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Posts: 84,397
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Belize Weather Forecast: September 23, 2019
General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS:
Present Condition: Clear skies except for the deep south. Generally fair weather prevails.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast:
Sunny with cloudy spells and partly cloudy skies tonight. Showers or thunderstorms will be isolated, except over the south and inland, where a few more will develop.
Winds: Variable | 0-5 kts, Sea State: Slight
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook:
Tuesday and Tuesday night is for isolated showers or thunderstorms, but a few more will affect the south and inland areas.
Tropical Weather Outlook:
At 3:00am Tropical Storm Karen was centered near 13.6N, 63.9W or about 180 miles west of St. Vincent. Tropical Storm Jerry was centered near 27.8N, 67.7W or about 355 miles SSW of Bermuda. Tropical Depression 13 was near 10.8N, 22.2W or about 505 miles SSE of the southernmost Cape Verde Islands.
Click for more...
Marine Conditions:
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Winds |
Seas |
Waves |
Details |
Today |
Variable 00-05 kts |
Slight |
1-3 ft |
ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS; A FEW MORE WILL AFFECT THE SOUTH. |
Tonight |
Variable 00-05 kts |
Slight |
1-3 ft |
ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS; A FEW MORE WILL AFFECT THE SOUTH |
Tomorrow |
Variable 00-05 kts |
Slight |
1-3 ft |
ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. |
Outlook |
Variable 00-05 kts |
Slight |
1-3 ft |
ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS; A FEW MORE WILL AFFECT THE SOUTH. |
The Caribbean Sea
Tropical Storm
Karen is in the SE Caribbean. A surface trough extends from the west Atlantic across the
Bahamas, to the Florida Straits near 24N80W to the eastern Gulf
near 23N86W. Scattered showers and tstorms are seen south of
Hispaniola, the Mona Passage and eastern Cuba. Scatterometer data
depicts light to gentle winds across most of the basin, except
the eastern Caribbean near T.S. Karen.
Karen will change little in intensity as it moves 26.5N 65.5W
early Fri, and continue to 27.0N 67.0W early Sat. Otherwise, a
fairly weak pressure pattern with light and variable winds and low
seas will prevail across the western and central Caribbean
through Thu, with more typical conditions and trades returning by
the end of the week as high pressure builds N of the area in the
wake of Karen. A tropical wave may reach the Tropical N Atlantic
waters by the end of the week.
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High |
Low |
Coastal |
32° C 90° F
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26° C 78° F
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Inland |
36deg; C 96° F
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22° C 72° F
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Hills |
30° C 86° F
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20° C 68° F
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TIDES: |
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Low: 11:59 AM |
High: 6:26 PM |
Low: 10:50 PM |
High: 5:16 AM (Tue) |
Sunrise: 5:41 AM |
Moonset: 1:48 PM |
Sunset: 5:47 PM |
Moonrise: 1:18 AM |
Four Day Weather Outlook:
For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.
Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook
Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)
Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro
Philip S W Goldson International Airport: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today
Belmopan: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78
Caye Caulker: http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm
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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,397
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OP
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Tropical Storm Jerry will continue on a northwesterly path through Sunday night before gradually turning north, then northeasterly this week. This path would take the storm close to Bermuda Tuesday night. It's possible that Jerry regains hurricane strength by this time. Jerry will threaten Bermuda with heavy rain, some flooding and mostly minor wind damage during this time. Jerry will then quickly accelerate away from Bermuda on Wednesday and Thursday as it transitions into a non-tropical cyclone and becomes absorbed in the westerlies. Tropical Storm Karen formed east of the Lesser Antilles early Sunday morning. Karen's circulation is now west of the Lesser Antilles but will continue to bring gusty winds and heavy rainfall to Grenada, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, and Trinidad and Tobago through Sunday night. The storm will take a turn northward Monday toward Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. With moderate wind shear over the storm, Karen should remain a tropical storm as it passes over Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands Tuesday. Another tropical system, just off the African coast, strengthened into Tropical Depression 13 Sunday evening. If the depression becomes a tropical storm, it will be named Lorenzo. This storm should take a west-northwestward path over the open waters of the Atlantic and not be an immediate threat to land. For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here
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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,397
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OP
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There has been a significant change in our weather over the last couple of days, not that you might notice, but there is no Caribbean winds. The tiny movement of Caribbean clouds are away from Belize. There is a significant air movement up from the south over southern Toledo, and other cloud pushing in from the west. The surface wind over Belmopan is the SW 'Tiger' wind from the mountains. Very little rain around anywhere. Looks like another hot day, hopefully, some easterly wind will develop later today, not expecting much, of any rain. Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last night min. 24°C 75°F Yesterday max. 35°C 95°F Yesterday Rain 0 mm (0.0" )
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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,397
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OP
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There are 3 named storms out there, none threatening Belize.
TS JERRY, TS KAREN, and TS LORENZO.
I do not see Karen as being a TS or developing, but they do expect Lorenzo to develop into a hurricane in the mid
Atlantic.
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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,397
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OP
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Present Condition: Mostly clear
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