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Belize Weather Forecast: October 12, 2019 #538712
10/12/19 06:03 AM
10/12/19 06:03 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 65,177
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: October 12, 2019


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Thunderstorm. A temporary break in showery activity is expected later today, before a gradual increase is expected late tomorrow. Advisories: *A broad area of low pressure may develop across the southwestern Caribbean in a day or two. Some development is possible if the low remains over water while moving near our coast. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is like over our area early next week.*
24-hour forecast: Mostly sunny with a few cloudy spells and partly cloudy skies tonight. Showers or thunderstorms will be isolated, except for a few more over inland areas this afternoon, then mainly over the north tonight.
Winds: East-Northeast | 5-10 kts, Sea State: Slight
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: Is for isolated showers or thunderstorms on Sunday, then a gradual increase in showers, periods of rain and thunderstorms is expected mostly over central and southern areas late Sunday night.
Tropical Weather Outlook: A broad area of low pressure may develop across the southwestern Caribbean in a day or two. Some development is possible if the low remains over water while moving near our coast. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is like over our area early next week. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

  Winds Seas Waves Details
Today E-NE 5-10 kts Slight 1-3 ft A FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS, DECREASING.
Tonight E-NE 5-15 kts Slight 1-3 ft A FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS, MAINLY SOUTH.
Tomorrow E-NE 5-15 kts Light Chop-Choppy 2-4 ft ISOLATED SHOWERS OR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
Outlook E-NE 10-20 kts Choppy-Moderate 3-5 ft A FEW SHOWERS, PERIODS OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS, INCREASING.

The Caribbean Sea

There is a tropical wave over the west Caribbean. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the SW Caribbean Sea this weekend. This system is forecast to move westward toward Central America early next week, and some development is possible if the low remains over water while moving near the coasts of Honduras, Guatemala, and Belize. As the low tracks westward toward Central America by early next week it will likely interact with a Central American gyre. Through the weekend, heavy rainfall is likely across Colombia, Panama, Costa Rica and eastern portions of Nicaragua and Honduras. By early next week, the heavy rain will continue in those locations and spread northwestward to the rest of Central America as well as southern Mexico. These rains could cause life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides.

TPW imagery depicts abundant moisture over the southern Caribbean and northern South America. The Pacific monsoon trough extends from Colombia westward across the SW Caribbean Sea into northern Costa Rica and southern Nicaragua. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection covers the SW Caribbean mainly south of 16N and west of 71W.

A broad low pressure area centered east of Nicaragua will move W-NW into Central America through early next week. Fresh to strong winds are possible in the western Caribbean and offshore waters of Central America Mon and Tue from this system.


  High Low
Coastal 30° C
86° F
26° C
78° F
Inland 32deg; C
90° F
21° C
70° F
Hills 27° C
80° F
20° C
68° F
TIDES:
Low: 3:29 AM High: 9:12 AM
Low: 9:20 PM High: 3:42 AM (Sun)
Sunrise: 5:45 AM Moonrise: 5:11 PM
Sunset: 5:32 PM Moonset: 5:31 AM (Sun)




Four Day Weather Outlook:


For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Centers Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 12, 2019 [Re: Marty] #538713
10/12/19 06:04 AM
10/12/19 06:04 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 65,177
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP

...Heavy rainfall event for Central America...

A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the SW Caribbean Sea this weekend. This system is forecast to move westward toward Central America early next week, and some development is possible if the low remains over water while moving near the coasts of Honduras, Guatemala, and Belize. As the low tracks westward toward Central America by early next week it will likely interact with a Central American gyre. Through the weekend, heavy rainfall is likely across Colombia, Panama, Costa Rica and eastern portions of Nicaragua and Honduras. By early next week, the heavy rain will continue in those locations and spread northwestward to the rest of Central America as well as southern Mexico. These rains could cause life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides.


For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 12, 2019 [Re: Marty] #538720
10/12/19 07:56 AM
10/12/19 07:56 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 12,757
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
.
elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have rain, a calm sea and heavy overcast sky. The expected high temperature for the day is 86 f.

12thoct.jpg

White Sands Dive Shops Daily Blog
http://scubalessonsbelize.blogspot.com/
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 12, 2019 [Re: Marty] #538721
10/12/19 10:35 AM
10/12/19 10:35 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 65,177
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
There is a fair bit of rain around the western Caribbean and the easterly Caribbean winds are back to normal, but still only scattered rain showers around, more so over PG this morning.

Looks like a mixed day significant clouds, some sun and a chance of some rain showers.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last night min. 23C 74F Yesterday max. 32C 90F Yesterday Rain 7.2 mm ( 0.28" )

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 12, 2019 [Re: Marty] #538723
10/12/19 12:52 PM
10/12/19 12:52 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 65,177
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Present Condition: Thunderstorm. Rain showers getting more around much of the country at present.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 12, 2019 [Re: Marty] #538724
10/13/19 03:58 AM
10/13/19 03:58 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 65,177
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Regarding a storm brewing up down off Nicaragua, the cloud I showed this morning has now dispersed, so even less likely for any development. But because it is close to us, we must keep watching closely.

But it does look as if there is a very significant ITCZ type swellup on the El Salvador Pacific coast, that could develop into something. . . I cant see its rain, that is too far away for our radar, but we do have a few more showers coming across Belize over night. It looks as if our weather is beginning to get back to more normal, in which case, we should get more rain this month, perhaps even starting Sunday.

[Linked Image]

*** Tropical Weather Outlook, Saturday, October 12th 2019 at 6:00pm***

- A broad area of low pressure is forming over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is likely over Belize early next week.

The National Meteorological Service will continue to monitor the area for any possible tropical cyclone development over the next few days.

- Elsewhere, in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean sea and the Gulf of Mexico, tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next couple of days.

Again, heavy rainfall is likely over Belize early this coming week. We remind you to listen to and respond only to official information and advisories issued by the National Meteorological Service of Belize and NEMO.


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