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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: June 15, 2018


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Moderate and relatively moist east-southeast airflow.
Advisories: *Small Craft Caution in effect for gusty winds near showers and thunderstorms.*
24-hour forecast: Cloudy with some light rain over the north this morning and a few showers or thunderstorms mainly inland this afternoon. Showers will increase over most areas tonight, especially over the coast and the north.
Winds: East-Southeast | 10-20 kts | Gusty
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 82
General Outlook: Cloudy with generally isolated showers or thunderstorms during Saturday, then a few showers and thunderstorms mainly over the coast Saturday night.
Daily Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the Gulf of Mexico, the Caribbean Sea or North Atlantic during the next 48 hours. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

  Winds Seas Waves Details
Today E-SE 10-20 kts Choppy-Rough 4-6 ft LIGHT RAIN IN THE NORTH THIS MORNING, THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS.
Tonight SE 10-20 kts Moderate-Rough 4-7 ft SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
Tomorrow E-SE 10-20 kts Moderate-Rough 5-7 ft ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY NORTH, DECREASING.
Outlook SE 10-20 kts Moderate-Rough 5-7 ft (SAT NIGHT) A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

The Caribbean Sea

A tropical wave is over the W Caribbean. See above. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is inland over Central America from the Yucatan Peninsula to Panama. Similar convection is over N Colombia. 15-30 kt tradewinds are over the Caribbean with strongest winds over the central Caribbean between 70W-85W. Mostly fair weather is over the E Caribbean.

In the upper levels, diffluent flow is over the NW Caribbean enhancing convection. A large upper level ridge is over the remainder of the Caribbean with axis along 72W.

The tropical wave in the central Caribbean will continue westward across the remainder of the basin through the early part of the weekend, while another tropical wave currently in the Tropical N Atlantic will move into the eastern Caribbean on Fri and Sat. Strong trades across the central Caribbean between 70W-85W will diminish this weekend.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Current Conditions and weather history for Ambergris Caye / San Pedro

Current Caye Caulker Weather Information

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Windfinder forecast for Ambergris Caye & San Pedro

  High Low
Coastal 31° C
87° F
26° C
78° F
Inland 33° C
92° F
23° C
74° F
Hills 29° C
84° F
20° C
68° F
TIDES:
High: 10:41 AM Low: 5:53 PM
High: 12:19 AM (Sat) Low: 5:04 AM (Sat)
Sunrise: 5:18 AM Moonrise: 7:11 AM
Sunset: 6:28 PM Moonset: 8:36 PM




Four Day Weather Outlook:


CLICK here and here for detailed local weather data

250 Km Radar Picture
(Time Label on picture is GMT. Local time is GMT-6 Hours)

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.


Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
OP Offline

From Belmopan...

The hurricane, top left red circle, is now down to just a depression, but still listed as TROPICAL STORM BUD but it is reducing. But there are three areas of intense ITCZ Monsoon band activity, orange circles. One listed as INVEST 91L which is listed as in the Gulf of Mexico as shown with a blue circle, there is only relatively small swellup activity there, but the Caribbean cloud is pushing across there from the SE. INVEST simply means a location for watching and investigation, not necessarily a developing storm. The three orange circles are far more active, showing in dark red on the second picture. These are not threatening Belize at present, but they do indicate a lot of significant ITCZ activity near and around Belize, which means one could, some day, be over Belize, we are well in the rainy season now.

Looks as if today is going to be rather mixed, periods of sunshine, cloud and the chance of rain showers.


Temperatures in Belmopan :
( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last night min. 24°C 76°F Yesterday max. 33°C 91°F

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/q/locid:BHXX0104;loctype:1
Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=MD1029#history
Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IBELIZED2#history


Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
OP Offline

The Cloud and Rain picture. There is a large area of ITCZ swellup causing a lot of rain just to the north of Belize, mainly out at sea. There are a few areas of rain further south, mainly in the Orange Walk district. There are small swellups in Guatamala and there could be some later in central Belize, causing some rain patches later.




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