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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Saturday 1st June marks the beginning of the 2019 hurricane season for the Atlantic Basin. The season runs from 1st June to 30th November 2019. However the formation of tropical cyclones is possible at any time of the year, as shown by the formation of Subtropical Storm Andrea on May 20, which upon its formation marked the fifth consecutive year a storm developed before the official start of the season.

The 2019 forecast is suggesting that tropical cyclone activity will be for near normal in the Atlantic Basin (North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico) this year. The prediction is for there to be twelve to fourteen (10 to 14) named storms, of those five to seven (5 to7) are expected to become hurricanes and two (2) are expected to become major hurricanes (Category 3 or stronger). An average season in the Atlantic Basin consists of twelve (12) named storms, six (6) hurricanes and two (2) major hurricanes.

The main factors that were used in forecasting the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season are:

(1) The Weak El Ni�o that is present is expected to intensify and thus suppress the intensity of the hurricane season.

(2) Warm than average sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea, which tends to favour hurricane development.

What Does this Mean for Belize?

There is no strong correlation between the number of storms or hurricanes that form in any given season to the number of storms that make landfall in Belize. One or more of the 10 to 14 named storms forecast to develop this season could hit the country, or none at all. Therefore history teaches us, as a nation located in such a vulnerable area, we should be prepared each year no matter what is the forecast is.

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So Belizeans be prepared , stay safe and heed to all advice and warnings coming from the National Meteorological Service and National Emergency Management Organization during the 2019 Hurricane Season.

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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The Office of National Emergency Management takes this opportunity to urge the public, government line ministries, NEMO national and district emergency committees, its partners and the private sector to continue fine tune your preparations for natural hazards. The period of lull is over; the Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea are showing signs of activity. All are strongly advised to convene your emergency committee meetings and identify the logistics needed to make your plan work.

In the case of the general public, who can afford to, must continue to stock up on basic emergency food supplies, and water. Make an effort to strengthen your roof, windows and doors, if you have not done so. If you have to evacuate when the country is threatened by a tropical cyclone you need to know in advance where you will shelter, and work out how you will get there. Discuss your emergency plan with your family. Plan to move early. Trim trees that are close to your home and power lines; contact BEL for assistance. Fishers and farmers, ensure you have access to the media to listen to weather reports and advisories before venturing out to sea and your farm. Kids, remind your parents to focus on hurricane preparedness; protect life and property.

We must not wait until a storm threatens the country to focus on hurricane preparations. Historically for Belize, we are heading into the most devastating period of the season. This precautionary notice serves to ensure we remain as proactive as possible as a people and country. We must stay alert and be prepared. Hope and pray for the best, but plan for the worst.

When there is a storm or bad weather is forecasted, listen to the Met Service weather reports and NEMO Advisories. Do not listen to rumours on social media or elsewhere. NEMO continues its preparations for national emergencies and disasters.

The NEMO Emergency Hotline is 936. NEMO's Emergency Coordinators can be reached as follows:

� Corozal, Mr. Ronnie Hernandez at 614 7140;
� Orange Walk, Mr. Aragon at 615 2264; or Mr. Leiva at 661 9167
� Belize District, Mr. Alphius Gillett at 614 4735;
� San Pedro, Ms. Vanessa Parham at 614 5865;
� Belize City, Mr. Al Westby at 614 8604 or Mr. Pollard at 6143244;
� Belmopan, Ms. Clare Moody at 614 5705; or Mr. Eiley at 624 2365
� Cayo, Mr. Al Westby at 6148604 or Mr. Johnny Ramclam at 614 5891;
� Stann Creek (Coastal- Dangriga including Mullins River to Independence), Mr. Kevin Flores at 604 3632
� Stann Creek (Interior- Hummingbird and Southern highway communities), Mr. David Cruz at 614 8514; and
� Toledo, Mr. Kenton Parham at 614 2158 or Mr. Dennis Williams at 610 8199

This is a national preparedness message from the National Emergency Management Organization, NEMO.

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