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Belize Weather Forecast: October 31, 2018 #533014
10/31/18 06:05 AM
10/31/18 06:05 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,356
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: October 31, 2018

Weather Underground PWS IBELIZE4
General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Relatively moist and unstable conditions continue to dominate our weather.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Sunny skies with a few cloudy spells today and partly cloudy skies tonight. A few showers or isolated thunderstorms will occur over most areas today, then over southern and some coastal areas tonight.
Winds: East-Northeast | 10-20 kts, Sea State: Choppy-Moderate
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
General Outlook: Mainly fair weather with only isolated showers during Thursday, then some cloudy spells with a few showers or isolated thunderstorms along southern coastal areas Thursday night.
Daily Tropical Weather Outlook: At 3:00am Hurricane Oscar was centered near 34.1N, 53.6W, or about 660 miles ENE of Bermuda. Oscar was moving to the NE at 22mph with maximum sustained winds of 75mph. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:
  Winds Seas Waves Details
Today E-NE 10-20 kts Choppy-Moderate 3-6 ft A FEW SHOWERS OR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

The Caribbean Sea

A stationary front extends from the west Atlantic to northeastern Cuba. Scattered showers are noted north of Jamaica between 71W- 78W. Further south, scattered showers are south of 10N between 75W-82W, including the coast of NW Colombia and Panama due to the monsoon trough proximity.

Moderate trades will persist across the Caribbean, except for fresh to strong trades in the south-central sections. Moderate swell from Oscar will continue across the tropical Atlantic waters and through the NE Caribbean passages through this morning. A reinforcing Atlantic cold front will stall from W central Cuba to N coast of the Yucatan Peninsula this morning, then lift north and dissipate through Thursday. High pressure north of the front will induce fresh trades across the Caribbean and tropical Atlantic waters through the end of the week.

  High Low
Coastal 31° C
87° F
26° C
78° F
Inland 33° C
91° F
22° C
72° F
Hills 27° C
81° F
20° C
68° F
Low: 9:53 AM High: 4:15 PM
Low: 9:12 PM High: 3:24 AM (Thu)
Sunrise: 5:50 AM Moonset: 12:24 PM
Sunset: 5:21 PM Moonrise: 12:04 AM (Thu)

Four Day Weather Outlook:


250 Km Radar Picture
(Time Label on picture is GMT. Local time is GMT-6 Hours)

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.
CLICK here and here for detailed local weather data

Climate Prediction Centers Central America Hazards Outlook

Current Conditions and weather history for Ambergris Caye / San Pedro

Current Caye Caulker Weather Information

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 31, 2018 [Re: Marty] #533019
10/31/18 06:26 AM
10/31/18 06:26 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 12,990
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have an overcast sky with rain and strong wind from the East.

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Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 31, 2018 [Re: Marty] #533024
10/31/18 09:17 AM
10/31/18 09:17 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,356
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP

From Belmopan...

Heavy, clumps of Caribbean cloud coming in over most of Belize from the sea, clashing in many places with the high level from the WNW causing numerous rain showers all over Belize, mainly in the east half. half. Also a few areas, mainly central west, still have some low flying cloud around.

Looks like today will be mainly cloudy, there will be patches of sunshine, but the ever present chance of rain showers.

Temperatures in Belmopan :
( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last night min. 23C 73F Yesterday max. 29C 85F

Ambergris Caye:;loctype:1
Caye Caulker:

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 31, 2018 [Re: Marty] #533025
10/31/18 10:26 AM
10/31/18 10:26 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,356
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP

The Cloud and rain picture.

Monthly Weather Summary, October 2018

National Meteorological Service of Belize

Monthly weather summaries are prepared by the climate section of the National Meteorological Service of Belize. The NMS of Belize maintains a network of over 25 weather stations that are situated primarily in the agricultural regions of the country. Temperature and rainfall are read at 9 am each morning and the rainfall total read at this time represents the accumulated rainfall for the previous day.

