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Belize Weather Forecast: October 3, 2019 #538564
10/03/19 06:12 AM
10/03/19 06:12 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 65,273
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

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Belize Weather Forecast: October 3, 2019


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Partly cloudy. A broad area of low pressure maintains relatively moist and unstable conditions over our area. Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Skies will be cloudy with sunny breaks today and cloudy at times tonight. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will develop mostly over inland areas this afternoon, then spread to most areas tonight with some periods of rain.
Winds: West-Southwest | 5-10 kts, Sea State: Slight
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 87
Outlook: Is for some cloudy spells with a few showers and thunderstorms developing mostly over northern and inland areas Friday afternoon, then over southern and some coastal areas Friday night.
Tropical Weather Outlook: A broad area of low pressure is located over the Northwestern Caribbean Sea. Development, if any, will be slow to occur, and this system has a low chance of further development. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

  Winds Seas Waves Details
Today W-SW 5-10 kts Slight 1-3 ft A FEW SHOWERS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DECREASING.
Tonight Variable 00-05 kts Slight 1-3 ft A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
Tomorrow SW 5-10 kts Slight 1-3 ft A FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DECREASING.
Outlook Variable 00-05 kts Slight 1-3 ft A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

The Caribbean Sea

A 1007 mb low pressure center is along 84W, about 180 nm to 190 nm to the S of NW Cuba and to the north of Honduras. Precipitation: isolated moderate in and along the coast of Honduras, and in eastern Guatemala. Scattered to numerous strong is in the coastal waters of Cuba from 81W eastward to the Yucatan Channel. The upper level winds are expected to be unfavorable for development into a tropical cyclone during the next few days. It is possible that the environmental conditions may become a little more conducive for some slow development to occur, while the system moves slowly west-northwestward near or over the Yucatan Peninsula and into the the southern Gulf of Mexico, by the weekend and early next week.

A broad area of low pressure in the NW Caribbean Sea will move NW slowly, toward the Yucatan Peninsula and the Yucatan Chanel through Thursday night. Fresh trade winds will prevail in the east central Caribbean Sea, from tonight through Friday night. The winds will range from moderate to fresh from Saturday through Monday. A tropical wave will reach the Lesser Antilles by Thursday night, move into the eastern Caribbean Sea from Friday through Saturday, and then cross the central and western Caribbean Sea on Sunday and Monday.


  High Low
Coastal 31° C
88° F
26° C
78° F
Inland 35deg; C
95° F
23° C
73° F
Hills 29° C
84° F
20° C
68° F
TIDES:
Low: 7:42 AM High: 1:48 PM
Low: 7:03 PM High: 1:12 AM (Thu)
Sunrise: 5:43 AM Moonrise: 10:33 AM
Sunset: 5:39 PM Moonset: 10:01 PM




Four Day Weather Outlook:


For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Centers Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 3, 2019 [Re: Marty] #538565
10/03/19 06:13 AM
10/03/19 06:13 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 65,273
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

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Marty  Online Happy OP
[Linked Image]

A broad area of low pressure located over the northwestern Caribbean
Sea continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Although surface pressures are low across the area, upper-level
winds are forecast to be unfavorable for development during the next
few days. By the weekend and early next week, however, environmental
conditions could become a little more conducive for some slow
development to occur while the system moves slowly westward to
west-northwestward, passing near or over the Yucatan peninsula and
into the the southern Gulf of Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

AccuWeather meteorologists are watching an area of disturbed weather over the Caribbean for potential tropical development in the days ahead. "This feature will move into the far northwestern Caribbean by Friday and move into the southern Gulf of Mexico near the northern Yucatan Peninsula this weekend, This feature has a chance of organizing this weekend to early next week " Dan Kottlowski, AccuWeather's top hurricane expert, said.

Rapid development of this feature is not likely early on. However, with the warm waters in the region, it is possible the system ramps up if it organizes in the first place. Steering winds are likely to prevent the feature from moving northward into the United States. However, the system may push westward into Mexico or the system could stall over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico next week. Heavy rainfall can occur in parts of Central America, southeastern Mexico and perhaps part of the United States Gulf Coast at some point in lieu of any strong feature.

[Linked Image]

There is a strong TROPICAL WAVE, not yet designated by NHC-Miami, in the upcoming week, October 2-9, 2019, for possible further development into a TROPICAL DEPRESSION or TROPICAL STORM, to be named Melissa

For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 3, 2019 [Re: Marty] #538566
10/03/19 07:31 AM
10/03/19 07:31 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 12,757
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
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elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have rain, heavy cloud cover and a flat calm sea from a NW wind at 10 mph. The expected high temperature for the day is 87f.

oct 3rd.jpg

White Sands Dive Shops Daily Blog
http://scubalessonsbelize.blogspot.com/
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 3, 2019 [Re: Marty] #538567
10/03/19 07:31 AM
10/03/19 07:31 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 65,273
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

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Marty  Online Happy OP
The Caribbean winds are hardly moving, but there is a mid or high level cloud from the east and there are lower winds from the west. There is significant clashing out at sea and rain in several areas, but non on land. There is a light surface "Tiger" wind from the SW.

Looks as if there will be a fair amount of mid and high level cloud around for much of the day, could be some rain later.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last night min. 23C 74F Yesterday max. 32C 90F Yesterday Rain 5.5 mm ( 0.22" )

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 3, 2019 [Re: Marty] #538572
10/03/19 11:11 AM
10/03/19 11:11 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 65,273
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

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Marty  Online Happy OP
Present Condition: Partly Cloudy

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 3, 2019 [Re: Marty] #538573
10/03/19 11:55 AM
10/03/19 11:55 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 65,273
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

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Marty  Online Happy OP
The cloud picture....

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 3, 2019 [Re: Marty] #538574
10/03/19 03:33 PM
10/03/19 03:33 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 65,273
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

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Marty  Online Happy OP
Rain in a number of places, just sort of developing where it is, not moving in.

[Linked Image]


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