Belize Weather Forecast: September 11, 2018

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Warm and unstable conditons expected today.
Advisories: *Small craft caution goes into effect tonight for gusty winds and locally rough seas near showers or thunderstorms. Residents living in flood-prone areas are advised to be on the alert for the possibility of localized flooding later today and tonight.*
24-hour forecast: Sunny this morning, becoming increasingly cloudy this afternoon with some showers and thunderstorms inland and over the south. Cloudy tonight with some showers, thunderstorms and periods of rain over most areas.
Winds: South-Southeast | 5-15 kts, Sea State: Choppy-Moderate
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 84
General Outlook: A gradual decrease in showers and thunderstorms is expected during Wednesday with showers and thunderstorms becoming isolated by Wednesday night.
Daily Tropical Weather Outlook: At 3:00 AM Tropical Storm Isaac was centered near latitude 14.6N, longitude 48.1W, or about 880 miles East of the Lesser Antilles. Hurricane Florence was centered near latitude 26.4N, longitude 64.1W, or about 975 miles ESE of Cape Fear, North Carolina. Hurricane Helene was centered near latitude 16.0N, longitude 33.6W, or about 620 miles West of the southernmost Cape Verde Islands. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

A surface trough extends from the SE Gulf of Mexico, through the Yucatan Channel, to a 1007 mb low pressure center that is near 23N84W, just to the north of the Gulf of Honduras. Numerous strong rainshowers are from 18N to the coast of NW Cuba between 82W and 86W. Numerous strong rainshowers also are inland, from 16N to 18N between 89W and 93W, covering the southern parts of the Yucatan Peninsula, Belize, Guatemala, and the Isthmus of Tehuantepec of southern Mexico. Other rainshowers also are in the NW corner of the Caribbean Sea, and parts of western Cuba, the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, and Central America from Honduras to El Salvador and Guatemala. The precipitation is showing some signs of organization in the northwestern Caribbean Sea. This system is forecast to move slowly northwestward across the Yucatan Peninsula today with limited development. Upper level winds are forecast to become more conducive for development later in the week. It is possible that a tropical depression may form on Thursday or Friday, while the disturbance moves across the western Gulf of Mexico. People who live in northeastern Mexico and the coast of Texas and Louisiana should monitor the progress of this system. Heavy rainfall and gusty winds are likely in western Cuba and the Yucatan Peninsula today.

Isaac has weakened to tropical storm strength near 14.5N 46.9W 997 mb at 11 PM EDT moving W at 14 kt. Maximum sustained winds 60 kt gusts 75 kt. Isaac will move to 14.5N 49.0W Tue morning, then become a minimal hurricane near 14.6N 51.7W Tue evening. Isaac will continue to 14.8N 54.3W Wed morning, 15.0N 56.9W Wed evening. Isaac will weaken to a tropical storm near 15.4N 62.4W Thu evening, and continue weakening slowly as it moves to 15.5N 68.0W Fri evening and to 15.5N 72.5W Sat evening.

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.
CLICK here and here for detailed local weather data

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Current Conditions and weather history for Ambergris Caye / San Pedro

Current Caye Caulker Weather Information

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)