Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Present Condition: Mostly cloudy this morning, some clearing in the north in San Pedro and the atolls, and along the shore on the mainland. Generally fair weather will prevail today.
Advisories: *Residents, especially those inland, are advised to stay hydrated and avoid direct sunlight as much as possible.*
Sunny with a few cloudy spells today and partly cloudy tonight. Showers or thunderstorms will be isolated, developing mainly inland this afternoon, then increasing late tonight, especially over the sea.
Winds: E, 5-10 kts Sea State: Slight
Waves: 1-3 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
For Friday and Friday night is for a few showers, periods of rain and thunderstorms, increasing.
Sargassum Forecast from August 19, 2020 to August 25, 2020:
Observations continue to show an abundance of sargassum mats making landfall on beaches across the country and this is expected to continue through to next week. San Pedro has a high probability and a major expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook:
A tropical wave and accompanying broad area of low pressure located over the central Caribbean Sea continue to become better organized. This system has a high chance of becoming a tropical depression today or tonight, as it approaches the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, this system will likely produce heavy rains across Central America. The National Meteorological Service of Belize continues to closely monitor this system. Tropical Depression 13 was centered near latitude 15.4N, longitude 50.9W, or about 830 miles ESE of the northern Leeward Islands.
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The Caribbean Sea
There is low pressure
over the central Caribbean. For the portions of the eastern and western Caribbean sea not
being impacted by the low pressure, gentle to moderate trades are
occurring. Scattered convection is confined to areas along the
Pacific monsoonal trough, within about 180 nm of the Panama coast.
Seas range 3-6 ft with upwards of 9 ft near the low in the central
Tropical Depression Thirteen near 15.2N 49.8W 1008 mb
at 5 AM EDT moving WNW at 18 kt. Maximum sustained winds 30 kt
gusts 40 kt. Thirteen will move to 16.4N 52.7W this afternoon and
strengthen to a tropical storm near 17.5N 56.4W Fri morning. The
tropical storm will then reach near 18.4N 60.2W Fri afternoon,
19.1N 63.9W Sat morning, 19.8N 67.1W Sat afternoon, and 20.8N
71.0W Sun morning. Thirteen is forecast to remain a tropical
storm as it passes near eastern Cuba and the southeastern Bahamas
early Mon. Meanwhile, low pressure over the central Caribbean Sea
this morning has a high chance of tropical formation in the
northwest Caribbean within a couple of days. Regardless of
development, heavy rainfall is expected across a large part of
Central America and SE Mexico through the weekend.
We are watching the possible development of 97L into a TROPICAL DEPRESSION or TROPICAL STORM, to be named Laura or Marco, by or on August 21/22, 2020.
All people/friends in Jamaica + Cayman Islands + Honduras + Nicaragua + Belize + the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico, including Cozumel and Cancun, should closely monitor the track and intensity of 97L, thinking about how you will PREPARE / SHELTER / EVACUATE from possible impacts including and or a possible LANDFALL thru this weekend, August 19-23, 2020.
Relatively clear skies over Belize this morning, some high cloud and fog in central Belize. there is virtually no Caribbean east winds, probably due to that hurricane in the Pacific. But that non-storm activity in the Caribbean INVEST 97L is coming our way with a lot of swellups and rain, not sure yet, when it will get to Belize, possibly tonight, more likely tomorrow Friday. It appears to be a collection of many swellups, no rotation so not a tropical storm, but swellup rain can have strong winds under them.
Looks like today will start sunny, after the fog has burnt off, then normal clouds developing later this morning, a small chance of some rain later, particularly in the south. Then heavy cloud and rain late this afternoon, evening or night.
Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last night min. 26°C 78°F Yesterday max. 34°C 93°F Yesterday Rain 0.2 mm ( 0")
The cloud has been developing as expected, the easterly Caribbean winds are starting up as expected. The cloud from that INVEST 97L is now getting into Honduras, and the weather people are now calling it Tropical Depression 14.. . So it looks as if the heavier cloud is likely to get to Belize later this afternoon / evening, with rain later.
Present Condition: Clear skies. Generally fair conditions will prevail over most areas. 24hr Forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells during the daytime and partly cloudy tonight. Showers or thunderstorms will be isolated except for a few more inland this afternoon and over the south tonight and tomorrow morning.