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Belize Weather Forecast: October 16, 2018 #532798
10/16/18 06:00 AM
10/16/18 06:00 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 61,702
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

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Marty  Online Happy OP

Belize Weather Forecast: October 16, 2018


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Showery activity and gusty winds continue over the country with an area of low pressure just off the coast of Belize.
Advisories: *A small craft warning remains in effect. There is the likelihood of flooding over flood prone and low-lying areas of the country as well as probable flash floods near rivers and streams in the south.*
24-hour forecast: Cloudy with some showers and thunderstorms, along with a few periods of rain over most areas, and especially over southern parts of the country tonight.
Winds: East-Northeast | 5-15 kts, Sea State: Light Chop-Choppy
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 84
General Outlook: Mostly cloudy along with a few showers and thunderstorms mostly over the south and coast Wednesday morning and again during the night; and mostly over northern and inland areas during the day.
Daily Tropical Weather Outlook: At 6:00am a well-defined area of low pressure located near the northwestern coast of Honduras maintains has a medium chance of becoming a tropical depression before moving inland over Belize today. Regardless of development, gusty winds and heavy rainfall are possible over portions of Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula today. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

  Winds Seas Waves Details
Today E-SE 15-25 kts Rough 5-8 ft SOME HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
Tonight E-SE 15-25 kts Rough 5-8 ft SOME HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY OVER THE SOUTH.
Tomorrow E 15-25 kts Moderate-Rough 4-7 ft A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
Outlook E 15-25 kts Moderate-Rough 4-7 ft WEDNESDAY NIGHT:- A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY OVER THE SOUTH.

The Caribbean Sea

A tropical wave over the central Caribbean is forecast to become diffuse and ill-defined by Wed morning. Two other tropical waves east of the Caribbean are forecast to merge and move into the eastern Caribbean by Wed afternoon.

A broad area of low pressure, a Central American Gyre, is centered over Honduras near 16N5W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is occurring over Central America and the Gulf of Honduras. This system is expected to move west-northwest toward Belize. The probability of tropical cyclone development during the next is moderate, but the potential for heavy rainfall, flash flooding and mudslides over areas of mountainous terrain is high. Refer to your local meteorological service for specific information on this potentially dangerous weather pattern.


  High Low
Coastal 29° C
84° F
24° C
76° F
Inland 31° C
87° F
22° C
71° F
Hills 27° C
80° F
19° C
66° F
TIDES:
Low: 10:12 AM High: 3:48 PM
Low: 9:38 PM High: 3:08 AM (Wed)
Sunrise: 5:46 AM Moonrise: 12:20 PM
Sunset: 5:30 PM Moonset: 11:47 PM




Four Day Weather Outlook:


For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.
CLICK here and here for detailed local weather data

Climate Prediction Centers Central America Hazards Outlook

Current Conditions and weather history for Ambergris Caye / San Pedro

Current Caye Caulker Weather Information

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 16, 2018 [Re: Marty] #532799
10/16/18 07:25 AM
10/16/18 07:25 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 12,509
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
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elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning the sea is rough and wind from the East-SE at 15 mph. It's gonna be a wet ride to work today.

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Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 16, 2018 [Re: Marty] #532800
10/16/18 08:38 AM
10/16/18 08:38 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 61,702
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

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Marty  Online Happy OP

From Belmopan...

Much of that cloud and the ITCZ activity in it has now moved from Nicaragua, up to over Honduras and Belize and now moving into southern Mexico and Guatamala, it has been identified as INVEST 94L which has brought a lot of rain last night and in parts of Belize continuing today. Usually the cause of rain over us is normal cloud getting a bit high as the day warms up and clashing with upper air, but this present is ITCZ activity, that is vertical air movements, causing internal swellups, which have the potential of developing into tropical storms, if they get large enough and start to rotate. This has not.

Looks as if the worse of the rain is passing, a little still in central and north, but more to come for the south, but most areas staying heavy cloud much of the day, some clearing by this afternoon.


Temperatures in Belmopan :
( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last night min. 24C 76F Yesterday max. 30C 86F

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/q/locid:BHXX0104;loctype:1
Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=MD1029#history
Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IBELIZED2#history


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 16, 2018 [Re: Marty] #532802
10/16/18 11:52 AM
10/16/18 11:52 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 61,702
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

.
Marty  Online Happy OP
Updated satellite view

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 16, 2018 [Re: Marty] #532803
10/16/18 01:16 PM
10/16/18 01:16 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 61,702
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

.
Marty  Online Happy OP

The Cloud and Rain picture. This same low pressure area with continuing ITCZ swellups is continuing to cause patches of rain, some heavy and most of Belize under heavy cloud.




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