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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,395
Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: January 21, 2019


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Cool and dry conditions prevail over the area.
Advisories: *Small Craft Caution is in effect for occasional gusty winds and locally rough seas.*
24-hour forecast: Variably cloudy and cool with little or no rainfall.
Winds: North-Northeast | 10-20 kts, Sea State: Moderate-Rough
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 81
General Outlook: For Tuesday and Tuesday night is for skies to be cloudy at times with generally isolated showers and slightly more in the north.
Daily Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea, or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

  Winds Seas Waves Details
Today N-NE 10-20 kts Moderate-Rough 4-7 ft VARIABLY CLOUDY AND COOL WITH LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL.
Tonight NE 10-20 kts Moderate 4-6 ft ISOLATED SHOWERS.
Tomorrow E-SE 5-15 kts Moderate 4-6 ft GENERALLY ISOLATED SHOWERS, NORTH.
Outlook E-SE 10-20 kts Choppy-Moderate 3-5 ft GENERALLY ISOLATED SHOWERS, NORTH.

The Caribbean Sea

As of 21/0900 UTC, a strong cold front extends from E Cuba near 21N76W to E Honduras near 15N83W. Scattered showers are within 120 nm of the cold front. Fresh to strong NW to N winds cover the NW Caribbean behind the front to the Yucatan Channel with seas to 8 ft. No significant convection is present over the remainder of the Caribbean. Tradewinds are fresh to strong across a large area of the south central Caribbean.

Fresh to strong trade winds will continue over the south-central Caribbean through Wed night. The winds will increase to, or near, gale force along the immediate coast of Colombia each night through Thu night. Moderate to locally fresh trade winds will prevail elsewhere. A strong cold front crosses the NW Caribbean from SE Cuba to NE Honduras. The front will stall and begin to weaken Tue morning. Strong high pres building over the western Atlc will increase the pressure gradient over the basin Tue through Fri. This will result in strong trades over most of the eastern and central Caribbean. Gap winds will affect the lee of Cuba, together with the Mona and Windward passages on Wed and Thu.


  High Low
Coastal 24° C
77° F
21° C
70° F
Inland 26° C
78° F
17° C
62° F
Hills 20° C
68° F
13° C
55° F
TIDES:
High: 10:50 AM Low: 3:42 PM
High: 10:11 PM Low: 5:12 AM (Tue)
Sunrise: 6:26 AM Moonset: 6:48 AM
Sunset: 5:41 PM Moonrise: 6:29 PM




Four Day Weather Outlook:


For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.
CLICK here and here for detailed local weather data

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Current Conditions and weather history for Ambergris Caye / San Pedro

Current Caye Caulker Weather Information

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)


Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,675
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Terns always stand facing the Dominant Wind and this morning on Ambergris Caye they are facing Due North. It's a chilly but sunny morning with the expected high temperature in the upper 70's.

[Linked Image]


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Marty Offline OP
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From Belmopan...

When the met office say variable cloud, they are right, there is so many different winds around our area at present. Clear sunshine skies for north Belize this morning, and fog is many other parts, but the high level cloud, which was tracking over Honduras, is moving further northwards, and is now covering most of Belize, and all of Belize in a few hours time. But under that, there is the easterly Caribbean air trying to come in, and below that the cool air coming down from the north, yet no wind at surface.

Looks like today will be largely cloudy, getting less so later, no rain expected.


Temperatures in Belmopan :
( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last night min. 18°C 64°F Yesterday max. 25°C 76°F Yesterday Rain 0.4 mm ( 0.02" )

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/q/locid:BHXX0104;loctype:1
Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=MD1029#history
Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IBELIZED2#history


Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,395
Marty Offline OP
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The Cloud picture, despite all this cloud around, no rain on the radar. The high level cloud from the SW has almost completely dissipated over Belize, but still thick over Honduras



Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,395
Marty Offline OP
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Updated satellite view

[Linked Image]

Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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I was somewhat puzzled by the fuzzy white clouds over most of Belize, which look like high level clouds, but are not. The are actually easterly Caribbean clouds, rising up over the cooler air and brushing up under the actual high level air, causing the fluffy clouds.



Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,395
Marty Offline OP
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Tomorrows WEATHER for - Tue 22 Jan 2019

The high level cloud is still with us, all over Belize, fairly thin, but it could be thicker by morning or thinner. The Caribbean cloud is still moving in from the east and very little trace of the NE cool air. But this afternoon, cool wind at surface that we could feel was from the SW.

So probably a cloudy start tomorrow morning, probably little or no rain, tonight cool, but not as cool as last night.

[Linked Image]


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