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Tropical Storm Nana #544589
08/30/20 12:19 PM
08/30/20 12:19 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,288
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
A westward-moving tropical wave accompanied by a broad low pressure area is located over the eastern Caribbean Sea just west of the Windward Islands. Associated shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of organization, and environmental conditions are expected to gradually become more conducive for development. A tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or two while the system moves moves westward at about 15 mph across the central Caribbean Sea. Interests in Jamaica, Honduras, Belize, Guatemala and Yucatan should monitor the progress of this disturbance.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Crown Weather:

Invest 99-L Now Entering The Eastern Caribbean Is Likely To Develop This Coming Week

Satellite imagery at midday today indicated that the thunderstorm activity with Invest 99-L has increased significantly in just the last 12 hours and it is showing signs of organization. In addition, satellite estimated wind data indicates that the very least there is a broad area of low pressure that seems to be forming as well.

The environmental conditions are favorable for additional organization and it looks quite possible, if not likely that this disturbance will become a tropical depression and then a tropical storm as it heads westward reaching the central Caribbean on about Tuesday and then the western Caribbean on Wednesday and Thursday.

Given the way the global model guidance such as the GFS and European model have been with forecasting tropical development, it is not surprising that they aren’t really showing anything in the way of development. The Canadian model shows some hints at development especially once it reaches the longitude of Jamaica on Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.

The track model guidance shows a general westward track taking Invest 99-L to the south of Jamaica by Tuesday night and then into Central America by about Thursday. In addition, the track model intensity guidance forecasts steady strengthening with some of the guidance forecasting this system to become a hurricane before it reaches the coast of Nicaragua and Honduras on Thursday.

All-In-All, I Think That there is a very good chance that Invest 99-L will become a tropical depression and probably a tropical storm over the next 2 to 3 days. It remains to be seen how close Invest 99-L will get to Jamaica on Tuesday night, but I think it is quite possible that it could come close enough to bring gusty winds and squalls to the island during Tuesday night and Wednesday morning.

Beyond this, it seems likely given the upper level weather pattern that this system should head for Central America by Thursday with tropical storm conditions a possibility across the southern Yucatan Peninsula, Belize, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador and Guatemala and Yucatan during Thursday.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Re: Tropical Storm Nana [Re: Marty] #544593
08/31/20 05:38 AM
08/31/20 05:38 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,288
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
NEMO Advisory #1 - Potential Tropical Cyclone Development in the Central Caribbean
SUNDAY, 30TH AUGUST, 2020 at 5:00 PM

The National Meteorological Services of Belize and the National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO) hereby advises the general public that a westward-moving tropical wave is located over the eastern Caribbean Sea just west of the Windward Islands. Associated shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of organization, and environmental conditions are expected to gradually become more conducive for development. A tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or two while the system moves westward at about 15 mph across the central Caribbean Sea. Interests in Jamaica, Honduras, Belize. Guatemala and Yucatan should monitor the progress of this disturbance. • Formation chance through 48 hours—high...70 percent. • Formation chance through 5 days...high...8O percent.

The Met Service and NEMO will continue to monitor this system closely for development. It is possible that the system could start affecting Belize as early as Thursday. The public is advised to remain vigilant and to be prepared for possible storm arrival in accordance with our emergency plan. If the need arises for you to relocate or evacuate, move early, know which shelter you will go to, and take along your essential necessities required for you to survive. If the islands need to evacuate. an announcement will be made. If people want to voluntarily relocate from the islands to the mainland prior to the announcement of a government coordinated evacuation those individuals must be cleared through MOH San Pedro where all particulars are recorded and checked against MOH COVID-19 positive/persons quarantine list and a temperature check must be taken prior to departure. DUE TO THE SOF voluntary movement will have to be derided the National Oversight Committee.

In the event of a government coordinated evacuation the following protocols must be followed, a headcount, particulars recorded, names check against the MOH COVID-19/quarantine list and a temperature check will be taken prior to departure. If anyone is known to be COVID positive or under quarantine, the San Pedro Emergency Committee first option is for those individuals to be housed/sheltered on the islands. The workforce on the island is at minimal levels or nonexistent and there are no tourists. If a voluntary relocation and a government coordinated evacuation have to be done, the wearing of masks, social distance on the vessels and buses. and temperature checks will be done prior to departure as we did during the first COVID 19 wave in San Pedro.

