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Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: August 28, 2020


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy in the north, much less so in the south. Conditions remain relatively moist and unstable over the area.
Advisories: *Small craft caution: Operators of small crafts are advised to exercise caution for gusty winds and locally rough seas.*
24-hour forecast: Sunny with a few cloudy spells today, along with a few showers, periods of rain and isolated thunderstorms mostly over Corozal, Orange Walk and Belize districts. Partly cloudy tonight, with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly over Toledo and Stann Creek districts.
Winds: E-SE, 10-20 kts , Gusty
Sea State: Moderate-Rough
Waves: 4-7 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: For Saturday and Saturday night is for mainly fair weather to prevail with isolated showers or isolated thunderstorms developing during the day, and a few more developing over the south during the night.
Sargassum Forecast from August 28, 2020 to September 02, 2020: Latest observations show a few Sargassum mats offshore and along coastal areas of the country. There is a high chance of these mats landing on local beaches in the coming days producing moderate impacts. San Pedro has a high probability and a moderate expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

Deep layer ridging persists north of the basin. A tropical wave is analyzed between northeast Colombia and Haiti. The interactions between the tropical waves and the ridge are modulating the trade wind flow over the basin. Fresh winds are noted ahead of the tropical wave in the Gulf of Honduras. Trade winds off Colombia are temporarily suppressed by the wave axis position, but should increase through the morning. Moderate trades are noted elsewhere. Seas are 4 to 6 ft over most of the basin, with up to 7 ft in south central Caribbean. Scattered moderate showers and a few thunderstorms are active off eastern Panama close to the monsoon trough.

For the forecast, fresh trade winds will prevail over the south-central Caribbean through Sun, with locally strong winds expected to pulse near the coast of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Fresh to strong winds will pulse for the next several nights in the Gulf of Honduras region. The tropical wave over the central Caribbean will move across the western Caribbean through Sat night, accompanied by a modest increase in winds and seas. Another tropical wave will enter the eastern Caribbean by late Sat, and then across the remainder of the Caribbean through early next week. A third tropical wave may reach the eastern Caribbean by Mon.


  High Low
Coastal 31° C
88° F
28° C
83° F
Inland 34° C
94° F
24° C
76° F
Hills 28° C
83° F
20° C
68° F
TIDES:
High: 5:42 AM Low: 1:27 PM
High: 7:48 PM Low: 12:13 AM (Sat)
Sunrise: 5:38 AM Moonrise: 3:01 PM
Sunset: 6:09 PM Moonset: 2:21 AM (Sat)




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm


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On Ambergris Caye this morning the sea around our barrier reef is rough because of a 20 mph wind coming from the East. It's sunny and the expected high temperature for the day is 88 f.

aug 28.jpg

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Marty Offline OP
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The easterly Caribbean winds are back from the ESE but little or no surface wind at present. The high level are thin and from the NE Not much indication of rain around, the ITCZ activity is starting to move southwards, away from Belize.

Looks as if today will be sunny, but with significant clouds building from time, little or no rain expected.

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last night min. 26°C 80°F Yesterday max. 32°C 90°F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0")

EE1279DF-FA64-40C8-8EDC-DA7FAB4D5D40.png 72DA9043-56C0-4912-ABB2-CF874F36E997.png
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Marty Offline OP
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A westward-moving tropical wave is presently just west of the African coast producing disorganized shower activity. Environmental conditions are expected to gradually become conducive for development over the weekend and into early next week as the wave moves closer to the islands.

[Linked Image]

For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

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Marty Offline OP
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Present Condition: Clear skies. Warm and mainly fair conditions prevail over the area.
24hr Forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells during the daytime and partly cloudy tonight. Isolated thunderstorms along with a few showers can be expected inland this afternoon and over the toledo district tonight. Only isolated showers will develop elsewhere.

Operators of small crafts are advised to exercise caution for gusty winds and rough seas. Residents especially those inland are advised to stay hydrated and avoid direct sunlight as much as possible.

[Linked Image]

Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill


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Flood Forecast for August 28, 2020

River Conditions

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek and downstream at Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas levels are above nonnal and steady. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia levels are above normal and falling.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels are below the spillways at Chalillo Mollejon and Vaca facilities. At San Ignacio, levels are below the low-level bridge and falling. The MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town is above normal receding. On the BELIZE RIVER, levels at Banana Bank and Double Run are above normal and steady. On the CROOKED TREE LAGOON levels remain below the causeway and steady.

REGION 11 - River levels on the SIBUN RIVER near Freetown Sibun is above normal steady. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village is normal and steady. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is above normal and receding. The Swasey and Blades branch of the MONKEY RIVER is above normal and receding slowly. Levels are above normal and receding on the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls. The MOHO RIVER at Jordan and Blue Creek South is above normal and receding. Levels on the TEMASH RIVER near Crique Sarco is above normal and receding slowly.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER levels are above normal and steady.

WEEKEND FLOOD FORECAST

REGION 7 - On the Blue Creek sub-catchment of the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek levels are expected to increase and downstream at Santa Cruz, San Antonio, Sari Roman, and Douglas above normal levels is expected to decrease then increase over the next few days. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia levels are expected to recede to near normal levels.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels are expected to remain below the spillways at all dam facilities. At San Ignacio, levels are expected to remain below the low-level bridge. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, above normal levels are expected to recede to near normal levels. Levels are expected to continue to recede on the BELIZE RIVER at Banana Bank and Double Run. On the CROOKED TREE LAGOON receding levels are expected to continue over the next few days.

REGION 11 - Normal and steady levels are expected near Freetown Sibun on the SIBUN RIVER. On the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village, above non-nal and steady levels are expected. On the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge levels is expected to recede becoming normal during the next few days. The Swasey and Blades branch of the MONKEY RIVER is expected to recede to near normal levels. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls above normal and falling levels are expected to continue over the next few days. Levels are expected to continue to recede on the MOHO RIVER at Jordan and Blue Creek. On the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco levels are expected to continue to recede.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER above normal levels is expected to continue over the next few days.

The Next Flood Report and Forecast will be issued on Monday August 31, 2020 at 12 noon.

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A beautiful day on North Ambergris. Photo by San Pedro Scoop

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