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Belize Weather Forecast: October 3, 2018 #532581
10/03/18 05:50 AM
10/03/18 05:50 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 63,371
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

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Marty  Online Happy OP

Belize Weather Forecast: October 3, 2018


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: A moist northeasterly airflow continues to dominate our weather.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Cloudy with sunny breaks today and cloudy at times tonight. A few showers, periods of rain and isolated thunderstorms will occur mostly over the sea and along the coast this morning and tonight and over inland areas after mid-morning today.
Winds: North-Northeast | 5-5 kts, Sea State: Light Chop-Choppy
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 84
General Outlook: For Thursday and Thursday night is for similar weather conditions to prevail.
Daily Tropical Weather Outlook: At 3:00am Hurricane Leslie was centered near latitude 29.6N, longitude 56.9W, or about 505 miles ESE of Bermuda. Leslie was almost stationary with maximum sustained winds of 75mph. Elsewhere, tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

  Winds Seas Waves Details
Today N-NE 5-15 kts Light Chop-Choppy 3-5 ft A FEW SHOWERS, PERIODS OF RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
Tonight NE-E 5-15 kts Light Chop-Choppy 3-5 ft A FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
Tomorrow NE 5-10 kts Light Chop 2-4 ft A FEW SHOWERS, PERIODS OF RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
Outlook NE-E 5-10 kts Light Chop 2-4 ft A FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

The Caribbean Sea

A tropical wave is entering the eastern Caribbean. Refer to the section above for details. A broad surface trough along 81W is associated with a broad area of low pressure located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Satellite imagery shows scattered moderate convection prevailing between 70W-86W. This convection is enhanced by an area of upper-level diffluence. Some gradual development of the broad low pressure area is possible late this week and this weekend while the low drifts generally in a northward direction. A deepening mid to upper level trough over the northern Caribbean and Greater Antilles will help advect moisture northward as the week progresses. As a result, heavy rain is likely to spread over sections of Hispaniola and Jamaica later this week and into the weekend.

Broad mid-level ridging is over the east Caribbean with associated westerly upper level flow leading to generally quiet weather conditions east of 70W.

Large NNE swell generated from Leslie will pass through the Atlantic passages into the Caribbean waters.


  High Low
Coastal 31° C
87° F
25° C
77° F
Inland 33° C
92° F
22° C
72° F
Hills 27° C
80° F
20° C
68° F
TIDES:
Low: 11:28 AM High: 6:03 PM
Low: 10:44 PM High: 5:00 AM (Thu)
Sunrise: 5:39 AM Moonset: 1:32 PM
Sunset: 5:43 PM Moonrise: 1:10 AM (Thu)




Four Day Weather Outlook:


For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.
CLICK here and here for detailed local weather data

Climate Prediction Centers Central America Hazards Outlook

Current Conditions and weather history for Ambergris Caye / San Pedro

Current Caye Caulker Weather Information

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 3, 2018 [Re: Marty] #532585
10/03/18 08:10 AM
10/03/18 08:10 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 12,652
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
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elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have rain with wind direction from the North and a flat calm sea around our barrier reef. The expected high temperature is 87 f.

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Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 3, 2018 [Re: Marty] #532586
10/03/18 08:34 AM
10/03/18 08:34 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 63,371
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

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Marty  Online Happy OP

From Belmopan...

I have been noticing that very frequently as the warm wet air gets over Belize into southern Mexico and Guatamala, it rises and forms a line and then area of clashing with high level air. Well that happened rather more suddenly than normal, right on top of western Belize yesterday. This morning it is already doing that along our coast line. So there is a line of rain developing out at sea and coming in now.

Looks like today will be a rainy day for most of us, probably both this morning and more later today.


Temperatures in Belmopan :
( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last night min. 24C 76F Yesterday max. 31C 88F

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/q/locid:BHXX0104;loctype:1
Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=MD1029#history
Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IBELIZED2#history


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 3, 2018 [Re: Marty] #532587
10/03/18 10:32 AM
10/03/18 10:32 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 63,371
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

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Marty  Online Happy OP

The Cloud and rain picture. The rain has actually been reducing over the last hour or so, but could increase again this afternoon.



Updated satellite view



Last edited by Marty; 10/03/18 10:34 AM.
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 3, 2018 [Re: Marty] #532592
10/03/18 05:44 PM
10/03/18 05:44 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 63,371
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

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Marty  Online Happy OP

This is what I mean by the Swellups often develop across southern Mexico and Guatamala
. Often after the wet air has passed over Belize, but now all over Belize.




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