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Belize Weather Forecast: October 6, 2019 #538611
10/06/19 05:57 AM
10/06/19 05:57 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 64,083
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: October 6, 2019


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Partly cloudy, heavy rain in the north. Relatively moist and unstable conditions continue to exist over the area. Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells today and cloudy at times tonight. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will occur mostly over inland areas today, increasing to occur mostly over northern and central areas tonight.
Winds: Variable | 0-10 kts, Sea State: Slight
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 87
Outlook: For Monday and Monday night is for similar weather conditions.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico, during the next 48 hours. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

  Winds Seas Waves Details
Today Variable 00-10 kts Slight 1-3 ft A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, MOSTLY OVER THE NORTH, DECREASING.
Tonight Variable 00-10 kts Slight 1-3 ft A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
Tomorrow Variable 00-05 kts Slight 1-3 ft ISOLATED SHOWERS OR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
Outlook Variable 00-05 kts Slight 1-3 ft MONDAY NIGHT:- A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

The Caribbean Sea

A tropical wave is over the E Caribbean. An upper level trough extends across the northern Caribbean which is interacting with a plume of moisture south of Cuba. This is causing a cluster moderate convection to persist across the NW basin from 16N-22N between 78W-86W. A surface trough is analyzed near this convective activity from 18N87W to 21N80W. The eastern Pacific monsoon trough continues to enhance convection across the SW Caribbean, S of 14N between 73W-76W. Upper level ridging extends into the eastern Caribbean which is inhibiting deep convection although showers are moving across the Lesser Antilles westward into Puerto Rico. Latest scatterometer data depicts moderate trades in the south- central Caribbean with light to gentle trades across the rest of the basin.

A weak tropical wave over the Caribbean near 68W will continue moving west through the central Caribbean through tonight, then cross the western Caribbean Monday and Monday night. Moderate to fresh trades will persist over the central and eastern Caribbean into Monday. Another tropical wave will reach the Lesser Antilles Monday. Expect fresh to locally strong winds as this wave passes over the eastern and central Caribbean through the middle of next week. Elsewhere, N swell generated by a cold front north of the area will result in building seas east of the Lesser Antilles Monday through Tuesday.


  High Low
Coastal 31° C
88° F
25° C
77° F
Inland 33deg; C
92° F
23° C
73° F
Hills 28° C
82° F
20° C
68° F
TIDES:
Low: 11:10 AM High: 6:47 PM
Low: 10:37 PM High: 4:23 AM (Mon)
Sunrise: 5:44 AM Moonrise: 1:13 PM
Sunset: 5:37 PM Moonset: 12:37 AM (Mon)




Four Day Weather Outlook:


For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 6, 2019 [Re: Marty] #538612
10/06/19 05:57 AM
10/06/19 05:57 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 64,083
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
[Linked Image]

Monitoring continues in the Atlantic Ocean for tropical development this week

The Atlantic Ocean is void of organized tropical disturbances for the first time in weeks. However, meteorologists continue to monitor several areas for tropical development this week.

"A storm may form in the middle layer of the atmosphere a few hundred miles east of Bermuda during Tuesday and Wednesday," according to Dan Kottlowski, AccuWeather's top hurricane expert. The system may develop some tropical characteristics and become a subtropical storm system during the middle or latter part of the week. If that storm were to merge quickly with another system west of Bermuda, tropical development would be unlikely. However, if the non-tropical system and the midocean storm remain separate, there is a greater chance for the midocean storm to become tropical in nature. Either way, it appears the midocean storm is likely to remain east of the United States. A greater threat to the United States would be the area of concern to the west of Bermuda.

Meanwhile, a broad area of showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean will shift into the southern Gulf of Mexico this week, causing some concern in the region. However, strong vertical wind shear is in place over the western Gulf of Mexico and the wind field is expected to grow in coverage in the coming days, said Kottlowski. These conditions will likely prevent any development across the region. Instead, the only impacts are some slightly enhanced showers across parts of the Florida Peninsula into Monday night. The pattern has the potential to deliver a few inches of rain to some locations over the Florida Peninsula, which will help some communities that have below-normal precipitation.

For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 6, 2019 [Re: Marty] #538615
10/06/19 09:38 AM
10/06/19 09:38 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 64,083
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
A lot of activity and rain around, but none on Belize. The rain in the sea is also drying up.

Looks as if today will be mainly overcast, with a small chance of a few rain showers later.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last night min. 24°C 74°F Yesterday max. 33°C 91°F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0.0" )

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 6, 2019 [Re: Marty] #538616
10/06/19 11:21 AM
10/06/19 11:21 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 64,083
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Present Condition: Mostly Cloudy

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 6, 2019 [Re: Marty] #538617
10/06/19 03:15 PM
10/06/19 03:15 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 64,083
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Rain developing along the low mountain regions.

[Linked Image]


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