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Belize Weather Forecast: December 19, 2019 #539673
12/19/19 06:16 AM
12/19/19 06:16 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,402
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: December 19, 2019

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Moderate Rain. Cool, windy and moist conditions continue with a gradual decrease in moisture expected later today. Advisories: *A Small Craft Warning remains in effect for coastal waters of the country.*
24-hour forecast: Generally cloudy today and partly cloudy tonight. Cool and windy conditions with light to moderate rain over mostly central, southern and offshore areas this morning, decreasing over the mainland this afternoon. Then generally fair, windy and cool conditions tonight over most places, except for possible isolated showers or periods of light rain along the south coast and offshore.
Winds: North-Northwest | 15-25 kts | Gusty
Sea State: Rough
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 83
Outlook: For Friday and Friday night is for generally fair, windy and cool conditions with little to no rainfall.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico within the next 48 hours. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

  Winds Seas Waves Details
Tomorrow N-NW 15-25 kts Rough 7-10 ft MAINLY FAIR.
Outlook N-NW 10-20 kts Moderate-Rough 6-8 ft MAINLY FAIR.

The Caribbean Sea

A cold front extends across the western Caribbean from 21N81W to 15N86W. Scattered moderate convection is noted along and ahead of the front from the Gulf of Honduras north to west Cuba between 82W-86W. Scattered showers with isolated thunderstorms are noted in the SW Caribbean associated to the Pacific monsoon trough. Upper-level ridging extends across the eastern Caribbean, inhibiting deep convection. Low-topped showers can be seen moving across the area. Latest scatterometer data depicts strong trades north of Colombia with fresh to strong winds in the eastern and central Caribbean. Light winds are east of the front, with fresh to strong winds prevail behind the front.

High pressure north of the region will maintain fresh to strong trade winds and building seas from the tropical north Atlantic westward, to the south central Caribbean through Sat. A strong cold front will move into the Yucatan Channel this afternoon with gale force northerly winds immediately behind it through the Yucatan Channel through this evening. The front will stall and weaken from central Cuba to Honduras by Thursday night. Fresh to strong northerly winds will accompany the front across the NW Caribbean Sea.

The strong frontal northerlies will bring heavy rainfall across northwest Honduras to Puerto Barrios in central Guatemala. The heaviest rainfall will occur through Thursday with maxima of 6-8 inches. Due to strong topographical forcing, localized maxima is expected to be between 10-12 inches.

  High Low
Coastal 24° C
75° F
20° C
68° F
Inland 24° C
75° F
18° C
64° F
Hills 21° C
70° F
16° C
60° F
Low: 10:05 AM High: 4:20 PM
Low: 10:46 PM High: 4:35 AM (Fri)
Sunrise: 6:17 AM Moonset: 12:30 PM
Sunset: 5:22 PM Moonrise: 12:52 AM (Fri)

Four Day Weather Outlook:

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Centers Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:


Caye Caulker:

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: December 19, 2019 [Re: Marty] #539676
12/19/19 07:42 AM
12/19/19 07:42 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 12,992
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning a strong Northerner is making hazardous sea conditions for boats outside the barrier reef. The morning is chilly with a heavy overcast sky.

dec 19th.jpg

White Sands Dive Shops Daily Blog
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: December 19, 2019 [Re: Marty] #539677
12/19/19 08:12 AM
12/19/19 08:12 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,402
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
The blanket of cloud continues to cover the whole of Belize and wider area as the cold air continues to come down, causing the blanket of cloud to continuously drop light rain all the time. I have recorded 45mm ( 2" ) of total rain over night, 75mm ( 3" ) over the last 48 hours. It has been a slow push down for the cold air and has now stopped the Caribbean winds, the surface wind this morning is the "Tiger wind" from the SW from the mountains.

Looks like most of today will continue to be cloudy, with continuing light rain most of the morning or more.

[Linked Image]

I really do not need this weather map to tell me what is happening, I know from what I can see and feel. Actually it is wrong, it is not the surface winds as it is supposed to be showing, but winds about 1,000 feet up, the surface wind over central Belize is from the SW. The easterly Caribbean winds have been diverted southwards, not as more typically northwards. There is an upper level low pressure area over Honduras, which, together with the cold air from the north, is helping to squeeze the rain out of the clouds over us. The Guatemala Weather Radar appears to pick up data from Guatamala city, Belize and many other places, but is not actually showing any rain information.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last night min. 19C 66F Yesterday max. 24C 75F Yesterday Rain 41 mm ( 1.6" )

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: December 19, 2019 [Re: Marty] #539678
12/19/19 11:40 AM
12/19/19 11:40 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,402
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
Belize is somewhere under all that white cloud.
I suspect main rain is out at sea, but still some drizzle falling from the blanket of cloud over us, as the cold air continues to come down from the north. My guess is less drizzle tomorrow than today, but the cold air will probably be down over much of Belize tomorrow. So colder, but not as wet.

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: December 19, 2019 [Re: Marty] #539679
12/19/19 01:12 PM
12/19/19 01:12 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,402
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
Present Condition: Light Rain.
24hr Forecast: Cloudy to overcast with light to moderate rain especially over the south and the sea.

[Linked Image]

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