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Belize Weather Forecast: June 4, 2020 #542773
06/04/20 06:00 AM
06/04/20 06:00 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 67,494
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: June 4, 2020


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Very cloudy this morning. Moist and unstable conditions continue.
Advisories: *Small Craft Caution is in effect for occasional gusty winds and rough seas, especially near heavy showers and thunderstorms. Flood alert remains in effect for low-lying and flood prone areas and communites near rivers and streams (flash flooding). Residents are advised to avoid flooded areas and motorists should avoid crossing flooded bridges, roads and highways.*
24-hour forecast: Skies will be generally cloudy with a few showers, periods of rain or isolated thunderstorms developing, especially over the north.
Winds: SE, 10-20 kts , Gusty
Sea State: Rough
Waves: 5-8 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
Sargassum Forecast: Latest observations show that a few sargassum mats continue to drift into the area. This is expected to continue during the next few days with moderate impacts on local beaches.
Outlook: A few showers, isolated thunderstorms and periods of rain occurring mainly over northern and central areas Friday, decreasing Friday night.
Tropical Weather Outlook: At 3:00am the center of Tropical Storm Cristobal was located near latitude 17.9N, longitude 91.3W or about 60mls SE of Ciudad Del Carmen, Mexico. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

...EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IN CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO... Tropical Storm Cristobal is part of a larger Central American Gyre circulation (CAG). Heavy rainfall and severe flooding have been impacting parts of Central America and southern Mexico during the last several days. Additional heavy rainfall is expected through Friday night. Abundant tropical moisture in a southwesterly wind flow will continue to impact SE Mexico and northern Central America. More heavy rain are expected in El Salvador, with additional 10 to 15 inches of rain, mainly from This afternoon through early Saturday. It is possible that Belize and Honduras may receive 3 to 6 inches of rain. It is possible that the rainfall in all of these areas may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

Upper level anticyclonic wind flow associated with T.S. CRISTOBAL, that is inland in southern Mexico, covers the Caribbean Sea from 70W westward. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong is from 14N northward from 70W westward in general.

Upper level cyclonic wind flow covers the rest of the Caribbean Sea, from 70W eastward. The base of an upper level western Atlantic Ocean-to-Caribbean Sea trough is reaching the eastern half of the coast of Venezuela. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong is from 70W eastward.

A part of the monsoon trough extends from northern Colombia in the part that is to the north of 10N, across the SW corner of the Caribbean Sea, to north central Nicaragua. Precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong is in the area from 15N southward and 78W westward.

A broad area of low pressure, known as the Central American Gyre, will persist over northern Central America and southern Mexico for several days, producing widespread showers and thunderstorms in the NW Caribbean through Saturday. Strong SE winds and building seas will continue in the Gulf of Honduras and east of Yucatan through Saturday evening. Winds may reach gale force near the Yucatan Channel Friday through Saturday. Fresh to strong trade winds will continue in the central Caribbean through Saturday.


  High Low
Coastal 30° C
86° F
27° C
80° F
Inland 32° C
90° F
23° C
74° F
Hills 26° C
78° F
21° C
70° F
TIDES:
High: 8:17 AM Low: 3:36 PM
High: 9:54 PM Low: 2:52 AM (Fri)
Sunrise: 5:17 AM Moonrise: 5:31 PM
Sunset: 6:25 PM Moonset: 5:05 AM (Fri)




Four Day Weather Outlook:


For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 4, 2020 [Re: Marty] #542782
06/04/20 08:06 AM
06/04/20 08:06 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 67,494
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
Yesterday, I could pin the centre of rotation down to about 10 miles, this morning there is no clear area for the rotation, but what ever is happening, it appears to be broken up and very wide and not all that far from our western border. Basically I am no longer seeing a tropical storm. The hurricane people also admit it has weakened.

