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Belize Weather Forecast: July 31, 2019 #537545
07/31/19 05:58 AM
07/31/19 05:58 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 67,599
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: July 31, 2019


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Partly cloudy. Relatively moist and unstable conditions continue to dominate our weather. Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Sunny skies with some cloudy spells today and partly cloudy skies tonight. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will occur mostly over southern and inland areas today. Elsewhere showers will be isolated.
Winds: East | 5-10 kts, Sea State: Slight Chop
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: For Thursday and Thursday night is for mainly fair weather with only isolated showers developing.
Daily Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea, or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

  Winds Seas Waves Details
Today E 5-10 kts Slight 1-3 ft A FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
Tonight E-NE 5-10 kts Slight 1-3 ft A FEW SHOWERS OR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MOSTLY SOUTH.
Tomorrow E-NE 5-10 kts Slight 1-3 ft MAINLY FAIR WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS.
Outlook E-NE 5-10 kts Slight 1-3 ft ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS MOSTLY SOUTH.

The Caribbean Sea

There are two Tropical Waves affecting the Caribbean Sea. Upper-level divergence near western Cuba is supporting scattered showers and tstorms north of 19N and west of 82W, with isolated activity in the Gulf of Honduras. Weak upper-level anticyclonic flow covers much of the Caribbean. Subsidence and relatively dry air are over much of the Central Caribbean. Isolated showers and tstorms are in the far SW Caribbean from 10N-12N between 80W-83W. The western Caribbean is experiencing gentle to moderate winds. Fresh to strong winds are near and east of the tropical wave along 73W.

A pair of tropical waves will cross from the eastern and central Caribbean into the western Caribbean through the end of the week, bringing scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms to the Greater Antilles. In the wake of these waves, trade winds will increase in the south central Caribbean Thursday and Friday, bringing fresh to strong easterly breezes.


  High Low
Coastal 31° C
88° F
27° C
80° F
Inland 35° C
95° F
23° C
74° F
Hills 29° C
84° F
20° C
68° F
TIDES:
High: 8:55 AM Low: 4:07 PM
High: 10:28 PM Low: 3:15 AM (Thu)
Sunrise: 5:31 AM Moonset: 6:20 PM
Sunset: 6:26 PM Moonrise: 5:58 AM (Thu)




Four Day Weather Outlook:


For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=MD1029#history

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: July 31, 2019 [Re: Marty] #537546
07/31/19 06:00 AM
07/31/19 06:00 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 67,599
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
[Linked Image]

A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, now has a 40% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone within 5 days. The wave continues to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms No significant development of this system is expected for the next few days while it moves westward at about 15 mph. Thereafter, upper-level winds are forecast to gradually become more conducive, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles.

[Linked Image]

A tropical disturbance that has been drifting over the Caribbean since this past weekend is forecast to drift northwestward toward Florida and may gather some strength along the way this week.

The greatest threat from the feature along its path is likely to be from flooding downpours.

The disturbance, which is also referred to as a tropical wave in the weather community, has a small chance to become the fourth tropical depression of the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season.

"Waters are sufficiently warm for tropical development in the Caribbean," according to AccuWeather Meteorologist Brett Rathbun. "However, there is some wind shear in the path of the disturbance, and its forecast path takes the center near or over Hispaniola at midweek," Rathbun said.

For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: July 31, 2019 [Re: Marty] #537550
07/31/19 07:44 AM
07/31/19 07:44 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 12,851
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
.
elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning the sea around our barrier reef is flat calm and our sky is clear. We have a hint of a breeze from the Northeast. Today's expected high temperature is 88f.

july 31st.jpg

White Sands Dive Shops Daily Blog
http://scubalessonsbelize.blogspot.com/
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: July 31, 2019 [Re: Marty] #537551
07/31/19 08:34 AM
07/31/19 08:34 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 67,599
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
The humid Caribbean winds continue from the NE with lots of clumpy cloud, causing many isolated rain showers, made more active by the high level from the SW clashing just off Toledo.

Looks like today will again be a mixture of sun, cloud and rain showers.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last night min. 24°C 75°F Yesterday max. 32°C 90°F Yesterday Rain 1.1 mm (0.04" )

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: July 31, 2019 [Re: Marty] #537553
07/31/19 11:35 AM
07/31/19 11:35 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 12,851
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
.
elbert  Offline
How quickly Caribbean weather can change. On Ambergris we had several thunderheads pass and drop some rain.


White Sands Dive Shops Daily Blog
http://scubalessonsbelize.blogspot.com/
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: July 31, 2019 [Re: Marty] #537554
07/31/19 12:01 PM
07/31/19 12:01 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 67,599
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
The cloud and rain picture.... partly cloudy....

