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Belize Weather Forecast: March 31, 2018 #529646
03/31/18 05:54 AM
03/31/18 05:54 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 60,011
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: March 31, 2018


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: A light to moderqte east-northeasterly airflow prevails over our area.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Mostly sunny skies today and partly cloudy skies tonight. Showers, if any, will be isolated, along with the chance of an isolated afternoon thunderstorm inland.
Winds: East-Northeast | 5-15 kts
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 81
General Outlook: For Sunday and Sunday night is for mainly fair weather with only isolated showers developing.
Daily Tropical Weather Outlook: The 2017 Hurricane Season has ended

Marine Conditions:
  Winds Seas Waves Details
Today E-NE 5-15 kts Choppy 3-5 ft LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL.
Tonight E-NE 5-15 kts Choppy 3-5 ft ISOLATED SHOWERS.
Tomorrow NE 5-15 kts Choppy 3-5 ft LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL.
Outlook E 5-10 kts Light Chop 2-4 ft ISOLATED SHOWERS.

The Caribbean Sea

Seismic activity with undersea volcano Kick'em Jenny, north of Grenada near 12.18N 61.38W has steadily declined, and the alert level for mariners has returned to normal, with an exclusion zone of 1.5 km. Please see www.nadma.gd for additional information.

High pressure centered north of the area over the west Atlantic will continue to shift east-northeast through Saturday morning, allowing the continuation of fresh to strong trade winds in the south-central Caribbean. Gentle to moderate trades are forecast elsewhere through Wed night.

Climate Prediction Centers Central America Hazards Outlook

Current Conditions and weather history for Ambergris Caye / San Pedro

Current Caye Caulker Weather Information

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Windfinder forecast for Ambergris Caye & San Pedro

  High Low
Coastal 30° C
86° F
26° C
78° F
Inland 33° C
92° F
22° C
72° F
Hills 28° C
82° F
20° C
68° F
TIDES:
High: 10:04 AM Low: 4:16 PM
High: 10:38 PM Low: 4:30 AM (Sun)
Sunrise: 5:47 AM Moonset: 6:01 AM
Sunset: 6:05 PM Moonrise: 6:30 PM

CLICK here and here for detailed local weather data

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: March 31, 2018 [Re: Marty] #529649
03/31/18 06:38 AM
03/31/18 06:38 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 12,382
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
.
elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning the breeze is from the East at 10 mph and the sea is calm. Blue sky and sunshine are the orders for the day. Our expected high is 86 f.

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: March 31, 2018 [Re: Marty] #529652
03/31/18 09:26 AM
03/31/18 09:26 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 60,011
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP

From Belmopan...

Last night, that clash down south, resulted in a very active ITCZ type swell-up and very significant rain, but most of that was in Guatamala. This morning there is a a fair amount of cloud around, look like the eastyerly Caribbean winds clashing with some motherly winds resulting in a fair amount of cloud over most of northern Belize, parts of central Belize and scattered around southern areas. This has resulted in a few small areas of rain. The right hand picture is around midnight.

Looks as if today is going to be a mixture of sunshine, clouds, some heavy and a chance of rain.


Temperatures in Belmopan :
( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last night min. 21C 72F Yesterday max. 31C 88F

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/q/locid:BHXX0104;loctype:1
Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=MD1029#history
Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IBELIZED2#history


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: March 31, 2018 [Re: Marty] #529653
03/31/18 10:34 AM
03/31/18 10:34 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 60,011
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP

The Cloud and Rain pictures. A fair amount of rain in the north, and just north of Belize City, which have been increasing this morning, a little bit down south also.



Re: Belize Weather Forecast: March 31, 2018 [Re: Marty] #529654
03/31/18 01:27 PM
03/31/18 01:27 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 60,011
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP

And the rain continues, mainly in central Belize.



