 08/22/17 05:24 AM Re: Tropical Storm Harvey forms, bears watching [Re: Marty]  
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 55,631
Marty Offline
Marty  Offline

At 3 a.m. local time, the area of disturbed weather remains disorganized. Note that lingering moisture and instability over Belize will support showers and deeper convective / thunderstorm activity during the next day or two.

- Previously, At 12 a.m. local time, satellite images showed that the large area of disturbed weather over the northwestern Caribbean Sea, associated with the remnants of Harvey has not become better organized and tropical cyclone development is not expected before the system moves inland over the Yucatan peninsula this morning. However, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development when the system moves over the Bay of Campeche tonight or early Wednesday, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday or Thursday. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected to spread westward across Belize and the Yucatan peninsula during the next day or so.




TS Harvey Dissipates, Will Dump Rain On Belize, Yucatan

Tropical Storm Harvey had everyone on edge last week. Many people were pretty much preparing for the worst because Friday's weather report had stated that the storm was moving west at 21 miles per hour with maximum winds of 40 miles per hour. So if you were wondering what happened to Harvey, well over the weekend the storm dissipated and it is now only a tropical wave. But don't get happy too fast, this wave will still bring a lot of rain. In fact, the showers started this afternoon and according to Acting Deputy Chief Meteorologist Derrick Rudon, the rains will continue later on tonight and tomorrow morning. Here is Rudon with more on the Tropical wave formerly known as Harvey.

Derrick Rudon, Acting Deputy Chief Meteorologist
"Harvey was heading towards Belize basically all the forecast was pointing it directly at us fortunately it dissipated over the South Central Caribbean and it is down now to a Tropical wave so at present the remnants of Harvey is still heading towards us."

"We will still be affected by it, we will get rains definitely and gusty winds in the showers."

Courtney Weatherburne, reporter
"What areas? I overheard you guys saying mostly in the South, people in the South are already being affected?"

Derrick Rudon, Acting Deputy Chief Meteorologist
"Well it is going to be the whole country the coast at first, we expect Northern areas this afternoon and possibly the South tonight so the whole country will get rain and we know the south floods easily they tend to have flash flooding but all areas can expect heavy rainfall and some low lying areas there is the possibility of flooding."

Again those living in low lying/flood prone areas need to be on the alert.

Channel 7


#525360 - 08/22/17 06:16 AM Re: Tropical Storm Harvey forms, bears watching [Re: Marty]  
Joined: Oct 2001
Posts: 5,847
Diane Campbell Offline
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Diane Campbell  Offline
My dog is more anxious today than during the thunder ........ wonder what he's picking up on.

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