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Belize Weather Forecast: December 31, 2018 #534053
12/31/18 05:56 AM
12/31/18 05:56 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 60,482
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: December 31, 2018


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Mainly fair weather will prevail across the country today.
Advisories: *Small craft caution remains in effect for occasional gusty winds and rough seas.*
24-hour forecast: Sunny today becoming cloudy at times tonight. Little or no rainfall is expected today and then a few showers will likely occur over some coastal areas late tonight.
Winds: East-Southeast | 10-20 kts | Gusty, Sea State: Moderate-Rough
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 82
General Outlook: For Tuesday and Tuesday night is for some cloudy spells along with a few showers occurring mostly over central and southern parts of the country.
Daily Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea, or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

  Winds Seas Waves Details
Today E-SE 10-20 kts Moderate-Rough 4-7 ft MAINLY FAIR WITH ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS.
Tonight E 10-20 kts Moderate-Rough 4-8 ft A FEW LATE SHOWERS.
Tomorrow E 10-20 kts Moderate-Rough 4-7 ft A FEW SHOWERS.
Outlook E 10-20 kts Moderate-Rough 5-7 ft TUESDAY NIGHT:- A FEW SHOWERS.

The Caribbean Sea

Strong high pressure north of the region will support fresh to strong winds across mainly the central Caribbean through the week. Gale force winds will pulse off the coast of Colombia mainly during overnight and early morning hours through mid week. Please refer to the High Seas forecast product under the AWIPS/WMO headers HSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC for more details.

A scatterometer pass from around 02 UTC confirmed gale force winds off the central coast of Colombia. Seas are at least 10 to 13 ft in the area of gales, and 7 to 10 ft elsewhere over the eastern and central Caribbean. No significant convection is noted at this time anywhere across the basin.

High pressure north of the area will support strong to near gale force trade winds across the central Caribbean through Fri, pulsing to gale force along the NW coast of Colombia each night through the middle of each morning before diminishing. Locally strong nocturnal trades are forecast across the western Gulf of Honduras and into the Windward Passage through Tue night. Moderate to fresh trades expected elsewhere into Fri. A cold front will move through the Yucatan Channel early Fri, before stalling from central Cuba to northern Belize Fri night.


  High Low
Coastal 29° C
85° F
26° C
79° F
Inland 32° C
90° F
21° C
70° F
Hills 27° C
80° F
19° C
66° F
TIDES:
High: 6:10 AM Low: 11:33 AM
High: 5:59 PM Low: 12:52 AM (Tue)
Sunrise: 6:22 AM Moonset: 1:35 PM
Sunset: 5:28 PM Moonrise: 2:29 AM (Tue)




Four Day Weather Outlook:


For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.
CLICK here and here for detailed local weather data

Climate Prediction Centers Central America Hazards Outlook

Current Conditions and weather history for Ambergris Caye / San Pedro

Current Caye Caulker Weather Information

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: December 31, 2018 [Re: Marty] #534056
12/31/18 07:57 AM
12/31/18 07:57 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 12,417
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
.
elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning the strong wind from the South-East has us under an Advisorie *Small craft caution remains in effect for occasional gusty winds and rough seas.* The day is sunny with an expected high temperature in the upper 80's.

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: December 31, 2018 [Re: Marty] #534059
12/31/18 09:27 AM
12/31/18 09:27 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 60,482
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP

From Belmopan...

A steady stream of Caribbean easterly lines of cloud developing as typical. There is a larger Caribbean cloud area off Honduras that might effect northern Belize late this afternoon or evening, but even so, there is no rain with that at present, in fact no rain visible anywhere around.

Looks like today will be mainly sunny, with white clouds developing this morning and reducing this afternoon, presently no indication of any rain.


Temperatures in Belmopan :
( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last night min. 22C 72F Yesterday max. 29C 85F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0.0" )

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/q/locid:BHXX0104;loctype:1
Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=MD1029#history
Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IBELIZED2#history


Monthly Weather Summary, December 2018

National Meteorological Service of Belize

Monthly weather summaries are prepared by the climate section of the National Meteorological Service (NMS) of Belize. The NMS of Belize maintains a network of over 25 weather stations that are situated primarily in the agricultural regions of the country. Temperature and rainfall are read at 9 am each morning and the rainfall total read at this time represents the accumulated rainfall for the previous day.

December marks the first month of the cool transition period between the rainy season and the dry season for Belize. This transition period typically lasts for about two to three months before the dry season sets in between mid February and early March. December is typically cool over the country with the main rainfall producers being cold fronts, prefrontal troughs and shear lines.

December 2018 started off dry and unseasonably warm. A moderate but slightly gusty easterly to southeasterly airflow prevailed for the first few days and supported these conditions. A cold front dipped as far south as northern Yucatan on the 5th and then moved into the extreme northwest Caribbean to just north of Belize on the 6th. The high pressure ridge behind this front moved off the the east and induced a relatively moist easterly to northeasterly flow on the 6th which supported a few showers mostly over northern, central and inland areas of the country. A few showers persisted over central and northern areas on the 7th, becoming isolated on the 8th and 9th, except for a few more over the south and over the Maya Mountains on the 9th.

