Belize Weather Forecast: November 14, 2018

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Relatively moist and unstable conditions will prevail as a cold front approaches.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Cloudy at times today with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms especially over the sea and over southern coastal areas this morning then mainly north and inland this afternoon. Cloudy tonight with some showers, periods of rain and thunderstorms mostly north and along coastal areas.
Winds: Northwest | 5-15 kts, Sea State: Light Chop
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 84
General Outlook: For Thursday and Thursday night is for cloudy windy and cool conditions with light rain mostly over the sea.
Daily Tropical Weather Outlook: A tropical wave moving through the Leeward Islands now has a low chance of further development during the next couple of days. Elsewhere in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico, tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

A surface trough is over the Leeward and Virgin Islands from 22N63W to 16N67W. Scattered moderate convection from 15N-23N between 59W-63W. An upper-level low is centered over the Mona Passage near 18N68W. Upper level diffluence E of the center is enhancing convection over the Leeward Islands. This system continues to have a low chance of tropical cyclone formation during the next 48 hours. This system is expected to bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico over the next couple of days as it moves generally westward to west-northwestward.

In the southwest Caribbean, scattered moderate to strong convection is noted south of 12N between 76W-82W, due to the eastern extent of the Eastern Pacific monsoon trough. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is also inland over N Colombia, Panama, and Costa Rica.

High pressure north of the area is supporting fresh trade winds over most of the Caribbean Sea. The trough across the Virgin Islands extending NE into the adjacent Atlantic will move across Puerto Rico through late tonight, and then across Hispaniola Wed. The tropical wave over the southeast Caribbean will move westward reaching Hispaniola and the ABC Islands by late Wednesday and early Thursday.

Strong northerly winds and building seas will follow a cold front entering the Yucatan Channel late Wed. Expect enhanced shower and thunderstorm activity with periods of heavy rain for portions of the Yucatan Peninsula, Belize, Honduras and the adjacent waters of the northwest Caribbean through early Fri. Fresh northerly winds and seas to 8 ft will spread across the northwest Caribbean into Fri behind the front, then diminish Fri into Sat as the front stalls and weakens from eastern Cuba to eastern Honduras.

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.
CLICK here and here for detailed local weather data

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Current Conditions and weather history for Ambergris Caye / San Pedro

Current Caye Caulker Weather Information

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)