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Belize Weather Forecast: October 18, 2019 #538792
10/18/19 06:01 AM
10/18/19 06:01 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,171
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: October 18, 2019

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Partly Cloudy. Fair and warm conditions will prevail over the area. Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Sunny today and partly cloudy to clear tonight. Showers if any, will be isolated along with the chance of an isolated afternoon thunderstorm inland.
Winds: Southeast | 5-15 kts, Sea State: Light Chop-Choppy
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: For Saturday and Saturday night is for continuing mainly fair and warm weather to prevail.
Tropical Weather Outlook: At 3:00am Potential Tropical Cyclone #16 was centered near 24.3N, 92.5W or about 390mls SSW of the mouth of the Mississippi River. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

  Winds Seas Waves Details
Today SE 5-15 kts Light Chop-Choppy 2-4 ft SHOWERS IF ANY, ISOLATED.
Tonight E-SE 5-15 kts Light Chop-Choppy 2-4 ft SHOWERS IF ANY, ISOLATED.
Tomorrow SE 5-15 kts Choppy 3-5 ft MAINLY FAIR.
Outlook E-SE 10-20 kts Choppy 3-5 ft ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS.

The Caribbean Sea

Two tropical waves are over the basin. A large mid-upper level high along with subsidence covers much of the central and northern Caribbean. Precipitation is enhanced over the Lesser Antilles in association to the tropical wave and in the SW Caribbean near the other tropical wave along 81W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is present near the Pacific monsoon trough south of 11N between 75W-80W.

Moderate to fresh trade winds are expected across the basin through the weekend, with fresh SE winds likely near the Yucatan Channel through Sat as Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen moves NE across the Gulf of Mexico. A tropical wave moving across the Lesser Antilles will be accompanied by active weather as it moves W across the eastern Caribbean through Sat.

  High Low
Coastal 33° C
91° F
28° C
83° F
Inland 36° C
96° F
24° C
75° F
Hills 30° C
86° F
22° C
72° F
Low: 6:54 AM High: 1:11 PM
Low: 5:53 PM High: 12:35 AM (Sat)
Sunrise: 5:46 AM Moonset: 9:49 AM
Sunset: 5:28 PM Moonrise: 9:17 PM

Four Day Weather Outlook:

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:


Caye Caulker:

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 18, 2019 [Re: Marty] #538793
10/18/19 06:01 AM
10/18/19 06:01 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,171
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
[Linked Image]

Next tropical depression poised to form over Gulf, aim for US

While a budding tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico will have to fight wind shear and dry air, it has the potential to become Tropical Depression 16 and perhaps Tropical Storm Nestor in the coming days before eyeing Florida.

"Tropical development can occur at any time into Saturday as the system travels northeastward over the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico," Dan Kottlowski, AccuWeather hurricane expert, said.

At 10 a.m. CDT Thursday, the National Hurricane Center began issuing advisories for Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen, due to the system becoming more organized. Tropical storm warnings are in effect for portions of the northern Gulf Coast of the United States, from the Mississippi-Alabama state border to Yankeetown, Florida.

The feature was producing maximum sustained winds of 40 mph with higher gusts early Friday morning.

Significant wind shear and dry air blown into the storm from the west may be the only factors that prevent the system from rapidly developing into a strong tropical storm or hurricane before it reaches the U.S.

AccuWeather meteorologists project that the center of this feature, whether tropical, subtropical or non-tropical in nature, will head toward the Florida Panhandle and make landfall sometime early Saturday morning.

For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 18, 2019 [Re: Marty] #538794
10/18/19 07:08 AM
10/18/19 07:08 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 12,980
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning the wind is from the Southeast at 13 mph creating a moderate sea state around our barrier reef.The expected high temperature for the day is 91 f.

oct 18th.jpg

White Sands Dive Shops Daily Blog
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 18, 2019 [Re: Marty] #538795
10/18/19 07:43 AM
10/18/19 07:43 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,171
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
That rain you see up north, is our earlier rain coming back now over the Gulf as a potential storm #16
The Caribbean winds are presently from the south together other light southerly winds, a tiny trace of high level from the west. No rain in sight, except approaching Merida.

Looks like today will be sunny, perhaps cloud developing later this morning, no rain expected

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last night min. 25°C 77°F Yesterday max. 33°C 92°F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0.0" )

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 18, 2019 [Re: Marty] #538796
10/18/19 12:47 PM
10/18/19 12:47 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,171
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
Present Condition: Partly Cloudy, most of the clouds to the north. Mostly sunny skies during the daytime and partly cloudy to clear skies tonight. Showers, if any, will be isolated, along with the chance of an isolated afternoon thunderstorm inland.

[Linked Image]

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