It looks as it a lot of cloud from TS CRISTOBAL will be coming over Belize, from the west. There could be some rain, possibly some heavy, presently, most likely over the south west of Belize, then later further north.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last night min. 27°C 81°F Yesterday max. 33°C 91°F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0.0")

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 4, 2020 [Re: Marty] #542783
06/04/20 08:31 AM
06/04/20 08:31 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 12,845
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
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elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning the high winds and waves are causing damage to docks and eroding shoreline. We have an overcast sky with occasional rain. The wind is from the East at 23 mph and gusting to 30 mph.

june 4th.jpg
Last edited by elbert; 06/04/20 08:31 AM.

White Sands Dive Shops Daily Blog
http://scubalessonsbelize.blogspot.com/
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 4, 2020 [Re: Marty] #542786
06/04/20 10:29 AM
06/04/20 10:29 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 67,494
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
[Linked Image]

Significant high tide and surge last night from 25-30+ mph winds last night from the storm system that's in our area.
Click photos for more pictures

Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill



Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 4, 2020 [Re: Marty] #542787
06/04/20 10:45 AM
06/04/20 10:45 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 67,494
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
The storm has very significantly reduced in its rotation speed. I see even the hurricane people have now derated it to just a depression. But that leaves a lot of cloud. . . But unusually it is covering a very, very large area. I have been able to show its centre, but this is now simply a location, not an active thing. But it does mean the heavy cloud has moved even closer to Belize again. But despite the cloud, there is very little indication of actual rain, no lightning any where near. I am not expecting much rain in Belize, but there could be. . . There has been a lot of rain up in the north Yucatan, where the storm sat for several days and is still causing rain up their even now.

Cristobal Dumps Torrential Rains on Mexico; U.S. Gulf Coast Landfall Increasingly Likely

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 4, 2020 [Re: Marty] #542788
06/04/20 11:07 AM
06/04/20 11:07 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 67,494
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
Present Condition: Cloudy, windy, and waves with surge.
24hr Forecast: Skies will be generally cloudy with a few showers, periods of rain or isolated thunderstorms developing, especially over the north.

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 4, 2020 [Re: Marty] #542789
06/04/20 12:15 PM
06/04/20 12:15 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 67,494
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
This system is really large.
The SE Caribbean winds appear to be feeding moisture into its underside.
So now it has extended to cover Florida even and way out into the Pacific.

[Linked Image]

Notice from the Officer in Charge, Superintendent Christopher Noble:
‘Goodnight everyone, once again the weather is not on our side so check your assets. Officers have been spoken to extend courtesies (past curfew hours).’

National MET Service - Recent satellite imagery and our lightning detection network shows heavy showers and strong thunderstorms have been affecting mostly central and northern areas of the country. Severe and dangerous thunderstorms are possible in these areas and a flood alert remains in effect for low-lying and flood prone areas of the country, especially near rivers and streams. Residents are advised to take precaution to protect lives and property

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 4, 2020 [Re: Marty] #542798
06/05/20 04:55 AM
06/05/20 04:55 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 67,494
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP


Effects from Tropical Storm Cristobal felt in Belize

While Tropical Storm Cristobal formed in the Gulf of Mexico and made landfall in the Bay of Campeche, the effects were felt in several parts of Belize. In the cayes, islanders are experiencing serious beach and road infrastructure damage. Jorge Aldana reports. The National Hydrological Service issued its third advisory for this week surrounding the country’s rivers and waterways.

The latest report indicates that the Rio Bravo and Blue Creek Sub catchment of the Rio Hondo remains well above flood stage; Levels at San Antonio, San Roman and Santa Cruz and Douglas are rising steadily. The New River at Caledonia has exceeded its banks and continues to rise. On the Macal River, reservoir levels remain below the spillways at Chalillo, Mollejon and Vaca facilities. At San Ignacio, levels remain below the low-level bridge but is gradually rising. The Mopan River at Benque Viejo Town is above normal and declining. On the Belize River, levels at Banana Bank continue to fall. The Crooked Tree Lagoon is below the causeway and rising steadily.

At Double Run,levels are above normal and rising. The Sibun River near Freetown Sibun is flooded and continues to rise. Levels are steady on the Southern Lagoon near Gales Point Village. The Rio Grande is normal steady. The Moho River at Jordan is above normal and falling. Love News is keeping watch for updated reports and will inform you accordingly.


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