If we have to evacuate COVID-l9 positive and they will need shelter certain shelters in all municipalities will be declared COVID-19 HURRICANE SHELTERS as per a quarantine centre where people will be housed/sheltered. For those individuals who are COVID-19 positive and don't need shelter but under the SOE would have to be in quarantine or be in self-isolation, the Ministry of Health will have to direct that such is carried out. The names of those persons leaving the islands will be shared between the Ministry of Health San Pedro and the Ministry of Health in the receiving communities: again this was done before during the first COVID 19 wave in San Pedro.

Once in a shelter everybody must wear a mask, people showing symptoms will be contained in a separate section of the building. Hand washing /sanitizing must be done before entering the shelter. Shelter Wardens and Managers will allocate shelter space and social distance must be adhered to and the shelter must be sanitized on a regular basis. COVID 19 PROTOCOLS and SI 119 of 2020 shall be adhered to. The elderly and persons with underlying health conditions must not occupy the same space with normal persons. Shelter Managers must monitor and correct hygiene and cough /sneeze etiquette not done properly. The Ministry of Health (MOH) staff and or authorized volunteers will conduct daily monitoring of shelters to detect people who are sick. The Shelter Management Team (Public Officers! Volunteers) MUST wear/use PPE (Masks, Gloves, coverall (optional), thermometers). N•MO's important contact information is attached.

NEMO will keep the general public updated on any further developments. The public is advised to stay alert. Please adhere to the official release from the National Met Service and NEMO.

NEMO'S IMPORTANT CONTACT INFORMATION

The NEMO Emergency Hotline is 936. NEMO's Emergency Coordinators can be reached as
follows:

a) Corozal, Mr. Ronnie Hernandez at 614 7140;

b) Orange Walk, Mr. Aragon at 615 2264; or Mr. Leiva at 614 7177;

c) Belize District, Mr. Alphius Gillett at 614 4735;

d) San Pedro, Ms. Vanessa Parham at 614 5865;

e) Belize City, Mr. Al Westby at 614 8604 or Mr. Pollard at 6143244;

f) Belmopan, Ms. Clare Moody at 614 5705; or Mr. Eiley at 624 2365;

g) Cayo, Mr. Al Westby at 6148604 or Mr. Johnny Ramclam at 614 5891;

h) Stann Creek -Coastal- Dangriga including Mullins River to Independence), Mr. Kevin
Flores at 604 3632;

i) Stann Creek -Interior- Hummingbird and Southern highway communities, Mr. David
Cruz at 614 8514; and for

j) Toledo, Mr. Kenton Parham at 614 2158 or Mr. Dennis Williams at 614 2393

Re: Tropical Storm Nana [Re: Marty] #544600
08/31/20 06:06 AM
08/31/20 06:06 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,288
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
INVEST 99

Recent satellite imagery and satellite-derived wind data indicate that a broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave over the eastern Caribbean Sea has changed little in organization since yesterday. However, environmental conditions are expected to gradually become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days while the system moves moves westward at at 15 to 20 mph. Interests in Jamaica, Honduras, Belize, Guatemala and the Yucatan peninsula should monitor the progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Re: Tropical Storm Nana [Re: Marty] #544607
08/31/20 10:37 AM
08/31/20 10:37 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,288
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
fromCrown Weather:

Invest 99-L Moving Into The Central Caribbean Is Still Likely To Develop Before Moving Inland Into Central America On Thursday

There hasn’t been a whole lot of changes with Invest 99-L, which is pushing into the central Caribbean today. Satellite imagery indicates that there thunderstorm activity has become a little less organized, however, there continues to be a rather robust mid-level circulation that stretches from about Aruba to about 16 North Latitude, 71.5 West Longitude.

With that said, we will have to watch the recently increase in thunderstorm activity that is occurring just south of Hispaniola near 16.47 North Latitude, 71.12 West Longitude. The wind shear values are favorable in this area for development and it wouldn’t take much for the elongated circulation to become concentrated in this area. Why is this possibly important? It would be slightly further north than where most guidance are initializing the “center” and could lead to more of a threat to Jamaica and the Cayman Islands.

As I just mentioned, the environmental conditions remain favorable for additional organization and it looks quite possible, if not likely that this disturbance will become a tropical depression and then a tropical storm as it heads westward reaching the western Caribbean on Wednesday.

There is a strong ridge of high pressure to the north of Invest 99-L, which will steer this system westward into an area between the Yucatan Peninsula and southern Belize on Thursday.

