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Belize Weather Forecast: October 28, 2017 General Situation: Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post! Belize NMS: A slight increase in moisture is expected later today. Advisories: None. 24-hour forecast: Mostly cloudy with a few showers and possible isolated thunderstorms mainly inland and south this afternoon and over southern coastal areas tonight. Winds: Northwest | 5-15 kts Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86 General Outlook: Only light isolated showers are expected on Sunday and then a few showers and isolated thunderstorms will affect the country on Sunday night as a cold front approaches. Daily Tropical Weather Outlook: At 3:00am Potential Tropical Cyclone 18 was located near latitude 19.6N, longitude 84.2W or about 275 miles South-Southwest of Havana, Cuba. The system was moving to the North at 10mph with maximum sustained winds of 35mph. Marine Conditions:   Winds Seas Waves Details Today NW 5-15 kts Choppy-Moderate 3-5 ft A FEW SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. Tonight NW 5-15 kts Choppy 3-4 ft A FEW SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTH. Tomorrow NW 5-15 kts Choppy 3-4 ft ONLY LIGHT ISOLATED SHOWERS. Outlook N 10-20 kts Choppy-Moderate 3-5 ft A FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook Current Conditions and weather history for Ambergris Caye / San Pedro Current Caye Caulker Weather Information Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO) Windfinder forecast for Ambergris Caye & San Pedro   High Low Coastal 29° C 84° F 23° C 73° F Inland 30° C 86° F 20° C 68° F Hills 23° C 73° F 17° C 63° F TIDES: Low: 11:10 AM High: 4:53 PM Low: 10:59 PM High: 4:23 AM (Sun) Sunrise: 5:50 AM Moonrise: 12:54 PM Sunset: 5:23 PM Moonset: 12:36 AM (Sun) CLICK here and here for detailed local weather data For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

On Ambergris Caye this morning the North-West wind has the Barrier Reef in the lee, making the water around it flat calm. Our photo this morning is at sunrise but now at 7:am the sun is out and sky is blue. Our expected high is 84 f,

From Belmopan...

The collection of ITCZ activity that has been generally active in much of the western Caribbean from Panama to Yucatan, with its low pressure centre on or near Belize for much of the early part of this week, causing all that rain we had, was pushed away from Belize by the two cold fronts, but by yesterday, the easterly Caribbean winds were pushing those cold fronts away. But now there is a third cold front, not only approaching across the gulf towards us, but its front effects are already over and beyond Belize, pushing the Caribbean winds away and causing, or allowing the low pressure centre to now drift northwards, towards Cuba, taking the loose collection of ITCZ swell-ups with it, over Cuba and towards Florida. This has enabled the tropical storm people to flag it as a >60% potential tropical storm. But again, like Harvey, they are looking at ITCZ rain downdraughts for their wind speeds, trying to pin a TS name to nothing but normal ITCZ activity. Naughty. But this general movement northwards, is now enabling some of the normal Pacific ITCZ activity to also move northwards, on to land, a bit nearer to Belize.

The cold air pushing in over Belize, with cloud over most of the country, with the north becoming clear. High level cloud pushing up from the SSW, which will slow the thinning of the low cloud.

Looks like today will start off cloudy, with sunshine spreading downwards from north Belize, no rain expected on land.

Temperatures in Belmopan :
( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Fri max. 27°C 80°F Last night min. 23°C 72°F

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/q/locid:BHXX0104;loctype:1
Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=MD1029#history
Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IBELIZED2#history

From Belmopan...

This picture was taken earlier this afternoon, when best to show the details. The cold front is sort of fragmented, with its early effect having crossed well over Belize and down near Honduras. The cold weather associated cloud is coming down over Belize from the NW. It is clashing with high level cloud from the south, resulting in rather heavy, dark cloudy skies. Which has been causing a few pockets of rain, in the Cayo area. The Radar packed up, yet again around 1pm so I don't know if any more rain anywhere. ..... Ah.! Just getting rain on Belmopan as I type.

But I still do not see any rotation just to the south of the southern Cuban coast, where the light blue shallow sea is. But there is another secondary cold front line moving in. It has not, as yet, caused any rotation, but it has now given the weather people the excuse to declare the low pressure as TS PHILIPPE which I do not believe, from what I can see, it looks like a phony classification, but it could intensify later tonight over Cuba.