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Belize Weather Forecast: September 30, 2019 #538505
09/30/19 05:51 AM
09/30/19 05:51 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 71,964
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: September 30, 2019

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Partly cloudy. Somewhat moist and unstable conditions willl continue over the area becoming drier. Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Sunny with a few cloudy spells today and cloudy at times tonight. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue mainly over central and some coastal areas this morning, then mostly over inland and southern areas this afternoon and tonight.
Winds: Variable | 0-5 kts, Sea State: Slight
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 87
Outlook: For Tuesday and Tuesday night is for a few showers or isolated thunderstorms to continue over central and southern areas, decreasing.
Tropical Weather Outlook: At 9:00pm last night Hurricane Lorenzo was centered near 27.6N, 43.5W or about 1195 miles WSW of the Azores. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours.Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

  Winds Seas Waves Details
Outlook Variable 0-5 kts Slight 1-3 ft ISOLATED SHOWERS OR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

The Caribbean Sea

A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 72W/73W, from 19N in Haiti southward, moving W 10 to 15 knots. Cyclonic wind flow is in the Caribbean Sea, from 70W eastward, with an inverted trough. Upper level NE wind flow is moving across the area of the tropical wave. Precipitation: widely scattered to scattered moderate and isolated strong from the Windward Passage to 24N between 70W and 80W, across the Greater Antilles and parts of the Bahamas. An upper level trough is in the Atlantic Ocean, with its base reaching the NW half of Cuba. A surface trough also is in the Atlantic Ocean, along 23N60W 22N66W 20N70W. Other isolated moderate from 12N northward from 64W westward. Some of this precipitation is near the cyclonic wind flow and the upper level inverted trough from 70W eastward, in the Caribbean Sea.

The upper level cyclonic circulation center, that was near 14N82W, 24 hours ago, now is an inverted trough that extends from the Gulf of Honduras southward.

The monsoon trough is along 09N73W in Colombia, across southern Panama near 08N81W, beyond 08N85W in the eastern Pacific Ocean. along 80W, and along the eastern Pacific Ocean coast from Panama to Guatemala. Precipitation: scattered strong in clusters, from Panama to 12N between the Lake Maracaibo Venezuela area and western Panama coastal areas.

Swell, generated from Hurricane Lorenzo, will continue to propagate into the tropical N Atlantic Ocean and the Caribbean Sea passages through early this week. Gentle to moderate trade winds will prevail across the rest of the Caribbean Sea. It is possible that a broad area of low pressure may form in the western Caribbean Sea by the middle of the week.

  High Low
Coastal 31° C
88° F
27° C
80° F
Inland 34deg; C
94° F
23° C
73° F
Hills 29° C
84° F
20° C
68° F
High: 11:17 AM Low: 5:02 PM
High: 11:08 PM Low: 5:47 AM (Tue)
Sunrise: 5:42 AM Moonrise: 7:34 AM
Sunset: 5:42 PM Moonset: 7:35 PM

Four Day Weather Outlook:

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Centers Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:


Caye Caulker:

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 30, 2019 [Re: Marty] #538506
09/30/19 08:54 AM
09/30/19 08:54 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 71,964
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
All sorts of wind activity, the Caribbean winds from the north, high level from the east, clashing in a few places causing a few pockets of rain.

Looks like today is going to be rather mixed, cloud, sun, scattered rain, could be ore this afternoon.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last night min. 25C 77F Yesterday max. 33C 92F Yesterday Rain 0.4 mm ( 0.02" )

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 30, 2019 [Re: Marty] #538507
09/30/19 09:10 AM
09/30/19 09:10 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,071
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have sunny skies and a breeze from the North East at 7 mph. The sea around our barrier reef is calm. Today's expected high temperature is in the upper 80's.

sept 30.jpg

White Sands Dive Shops Daily Blog
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 30, 2019 [Re: Marty] #538512
09/30/19 11:06 AM
09/30/19 11:06 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 71,964
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
Present Condition: Partly cloudy

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 30, 2019 [Re: Marty] #538516
09/30/19 11:32 AM
09/30/19 11:32 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 71,964
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
There are increasing rain showers around, generally moving down from the NNE
I said yesterday I could feel rain coming, it did happen, but only a small area near us.

