General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS:
Present Condition: Partly cloudy this morning. Relatively moist and unstable conditions prevails over the area.
Advisories: *A Small Craft Caution is in effect for gusty winds and locally rough seas near heavy showers and thunderstorms. A flood watch is in effect for low-lying and flood prone areas, especiallt in the north. Residents, especially those inland area advised to avoid direct sunlight as much as possible.*
24-hour forecast:
Sunny with cloudy spells this morning, becoming cloudy at times this afternoon and tonight. Showers, thunderstorms or periods of rain will be isolated this morning, increasing to a few over inland areas this afternoon, then over most areas tonight, especially in the north.
Winds: Light and Variable Sea State: Light Chop
Waves: 2-4 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook:
Is for a few showers and thunderstorms, continuing mostly over northern and offshore areas Sunday morning, then over inland and southern areas Sunday afternoon and night.
Sargassum Forecast from August 19, 2020 to August 25, 2020:
Observations continue to show an abundance of sargassum mats making landfall on beaches across the country and this is expected to continue through to next week. San Pedro has a high probability and a major expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook:
At 6:00am Tropical Storm Marco, was centered near latitude 20.2N, longitude 85.2W, or about 110 miles East of Cozumel, Mexico and 238 miles Northeast of San Pedro Ambergris Caye. Marco was moving to the NNW at 12mph with maximum sustained winds of 50mph. The National Meteorological Service of Belize continues to closely monitor this system as it continues to move North and further away from our area.
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Marine Conditions:
The Caribbean Sea
Tropical
Storm Laura and Tropical Storm Marco are in the Caribbean.
Aside from convection associated with Marco, Laura, and tropical
waves, scattered thunderstorms are moving across the Mona
Passage. Scattered moderate convection is noted along and near
the monsoon trough from 09N to 13N between 74W-79W. Light to
gentle trades are seen across most of the Caribbean with
moderate trades north of Colombia. Seas range 3 to 6 ft outside
of Marco.
Tropical Storm Laura will move to near 17.6N 65.9W Sat
morning, inland over the eastern part of the Dominican Republic
near 18.4N 69.3W Sat evening, inland Haiti near 19.5N 72.8W Sun
morning, inland eastern Cuba near 20.8N 76.4W with maximum
sustained winds 45 kt gusts to 55 kt, inland central Cuba near
22.1N 80.1W Mon morning, then to over the SE Gulf of Mexico near
23.8N 83.3W Mon evening with maximum winds 55 kt gusts to 65 kt.
Laura is forecast to strengthen to a hurricane over the central
Gulf of Mexico near 26.5N 87.7W Tue evening, reach to near 29.2N
90.2W Wed evening and move inland Wed night.
Tropical Storm Marco will move to near 19.7N 85.7W Sat morning
with maximum sustained winds 45 kt guts to 55 kt, to just east
of the northeastern tip of the Yucatan Peninsula near 21.1N
86.7W Sat evening, to the south-central Gulf of Mexico near
22.7N 88.0W Sun morning with maximum sustained winds 55 kt gusts
65 kt. Marco is forecast to continue to strengthen as it reaches
near 24.N 89.5W Sun evening with maximum sustained winds 60 kt
gusts 75 kt, and maintain intensity as it reaches near 25.9N
91.0W Mon morning, reach near 27.5N 92.8W Mon evening and move
inland near 29.0N 95.4W Tue evening.
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Marco was located near latitude 19.6 North, longitude 85.4 West. Marco is moving toward the north-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A northwestward motion is expected on Sunday, followed by a turn toward the northwest and west-northwest early next week. On the forecast track, the center of Marco will approach the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico today. The center will approach the northeastern part of the Yucatan Peninsula by early evening and move over the central Gulf of Mexico toward the northwestern Gulf on Sunday and Monday followed by a track toward the northwestern Gulf coast Tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days as the system approaches the Yucatan peninsula and Marco could be near hurricane strength when it moves over the central Gulf of Mexico Sunday night and early Monday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center.
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Laura was located near latitude 17.6 North, longitude 65.5 West. Laura is moving toward the west near 21 mph (33 km/h) and a generally west-northwestward motion is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Laura will move near or over portions of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico this morning, near or over Hispaniola this afternoon and tonight, and near or over eastern Cuba Sunday and Sunday night.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow strengthening is expected during the next few days.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) mainly to the north of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
Elsewhere in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico, tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.
The power failure effecting Belmopan and much wider is due to be restored around 10:00am There is not much air movement over Belize at present, that Depression is still sitting out in the Caribbean, with many swellups and rain out there. . . There is a bit of cloud sitting over Ambergris caye that might be dropping some rain.
Looks as if today will be sunny and hot, cloud will start to develop later this morning, apart from Ambergris caye, there is no indication of any rain around.
Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last night min. 26°C 79°F Yesterday max. 34°C 94°F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0")
They have named that Depression TS MARCO it really is not a storm, but they want names. But it has effectively stopped the Caribbean winds, and even pulling some clouds from the west, surface wind is from the SW
Present Condition: Mostly clear. Relatively moist and unstable conditions prevails. 24hr Forecast: Warm and sunny with some cloudy spells. Showers and thunderstorms will be isolated this afternoon with a few more over the northern districts and offshore. Activity will increase slightly over inland areas this evening and then mainly along the coast later tonight, becoming generally isolated tomorrow morning.
The clouds just starting to move from the east, earlier they were moving the other way.. . . Swellups now over the northern mountains and into Cayo areas, and just south of Belmopan, with rain.
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