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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,398
Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: May 30, 2020


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Quite cloudy this morning. Moist and unstable conditions continue to dominate our weather.
Advisories: *Flood Watch: A Tropical Disturbance over Central America this weekend into next week will support heavy rains and possible flooding over some areas of the country.*
24-hour forecast: Mostly cloudy skies with a few showers, isolated thunderstorms and periods of rain over most areas, especially the south and inland.
Winds: East | 10-20 kts
Sea State: Choppy
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: For Sunday and Sunday night is for cloudy to overcast skies wit some showers, isolated thunderstorms and periods of rain over most areas.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico within the next 48 hours. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

  Winds Seas Waves Details
Today E 10-20 kts Choppy 3-5 ft A FEW SHOWERS, ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OR PERIODS OF RAIN.
Tonight E 10-20 kts Choppy 3-5 ft A FEW SHOWERS, ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND PERIODS OF RAIN.
Tomorrow E-SE 10-20 kts Choppy 3-5 ft SOME SHOWERS, ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND PERIODS OF RAIN.
Outlook E-SE 10-20 kts Choppy 3-5 ft SOME SHOWERS, PERIODS OF RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

The Caribbean Sea

...Heavy rainfall in Central America... A Central American Gyre has developed in the eastern North Pacific Ocean. The gyre will move northward, gradually, toward Central America and southern Mexico, during the upcoming weekend. The gyre will continue to push abundant moisture into parts of Central America through the weekend, and into the next week. Heavy rainfall is likely in Central America, especially from northern Costa Rica northward into southern Mexico. Heavy rainfall will bring the potential for life-threatening flash floods and mudslides for the locations that receive the greatest amounts of rainfall, especially in the areas of mountainous terrain. Please read the bulletins and forecasts from your local weather service for more information.

Broken to overcast multi-layered clouds and remnant showers, are in the NW Caribbean Sea, related to what has been moving from the Yucatan Peninsula, into the NW corner of the Caribbean Sea, from the SW Gulf of Mexico upper level trough and clouds and precipitation.

Broad upper level anticyclonic wind flow covers the Caribbean Sea from 70W westward. Upper level cyclonic wind flow covers the rest of the Caribbean Sea. The upper level wind flow is at the southern end of the upper level trough that extends from the central Atlantic Ocean, southwestward. This is the same upper level trough that is near the 1015 mb Atlantic Ocean low pressure centered near 28N56W.

The tropical wave that is south of central Cuba will move across the western Caribbean Sea through Sunday. The wind speeds and the sea heights will increase in the Gulf of Honduras, early next week, as broad low pressure forms in the northern sections of Central America and southern Mexico.


  High Low
Coastal 30° C
86° F
26° C
78° F
Inland 32° C
90° F
22° C
72° F
Hills 27° C
80° F
20° C
68° F
TIDES:
Low: 10:10 AM High: 4:02 PM
Low: 11:04 PM High: 5:27 AM (Sun)
Sunrise: 5:17 AM Moonrise: 12:30 PM
Sunset: 6:23 PM Moonset: 1:15 AM (Sun)




Four Day Weather Outlook:


For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm


Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,398
Marty Offline OP
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Good morning from Corozal Bay.Photo by Belize Scoop

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

A tropical disturbance will support heavy rains over Central America this weekend, into next week, with the possibility of flooding over some parts of the country, especially low-lying and southern areas.



For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,398
Marty Offline OP
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We have had, and still having a Large ITCZ type swellup, centred on central Belize, covering most of the country but not the extreme south or north. This has, and is still bringing a lot of rain 145mm 6" so far this morning in Belmopan, and a bit more to come. We have finally been caught by one of those proper ITCZ swellups, but still small compared to some that have been around Central America. I think this confirms my saying as of Wednesday 27th May, we are in the Rainy season.

There are a few patches of sun way down south, but mainly, the whole country under heavy cloud, which will probably not thin much or clear until late this morning, lighter rain continuing, with heavy rain in central north areas, and probably Belize City.

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last night min. 24°C 73°F Yesterday max. 32°C 91°F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0") This Morning Rain 145 mm ( 6" )

015B3118-47F1-4DEE-A1D2-EEDD1F57D09B.png F332E384-4800-4FB7-B203-54F99C6C6C81.png
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,398
Marty Offline OP
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The ITCZ activity is swelling and now covering the whole of the north and new activity down south and up north.
Still lots of rain for many in most parts of Belize right now. Rains just subsided in Benque 10 minutes ago.

D756204A-F349-4018-B25C-32EAE43BDF57.png EC330023-3C05-4F66-AA40-9410858BCA7E.png
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,398
Marty Offline OP
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More rain and the swellups move up northwards.

[Linked Image]

Present Condition:
24hr Forecast: Skies will be mostly cloudy. Some showers, isolated thunderstorms and periods of rain, which may become heavy at times, will affect most places this afternoon through tomorrow morning.

[Linked Image]

Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill


Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,398
Marty Offline OP
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Video of the deluge. Belmopan area



Overnights rains have left the Mahogany Heights community inundated. Surrounding communities are advised that more rain is expected in the coming days.



Flooding along the Coastal Road.



Belmopan flooding - courtesy videographer at Plus TV, Cirilo Choco


Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,398
Marty Offline OP
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Storm Warning - Tropical Depression

There is a potential tropical storm developing on our door step, TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E

[Linked Image]

It is unlikely to be anything more than a Tropical depression, so no hurricane winds, but there could be a lot of rain from it. It is probably responsible for getting the new swellup over southern Belize, to be moving northwards.

More rain coming up from the south

[Linked Image]


National Meteorological Service of Belize:

(11 pm update) Latest Infrared (IR) Satellite Imagery and our lightning detection system show severe thunderstorm activity once again occurring over central and southern Belize. Our automatic weather station in Belmopan has recorded almost 2 inches of rainfall over the last two hours.

Residents in these and other already flooded areas are asked to REMAIN ON ALERT and move to higher ground immediately as these rains are expected to continue.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]


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