October is typically the wettest month for the country of Belize. Systems that usually affect the country during this month include tropical waves and Tropical Upper Tropospheric Troughs (TUTTs). On occasions a tropical cyclone may affect the country during October. Cold fronts often affect the country during this month as well.

Moisture gradually increased across the country during the first week of October 2018. An increasingly moist northeasterly airflow at the low levels coupled with weakly divergent conditions aloft supported shower and thunderstorm development. This was associated with a broad trough of low pressure (remnants of Tropical Storm Kirk) that slowly approached the country. This system would eventually be near northeastern Honduras by the 5th of October. By the following day (October 6th) it was designated as potential tropical cyclone fourteen and it was centered just east of northern Belize. This resulted in cloudy skies with some showers and thunderstorms across the country.

The system became Tropical Storm Michael on the 7th and it was heading generally North-Northwestward away from Belize. With the system intensifying over the following few days it basically absorbed most of the moisture in the region resulting in a general drying trend across the country. Moreover, it supported a South-Southwesterly flow which was devoid of the deep-layered moisture that is typically associated with such flows. This may have been a result of adiabatic compression on the lee side of the mountains along the continental divide in Central America coupled with generally convergent/subsident conditions associated with the outflow from Michael. As a result conditions became very warm and mostly dry 8th and 9th with only isolated afternoon thunderstorms inland. Thunderstorm activity was much stronger and widespread on the afternoon of the 10th prompting the issuance of a severe thunderstorms alert.

Relatively moist conditions persisted over the area for the following few days. The country continued under a generally slack pressure pattern which supported only light winds. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms affected mainly the Maya Mountains on the 11th and decreased even further on the 12th and 13th. A light and relatively moist east to northeasterly airflow on the 14th supported a few showers mostly over the Maya Mountains and over the sea.

Moisture increased on the 15th with a low pressure area over northeast Honduras moving generally westward toward Belize. The National Hurricane Center contemplated declaring this system a potential tropical cyclone but eventually decided against it due to its trajectory that was expected to take it mostly over land or very near the coast of northern Honduras. This system crossed southern Belize the following day (16th October) and supported some showers and periods of rain across the country. Relatively moist conditions lingered behind this system producing a few showers and isolated thunderstorms across the country from the 17th through to the 19th.

A drier air mass moved over the area on the 20th of October. This relatively dry trend persisted through to the 25th of October. As a result weather conditions were generally fair across the country with isolated showers and isolated thunderstorms. There were occasional exceptions over the south where slightly higher amounts were noted.

A cold front became stationary north of the country over Yucatan on the 26th and caused a slight increase in moisture over the area through to the 27th. This increase in moisture did not produce any significant widespread increase in rainfall but instead shower activity remained generally isolated.

A relatively moist northeasterly flow developed behind the dissipating stationary front on the 28th and produced a few showers over northern and inland areas of the country. Similar activity continued on the 29th. Showers and rain then spread to central and southern overnight between the 29th and 30th. Finally, the moisture would increase further on the last day of the month supporting some showers, thunderstorms and periods of rain mostly over northern and central areas of the country.

The graph and maps below summarize the total rainfall and average maximum and minimum temperature recorded during the month of October 2018. They also give an indication of how these readings compare to the normal for the month across the stations sampled. As can be seen, rainfall was generally normal for most of the country, except for the north and southeast coast (Savannah) where it was slightly below normal and parts of the central areas (northwestern Cayo and North Stann Creek) where rainfall was above normal. In terms of maximum temperatures, most of the stations sampled here show above normal maximum/daytime temperature, except for the Belize Zoo. Nighttime/minimum temperatures were also higher than normal for most areas except for Punta Gorda which recorded lower than normal minimum temperatures.

Monthly Rainfall Summary

Monthly Maximum Temperatures

Monthly Minimum Temperatures

Rainfall Observed: September 2018 (mm)

Rainfall Observed: September 2018 (% Above/Below Average)

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 31, 2018 [Re: Marty] #533026
10/31/18 10:38 AM
10/31/18 10:38 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,356
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
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