The first cold front for the month crossed the country on the 10th. The prefrontal trough on the night of the 9th and early morning of the 10th supported a few showers mainly over northern and central areas of the country. The passage of the front later in the day of the 10th supported a few showers, isolated thunderstorms and light rain mostly over the sea. Fair, cool and mostly dry conditions prevailed over the country on the 11th and the day of 12th in the wake of the cold front. Light rain affected the Belize City and offshore areas on the night of the 12th through early morning of the 13th but conditions became fair once more by daybreak on the 13th and continued that way for the remainder of the day.

The second cold front for the month crossed on the night of the 14th. The passage of this front produced only a few light showers. The most significant weather with this system was strong and gusty winds with gusts of up to 30 knots recorded at the Municipal Airport in Belize City. The front had swept through by the morning of the 15th with fair and cool conditions dominating that day. No significant rainfall was reported.

Generally fair, cool and dry conditions persisted the following few days from the 16th through to the 19th except over the sea where a few showers developed on the 18th. This activity affected the San Pedro area with the automatic weather station recording 22.2 mm of rainfall on the 18th. Isolated showers affected the country on the afternoon of the 20th with the approach of yet another cold front. This cold front (the third for the month) crossed on the night of the 20th/early morning on the 21st. As the 3rd front for the month swept past, it ushered in another period of cool and mostly dry conditions in its wake that lasted until the 23rd. No significant rainfall was noted during this period.

Moisture started to increase over the country on the 23rd as the front began to retrogress towards the country. The activity started over the south where very light and brief showers were noted on the 23rd. Notably the automatic weather station in Placencia reported rainfall total of 61.0 mm on the 23rd while the station at Punta Gorda reported 22.8 mm on that day. By the 24th (Christmas Eve) some showers, periods of rain and isolated thunderstorms affected most of the country, but especially northern, central areas and the eastern slopes of the Maya Mountains. Heaviest activity occurred over Belize City with the station at the Municipal Airport reporting 95.6 mm of rainfall and that at Port of Belize reporting 82.9 mm. Activity decreased a bit on Christmas day. However, a few showers still lingered on and persisted through to the 26th.

Finally, the month of December ended off the way it started. A tight pressure gradient became established between the Atlantic High Pressure system (Bermuda High) northeast of the area and low pressures over the northwest Gulf of Mexico. This supported a gusty and mostly dry easterly to southeasterly airflow straight through to the end of the month. Except for occasional light and brief isolated showers, little to no rainfall was noted during this period.

The graphs and maps below summarize the total rainfall and average maximum and minimum temperature recorded during the month of December 2018. They also give an indication of how these readings compare to the normal for the month across the stations sampled. As can be seen, rainfall was below normal for the southern two-thirds of the country while it was near normal from Belize City northward. In terms of maximum temperatures, most of the stations sampled here show above normal maximum/daytime temperatures, except for Savannah where the average maximum temperature for the month was slightly below normal and the Airport where the average maximum for the month was just about normal. Nighttime/minimum temperatures were also slightly higher than normal for most areas except for Punta Gorda and Pomona where nighttime temperatures were slightly cooler than normal and Central Farm where they were near normal.

Monthly Rainfall Summary


Monthly Maximum Temperatures


Monthly Minimum Temperatures


Rainfall Observed: December 2018 (mm)


Rainfall Observed: December 2018 (% Above/Below Average)



Re: Belize Weather Forecast: December 31, 2018 [Re: Marty] #534063
12/31/18 11:56 AM
12/31/18 11:56 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 60,482
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Updated satellite view

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: December 31, 2018 [Re: Marty] #534067
12/31/18 05:29 PM
12/31/18 05:29 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 60,482
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Tomorrows WEATHER for Tue 01 Jan 2019

The easterly Caribbean winds continue from the ESE with lines of cloud and some larger patches or areas of cloud, which are not bringing much, if any rain with them.

Looks as if Tomorrow Tue 01 Jan 2019 will be very similar to today, mainly sunny, with some white clouds, a low chance of any isolated rain showers.

[Linked Image]

2018 Belize Rainfall

December was dry, less than half the typical rainfall, but then again October was very wet. 2018 saw very erratic rain conditions, far from typical.

[Linked Image]

The heavy blue verticals are the daily rainfall as shown on the left and right scales.
The 4 lines are all /5 scale, to show a more meaningful indication.
The small dotted dark line is the Typical monthly rain averages.
The dashed dark line is the actual monthly averages for 2018, high in Jan, Feb and Oct, and low in Jun, Jul, Sep, Dec.
The light Blue line is effective water in the ground that all plants can access.
The light Green line is deeper water that deep rooted plants can access, and is slower to change.


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