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Monthly Weather Summary, July 2019

National Meteorological Service of Belize

July, on average, is the second wettest month of the year for the country of Belize. Systems that affect the country during this month normally include tropical waves, tropical upper tropospheric troughs (TUTTs) and occasionally tropical cyclones. However, July 2019 was significantly drier than normal.

Generally fair, warm and dry conditions dominated the country from the 1st through to the 5th of July 2019. The dominant surface feature during this period was the Atlantic High Pressure Ridge north and northeast of the area which supported a moderate easterly surface flow. Based on the National Hurricane Center (NHC) analysis, tropical waves that crossed during this period were mostly south of Belize. Upper level conditions were mostly convergent and dry which inhibited the formation of deep convection over the area. As a result, only light isolated showers were noted. Most stations recorded little to no rainfall during this period, except for Melinda which recorded 22.9 mm of rainfall on the 5th.

Changes in the upper levels supported an increase in upper level divergence and atmospheric moisture over the area on the 6th. This supported an increase in showers and thunderstorms mainly over central areas of the country that afternoon. Moisture increased further on the 7th supporting showers, thunderstorms and periods of rain mainly over central and northern areas. This activity continued throughout the night of the 7th through early morning on the 8th, while spreading to most areas of the country. A total of 106 mm of rainfall was recorded at Punta Gorda on the morning of the 8th of July. NHC analysis showed a tropical wave passing over the country around midday on the 8th.

Another dry spell affected most of the country from the 9th through to the 14th of July 2019. Showers were isolated across the country except for slightly more in the south during the nighttime hours. One tropical wave crossed with axis mostly south of the country on the 13th. This system produced rainfall mostly over southern Belize. As a result Punta Gorda recorded 24 mm and 26 mm of rainfall on the 13th and 14th, respectively.

A tropical wave crossed the country late on the 15th supporting a modest increase in moisture and resulting in a few showers and isolated thunderstorms over central and southern areas of the country. Slightly moist conditions lingered over the area on the following day, resulting in similar weather. Another tropical wave then crossed the country late on the 17th supporting a few showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly over inland areas during the evening then spreading to southern areas overnight. Belmopan recorded 26.6 mm of rainfall on the 17th.

Relatively dry conditions returned over the country later on the 18th through to the 19th. This was followed by an increase in moisture once more on the 20th due to passage of a tropical wave coupled with favorable conditions at the upper levels. This aided in the development of some showers and a few thunderstorms over southern Belize before dawn on the 20th. A few showers, thunderstorms and periods of rain then spread to most areas of the country later in the day. This activity continued throughout the night of the 20th through early morning on the 21st, decreasing later in the day. The highest reported daily rainfall was at Hershey where a total of 129.2 mm was recorded on the morning of the 20th.

A third dry spell for the month was noted from the 22nd to the 27th of July 2019. The dry was particularly intense during the first two days of this dry spell with little to no rainfall observed across the country. Based on NHC analysis a weak tropical wave crossed mostly south of the country late on the 22nd but this did not produce any significant rainfall over Belize. The remainder of the period continued mostly dry but isolated showers were noted. Tropical waves crossed on the early morning of the 25th and around midnight on the 26th. These supported generally isolated showers across the country.

Another and slightly stronger tropical wave crossed on the night of the 27th. This system produced a few showers and thunderstorms mostly over southern and central areas on the night of the 27th through early morning of the 28th. This activity decreased later in the day of the 28th. 64 mm of rainfall was recorded in Punta Gorda.

The last few days of July 2019 saw variations in moisture levels. Showers were generally isolated on the 29th with more activity over the south during the night. The 30th saw a few showers and isolated thunderstorms in the south during the morning and inland later in the afternoon. Finally, on the last day of July 2019 a few showers and isolated thunderstorms affected mostly central and northern parts of the country.

Although several tropical waves crossed the area in July 2019, these were mostly weak and crossed mostly south of the country. As a result rainfall was well below normal for most of the country during the month. The graph and maps below summarize the total rainfall and average maximum and minimum temperature recorded during the month of July 2019. They also give an indication of how these readings compare to the normal for the month across the stations sampled. As can be seen, rainfall was below normal for the entire country during the month. Values ranged from around 20% below normal in the south to over 50% below normal over central and northern areas. In terms of maximum/daytime temperatures, all of the stations sampled here show that daytime temperatures were warmer than normal during July 2019. A similar conclusion can be made about the nighttime/minimum temperatures across the country, except for Central Farm where nighttimes were slightly cooler than average for the month.

Monthly Rainfall Summary

[Linked Image]

Monthly Maximum Temperatures

[Linked Image]

Monthly Minimum Temperatures

[Linked Image]

Rainfall Observed: January 2019 (mm)

[Linked Image]

Rainfall Observed: January 2019 (% Above/Below Average)

[Linked Image]


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