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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: June 2, 2019

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Cloudy. A light to moderate east to southeasterly airflow prevails.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Cloudy at times with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms especially over northern areas.
Winds: East-Southeast | 5-15 kts, Sea State: Choppy-Moderate
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: A few showers mainly north on Monday and over the south Monday night. Elsewhere showers will be isolated.
Daily Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea, or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

  Winds Seas Waves Details
Tomorrow E-SE 10-20 kts Rough 5-7 ft A FEW SHOWERS NORTH, DECREASING.
Outlook E-SE 10-20 kts Rough 5-7 ft A FEW SHOWERS SOUTH.

The Caribbean Sea

A ridge N of the area is producing moderate to locally fresh trade winds across most of the Caribbean Sea. A broad area of low pressure persists across Central America, helping to induce some convective activity from northern Costa Rica to Guatemala. Abundant moisture, with embedded showers is noted ahead of a mid- to upper level trough that extends from Puerto Rico to the ABC Islands. This is affecting the Lesser Antilles, where some shower activity has been reported. These weather conditions will persist today, keeping the likelihood of showers in the eastern Caribbean and the Lesser Antilles. Moisture is also forecast to increase over Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands today. This combined with the local effects and diurnal heating will produce scattered showers across the eastern part of the island in the morning, then across western Puerto Rico in the afternoon.

Looking ahead, a broad low pressure is forecast to develop across the western Atlantic to the N of Puerto Rico late Tue and drift NE through Thu, helping to maintain a moderate to fresh tradewind flow across the basin. As of 0600 UTC, a surface trough is analyzed from 22N64W to Puerto Rico near 18N66W.

  High Low
Coastal 31° C
87° F
27° C
81° F
Inland 33° C
92° F
24° C
76° F
Hills 27° C
81° F
22° C
72° F
High: 8:50 AM Low: 3:57 PM
High: 10:18 PM Low: 3:09 AM (Mon)
Sunrise: 5:17 AM Moonset: 5:53 PM
Sunset: 6:24 PM Moonrise: 5:30 AM (Mon)

Four Day Weather Outlook:

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:


Caye Caulker:

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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A very confused weather this morning, most definitely rainy season, even if you don't actually get any rain. There is a complex fight between air coming up from the south over Guatamala and south Mexico and the regular SE Caribbean winds, forming a curved line of many swellups and rain over Belize and the Yucatan. Presently causing isolated rain showers and thunder, over coastal Stann Creek and central Corozal districts. But this fight line is moving slowly westwards, so may effect much of central and northern Belize later today.

Looks like a complex weather today, sun, rain and a lot of cloud.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last night min. 25°C 77°F Yesterday max. 34°C 93°F Yesterday Rain 4 mm ( 0.16" )

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Tomorrows WEATHER for - Mon 03 Jun 2019

Belize is in that one near clear area to the east of all those massive swellups, with rain all around us but not on Belize, a little bit in western Cayo, and Toledo.

Crazy weather, anything could happen tomorrow.

[Linked Image]

I have noticed there is a very slight tendency for these many ITCZ swellups to be moving around very slowly, almost looks a little like rotation.

Now I see they have put up an INVEST 91L on this area. They have not give a position, but their map comes up with this, with their centre as being more or less in the centre of this picture :
So it could develop in the Gulf, but would not effect us, but we may well get more rain from it tonight or tomorrow.

[Linked Image]

The rain development is moving northwards. This is not wind moving the rain, just the way it is developing.

[Linked Image]

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