Monthly Weather Summary, MARCH 2018

National Meteorological Service of Belize

THE MONTH OF MARCH STARTED OFF WARM ANDMOSTLY DRY WITH ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS ASRIDGINGWAS THE DOMINANT FACTOR AFFECTING OUR WEATHER. MOISTURE LEVELS AND INSTABILITY INCREASED SLIGHTLY AROUND THE THIRD OF MARCH BECAUSE OF PRE-FRONTAL ACTIVITY FROM A COLD FRONT OVER THE YUCATAN. A LIGHT MOIST EAST TO NORTH-EASTERLY FLOW PREVAILED OVER THE AREA SUPPORTING A FEW SHOWERS OVER MOST AREAS. THEREAFTER, THE MOISTURE LEVEL GRADUALLY DECREASED PRODUCING FAIR AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE COUNTRY WITH AN AVERAGE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUE OF 20-30MM IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT. SIMILAR WEATHER CONDITIONS PERSISTED INTO THE SECOND WEEK WITH LITTLE TO NO RAINFALL ACTIVITY UNTIL THE NINTH AND TENTH WHERE ISOLATED SHOWERS WERE OBSERVED OVER THE SOUTHERN DISTRICTS. A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WITH A SOUTH-WESTERLY WIND COMPONENT LED TO A MARGINALLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT OVER THE AREA, HOWEVER, RIDGING WAS STILL THE MAJOR FACTOR INFLUENCING THE WEATHER. BY THE TWELFTH, AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHED THE AREA, AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE WAS OBSERVED AT BOTH THE LOW AND UPPER LEVELS AND SUPPORTED THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHERN BELIZE. THIS INCREASE IN MOISTURE CONTINUED INTO THE THIRTEENTH WITH CLOUDY SKIES, A NORTH TO NORTH-WESTERLY SURFACE FLOW AND RAINFALL ACTIVITY AROUND THE COUNTRY AS THE COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED EAST OF CUBA, CENTRAL BELIZE AND NORTH OF GUATEMALA. THE SOUNDING RECORDED A PWAT OF 63.4MM, KI 35.1, LIFT -0.26 INDICATING AN UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT AND THUNDERSHOWERS RESULTED IN MAXIMUM OBSERVED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 43.4MM AT LIBERTAD, 37.2MM AT RANCHITO, 51.4MM AT MIDDLESEX AND 34.8MM IN BELMOPAN. THEN RAINFALL ACTIVITY SUBDUED ON THE FOURTEENTH WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER THE SOUTH.

A FURTHER DECREASE IN MOISTURE OCCURRED IN THE THIRD WEEK WITH RIDGING INFLUENCING THE WEATHER LEADING TO FAIR AND MOSTLY DRY WEATHER WITH ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS. THE AVERAGE PWAT FOR THIS WEEK WAS 30-35MM, HOWEVER, MOST OF THE MOISTURE WAS AT THE UPPER LEVELS SUPPORTING ONLY SHALLOW CUMULUS CLOUDS AND DENSE CIRRUS. THE FLOW AT THE UPPER LEVELS FOR THE PERIOD WAS WEST TO SOUTH-WESTERLY IN A NEUTRAL TO WEAKLY CONVERGENT ENVIRONMENT AS A HIGH-PRESSURE RIDGE WAS NEAR BAHAMAS. THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN BECAME DIVERGENT AROUND THE NINETEENTH WITH AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT OVER THE YUCATAN AND AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRED OVER THE SOUTHWEST MAYA MOUNTAINS DUE TO DAYTIME HEATING. THE SURFACE FLOW BACKED TO A MORE EAST TO NORTH-EASTERLY COMPONENT AND MOISTURE WAS CONFINED TO THE UPPER LEVELS. THE COLD FRONT EXTENDED OVER SOUTHERN YUCATAN TO NORTHERN BELIZE AND AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE, CLOUDINESS AND A FEW SHOWERS PREVAILED OVER CENTRAL BELIZE. MOST OF THE MOISTURE SUPPORTING THE SHOWERS WAS CAPPED BELOW 850HPA WITH THE MID-UPPER LEVELS BEING DRY. THE SHOWERY ACTIVITY WAS FURTHER ENHANCED BY A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE COUNTRY. ON THE TWENTY-SECOND, SHOWERS BECAME ISOLATED WITH A FEW MORE OVER SOUTHERN COASTAL AREAS LATER IN THE NIGHT, WINDS SPEEDS PICKED UP AROUND THIS TIME TO A MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY GUSTY NORTH-EASTERLY FLOW OVER THE AREA. AS THE FRONT PROGRESSED FURTHER EASTWARD, CONDITIONS IMPROVED, EXCEPT FOR OVER SOUTHERN BELIZE,WITH SKIES BECOMING SUNNY WITH ONLY A FEW CLOUDY SPELLS AND A GRADUAL DECREASE IN MOISTURE. THIS GENERAL PATTERN WITH AN EAST TO SOUTH-EASTERLY SURFACE FLOW CONTINUED FOR A FEW DAYS WITH FAIR CONDITIONS OVER MOST AREAS AND ONLY P.M. ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER THE MAYA MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN AREAS. TOWARDS THE END OF THE MONTH, MOISTURE LEVELS REMAINED RELATIVELY LOW, EXCEPT FOR SLIGHT INCREASE IN UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE. A FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS PERSISTED IN THE AFTERNOONS OVER THE MAYA MOUNTAINS DUE TO HEATING AND TOPOGRAPHIC LIFT. THE MONTH ENDED WITH A FEW SHOWERS AND A LIGHT NORTH-EASTERLY FLOW OVER THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL INLAND AREAS WITH HIGHER PWAT VALUES WERE OBSERVED AND AN INCREASE IN LOW AND MID-LEVEL CLOUDS DEVELOPED WITH THE ACCOMPANYING MOISTURE AND ELSEWHERE, FAIR CONDITIONS PREVAILED.



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