AmbergrisCaye.com Home Forums Talk Belize Weather Previous Days Weather Belize Weather Forecast: October 6, 2017

Belize Weather Forecast: October 6, 2017 General Situation: Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post! Belize NMS: Tropical Storm Nate over the NW Caribbean sea moving north-northwestward towards NE Yucatan. Advisories: Small craft caution for gusty winds near heavy showers and thunderstorms and for possible large swells. There is the potential for localised flooding over low lying areas and for flash flooding near rivers in the south. 24-hour forecast: Mostly cloudy today with some showers or thunderstorms over the open sea, and isolated showers or thunderstorms elsewhere. Cloudy at times tonight a few showers or thunderstorms mainly over the south and some coastal areas. Winds: Northeast | 5-15 kts Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85 General Outlook: Partly cloudy with isolated showers or thunderstorms on saturday, then a few showers or thunderstorms develop over some coastal areas Saturday night. Daily Tropical Weather Outlook: At 3:00am Tropical Storm Nate was centered near latitude 16.9N, longitude 85.1W or about 60 miles ENE of Isla Guanaja, Honduras. Nate was moving to the NNW at 14 mph with maximum sustained winds of 45 mph. Marine Conditions:   Winds Seas Waves Details Today W-NW 10-20 kts Moderate-Rough 4-7 ft SOME SHOWERS, LIGHT RAIN AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MOSTLY NORTH. Tonight W-SW 5-15 kts Choppy 3-5 ft A FEW SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. Tomorrow S-SE 5-15 kts Choppy 3-5 ft ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. Outlook SE 10-20 kts Choppy-Moderate 4-6 ft A FEW SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook Current Conditions and weather history for Ambergris Caye / San Pedro Current Caye Caulker Weather Information Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO) Windfinder forecast for Ambergris Caye & San Pedro   High Low Coastal 29° C 85° F 25° C 77° F Inland 31° C 88° F 22° C 72° F Hills 26° C 79° F 20° C 68° F TIDES: High: 10:27 AM Low: 4:17 PM High: 10:24 PM Low: 4:53 AM (Sat) Sunrise: 5:44 AM Moonset: 6:29 AM Sunset: 5:38 PM Moonrise: 6:41 PM CLICK here and here for detailed local weather data

On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a flat calm sea with a breeze from the NW. The island got rain last night and this morning I think we're seeing the back side of a passing storm.

From Belmopan...

I am now coming to believe there are two types of Tropical Storms, the conventional, circular rotating mass of cloud, the centre rotating faster as you get in closer to the eye-wall, and the other type is a collection of loosely linked ITCZ type spell-ups. That is what "Harvey" was, as it crossed over the Caribbean from east to west, but when it turned north, the Coriolis effects starts to kick in and cause the rotation to intensify and pull everything to form a more conventional circular storm. This is what TS NATE is at present, but as it moves northwards, it can tighten up, and if over warm water, can intensify.

TS NATE is at present, starting to pass Belize to the east, in the Caribbean. It already is resulting in wind direction changes over Belize and cloud changes. The surface wind is from the SW, rather like the "Tiger" wind, the normal easterly cloud, is now from the WNW, at least near Belmopan. The high level cloud is being thrown out from Nate, from the east. This causing a lot of rain, presently out at sea, and that is moving down, from the north. All rather complex, but at present, not really causing any significant adverse weather to Belize.

Looks like today will be mainly cloudy, some rain is expected, presently no indication of when.

The regular cloud over Belize is from the WNW as a result of this Storm, which is putting out high level cloud from the east, as it moves northwards. It is a collection of many individual Swell-ups, and a more concentrated central swell-up. Presently these are causing rain out at sea. Apart from cloud movement directions being different, it does not look as if there will be any significant in pact to Belize as it passes.

Temperatures in Belmopan :
( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Thu max. 28°C 82°F Last night min. 24°C 75°F

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/q/locid:BHXX0104;loctype:1
Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=MD1029#history
Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IBELIZED2#history