[Linked Image]

Monthly Weather Summary, January 2019

National Meteorological Service of Belize

September is typically a wet month for the country of Belize. It also coincides with the peak of the Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season and a significant amount of the historical tropical cyclones that have affected the country occurred during the month of September. Apart from tropical cyclones, other systems that typically affect Belize during the month of September include tropical waves, Tropical Upper Troposheric Troughs (TUTTs) and at times cold fronts and frontal shear lines affect the country as early as September.

September 2019 was drier than normal for most of the country. Driest conditions were experienced over central and southern coastal areas. The north was just a bit drier than normal. The month started off slightly moist with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms affecting mostly inland areas on the first two days. The main synoptic feature at the surface was powerful Hurricane Dorian northeast of the area near the Bahamas. This created a very slack pressure pattern over our area with light and variable winds. A weak tropical wave crossed late during the night of the 1st through early morning of the 2nd.

Conditions became drier from the 3rd and 4th. Showers and thunderstorms were generally isolated during this period with slightly more affecting the southern districts during the nighttime. Another increase in moisture followed the passage of a tropical wave on the 5th. However, showers and thunderstorms were confined mostly to the south that day. Showers and thunderstorms increased later on the night of the 5th through to the 6th with activity spreading to other areas of the country.

The 7th and 8th saw a diurnal pattern of overnight showers and thunderstorms in the south, spreading to other areas in the early morning and becoming isolated by afternoon. Moisture increased over the area on the 9th with the approach of the third tropical wave for the month. The tropical wave crossed late in the evening supporting a few showers mostly over central, southern and inland areas of the country. Conditions continued relatively moist during the following two days (10th and 11th). This moisture along with relatively divergent conditions at the upper levels continued to support the development of a few showers and thunderstorms across the country. Punta Gorda recorded a total of 116 mm of rainfall on the 10th.

The fourth tropical wave to cross the country in September 2019 did so around midday on the 12th. This wave arrived under favorable upper level dynamics and aided the development of a few showers and thunderstorms mostly over northern areas of the country. Libertad recorded 27.8 mm of rainfall that day. The 13th continued relatively moist with some showers and thunderstorms affecting most areas of the country. Although, the 5th tropical wave for the month crossed on the 14th showers and thunderstorms that day were not as widespread as on the previous day.

Moisture decreased further over the area on the 15th. A few showers and thunderstorms over southern and central portions of the mainland in the morning became generally isolated after mid-afternoon. Generally fair condition continued across the country from the 16th through to the 19th. Showers were generally isolated with a few more along with isolated thunderstorms at times over the Toledo district.

The passage of the 6th tropical wave for the month on the 20th saw an increase in moisture across the country. This supported the development of a few showers and isolated thunderstorms during the morning hours that decreased after mid-afternoon. The National Hurricane Center's analysis suggests that a 7th wave crossed on the 21st. However, this system was weak and only supported a few showers and isolated thunderstorms over the Maya Mountains and only isolated showers elsewhere.

A very slack pressure pattern dominated across the area from the 22nd through to the 26th. Additionally, conditions were relatively moist during the period. Rainfall records suggests that most rainfall activity occurred over northern and inland areas during this period. Libertad in the Corozal district recorded 68.8 mm of rainfall on the 25th while Belmopan recorded 30.1 mm that same day.

The last few days of the month continued slightly moist with weakly divergent conditions at the upper levels. This supported some instability over the area. Showers and thunderstorms occurred mostly during the late evening to nighttime hours during this period.

In summary, although the month of September 2019 saw relatively moist atmospheric conditions for quite a few days, this did not translate to substantial amounts of rainfall. On the contrary, most areas of the country experienced below normal rainfall. The graph and maps below summarize the total rainfall and average maximum and minimum temperature recorded during the month of September 2019. They also give an indication of how these readings compare to the normal for the month across the stations sampled. As can be seen, rainfall was below normal for most of the country. However, the extreme north (Libertad) was only slightly below normal compared to other areas. In terms of maximum temperatures most of the stations sampled here reported higher than average maximum / daytime temperatures except for the Belize Zoo. A similar situation can be said for minimum/nighttime temperatures where all the stations except for Central Farm reported temperatures warmer than usual during the nighttime.

Monthly Rainfall Summary

[Linked Image]

Monthly Maximum Temperatures

[Linked Image]

Monthly Minimum Temperatures

[Linked Image]

Rainfall Observed: January 2019 (mm)

[Linked Image]

Rainfall Observed: January 2019 (% Above/Below Average)

[Linked Image]

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