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Belize Weather Forecast: August 17, 2020 #544251
08/17/20 06:08 AM
08/17/20 06:08 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 68,937
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: August 17, 2020


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy this morning. Generally fair conditions will continue to prevail over most areas.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells today and partly cloudy tonight. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms can be expected over the Toledo district this morning and tonight as well as inland this afternoon. Elsewhere showers or thunderstorms will be isolated.
Winds: E-NE, 5-10 kts
Sea State: Slight
Waves: 1-3 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: For Tuesday and Tuesday night is for continuing mostly fair weather with isolated showers or isolated thunderstorms.
Sargassum Forecast from August 11, 2020 to August 19, 2020: Observations show several sargassum mats along and offshore coastal areas of the country. These mats will continue drifting in during the next few days with moderate to major impacts on beaches across the country. San Pedro has a high probability and a major expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: A fast-moving tropical wave located about 400 miles east of the Windward Islands has a medium chance of becoming a tropical cyclone after it moves into the Central and Western Caribbean Sea later this week. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

There is a strong tropical wave that will be entering the eastern Caribbean Tuesday. An upper-level low pressure centered over central Cuba is inducing scattered moderate convection between Cuba, Jamaica, and the Cayman Islands, as well as in the Gulf of Honduras. The ITCZ is producing showers and thunderstorms over the Windward Islands and extreme SE Caribbean. Scattered moderate convection is also occurring offshore Panama in association with the eastern Pacific monsoon trough. Moderate trade winds are occurring across most of the basin early this morning.

Generally moderate trades will prevail through much of the basin into late week. A strong, fast moving tropical wave will cross the Windward and southern Leeward Islands today, then move across the eastern and central Carribbean Tue and Wed, bringing squally conditions, gusty winds, and potentially heavy rainfall. There is a low chance of tropical development from this wave over the eastern Caribbean, but a medium chance when it slows over the western Caribbean late week.


  High Low
Coastal 32° C
89° F
26° C
79° F
Inland 35° C
95° F
24° C
74° F
Hills 26° C
79° F
20° C
68° F
TIDES:
High: 8:14 AM Low: 3:36 PM
High: 9:43 PM Low: 2:44 AM (Tue)
Sunrise: 5:36 AM Moonset: 5:27 PM
Sunset: 6:16 PM Moonrise: 5:02 AM (Tue)




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Centers Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 17, 2020 [Re: Marty] #544252
08/17/20 06:09 AM
08/17/20 06:09 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 68,937
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
A fast-moving tropical wave located a couple of hundred miles east of the Windward Islands continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. This disturbance is expected to move westward at about 20 mph during the next few days, and that fast forward speed is likely to limit significant development while the system approaches the Windward and southern Leeward Islands today, and moves across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea on Tuesday and Wednesday. After that time, however, the system is expected to move more slowly westward across the western Caribbean Sea, where upper-level winds could become more conducive for the development of a tropical depression during the latter part of this week. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

This system is currently over 2000 miles from Belize and does not pose an immediate threat to the country. However, the National Meteorological Service of Belize will continue to monitor the progress of this system very closely.

Another tropical wave located over the eastern tropical Atlantic to the south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers. The wave is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph during the next few days, and environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for the development of a tropical depression during the middle-to-latter part of this week while the system moves across the central and western portions of the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

[Linked Image]

For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 17, 2020 [Re: Marty] #544257
08/17/20 09:58 AM
08/17/20 09:58 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 68,937
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
There is a whole area of high level clashing or ITCZ swellups just off the coast. Their rain is being brought in towards Belize by the easterly Caribbean winds. So I am expecting rain moving into much of southern Belize and a few areas of rain in central belize this morning.

Looks like today will be rather mixed, bright sunshine in the north, cloud in central regions and a mixture of sunshine, cloud and rain in the south.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last night min. 26C 78F Yesterday max. 34C 92F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0")

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 17, 2020 [Re: Marty] #544259
08/17/20 11:14 AM
08/17/20 11:14 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 68,937
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
There appears to be a mid-level air movement, above the easterly Caribbean winds, bringing that high level clashing in over Belize causing rain. ( Pity the met office Rain radar not working ) Had a little heavy rain in Belmopan. Looks as if rain moving into southern Belize

[Linked Image]

The dotted lines show the typical temperatures and monthly rain.
So you can see how this year has varied from normal, particular the odd Rain patterns.
We were hotter and dryer in April than normal, but then abnormal heavy rain in May, see the long dash line.

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 17, 2020 [Re: Marty] #544266
08/17/20 11:52 AM
08/17/20 11:52 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 68,937
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Hot and humid with winds shifting all over. Looks like a mixed week. Photo just now at Tuto. Photo by San Pedro Scoop

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 17, 2020 [Re: Marty] #544269
08/17/20 12:11 PM
08/17/20 12:11 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 68,937
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Present Condition: Mostly cloudy. A light and relatively moist northeasterly airflow prevails over the area, but drier conditions are expected tomorrow.
24hr Forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells this afternoon, becoming partly cloudy tonight and tomorrow morning. A few showers and thunderstorms will move further inland and affect mostly Central and Southern districts this afternoon, then the Toledo District tonight, becoming isolated tomorrow morning. Elsewhere, showers or thunderstorms will be isolated.

[Linked Image]

Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 17, 2020 [Re: Marty] #544270
08/17/20 12:33 PM
08/17/20 12:33 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 68,937
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
The swellups developing more and moving right inland, across most of Belize now.

Only slow Caribbean wind from the ENE, but the swellups are moving from the SE . . With the high level causing the clashing, coming from the NW.

[Linked Image]

Flood Report and Forecast - August 17, 2020

[Linked Image]


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