Bottom Line Is That there is a very good chance that Invest 99-L will become a tropical depression and probably a tropical storm over the next couple of days. I do think that this system will track close enough to Jamaica to bring squally weather to the island during Tuesday and Tuesday night.

Beyond this, I think it’s quite likely that this system will bring tropical storm conditions to the Yucatan Peninsula, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador and Nicaragua during Thursday.

==========

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Aug 31 2020

A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave over the central Caribbean Sea has changed little in organization since yesterday. However, environmental conditions are expected to gradually become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days while the system moves westward at at 15 to 20 mph. Interests in Jamaica, Honduras, Belize, Guatemala and the Yucatan peninsula should monitor the progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

This Caribbean cloud is now passing under Haiti. There is a tiny bit of apparent rotation to it, but that might just be the way the winds are.

[Linked Image]

For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Re: Tropical Storm Nana [Re: Marty] #544616
09/01/20 04:08 AM
09/01/20 04:08 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,288
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP

Tropical Weather Briefing

Update on the tropical wave and broad area of low pressure over the Central Carribbean Sea

NEMO ADVISORY # 2: POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE - 99L APPROACHING BELIZE

MONDAY, 31ST AUGUST, 2020 as at 5:00 PM

The National Meteorological Services of Belize and the National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO) advises that a Tropical Wave with an accompanying Broad Area of Low Pressure over the Central Caribbean Sea which was located west of latitude 15N, longitude 72W just south of Hispanola ( Dom-Rep/Haiti). This system has changed little in organization and continues to move to the west at around 15 to 20mph. The models used at the MET Service do not show significant development of this system before it reaches our coast, the National Hurricane Center still gives this system a high chance of becoming a tropical depression in the next couple of days. Regardless of development, this system will likely bring heavy rainfall across the country starting late on Wednesday night and continuing on Thursday. The NMS will continue to monitor this system and update you accordingly.

All persons in high-risk coastal areas are reminded IF the need arises for you to evacuate and you are (1) not COVID positive, (2) not in quarantine, (3) not awaiting a test result or (4) being contact traced, and (5) not showing symptoms, move early! You must wear a mask. Know which shelter you will go to, take along your essential necessities required for you to survive. People on arrival at the shelter showing symptoms will be contained in a separate section of the shelter building. Hand washing /sanitizing must be done before entering a shelter.

Shelter Wardens and Managers will allocate shelter space. Social distance must be adhered to and shelters must be sanitized on a regular basis. Garbage must be properly disposed of. Proper cleaning and disinfection must be done on a regular basis. The elderly and persons with underlying health conditions must not occupy the same space with normal persons. Shelter Managers must monitor and correct hygiene and cough /sneeze etiquette. The Ministry of Health (MoH) staff will conduct daily monitoring of shelters to detect people who are sick and showing signs of COVID19. The Shelter Management Team (Public Officers/ Volunteers) MUST use PPE.

Preparedness tips before a storm arrival:

(1) Avoid being near the coast, or swamp, if you live on the cayes and along the coast be familiar with the evacuation routes. Know which shelter you will go to. (2) protect windows with plywood or shutters, (3) review your family emergency plan, consider all COVID 19 measures, (4) if you can afford to, keep handy, emergency supplies such as first aid kit, basic tools, lanterns, batteries, flashlights, and non- perishable foods and water. Plan for one (1) gallon of drinking water per person per day. Prepare your car in case of an evacuation. Fill your tank, and service check your vehicle. (6) Keep an extra supply of medication. If a member of your household is bed-ridden, seek medical advice. Notify authorities ahead of time if you have persons in your neighborhood that may require special assistance to evacuate due to a medical condition.

(7) Secure your important documents and identification in waterproof containers, and electronically. Save the emergency contact numbers for NEMO, the police, fire, and medical facility in your cell phone. (8) Pets are not allowed in shelters, make plans for your pets, continue to trim trees, clear drains, and secure outdoor items. Farmers make plans to move your animals to higher ground and stockpile feed when required. We are asking people not to panic, stay calm, prepare, and move without alarm, scare mongering does more harm than good considering some people's medical condition. DO NOT LISTEN TO RUMOURS; stay tuned for an official release from NEMO and the National Met Service for further developments. The public is advised to stay alert. Please adhere to the official release from the National Met Service and NEMO. NEMO will keep the general public updated.


Last edited by Marty; 09/01/20 04:12 AM.
Re: Tropical Storm Nana [Re: Marty] #544631
09/01/20 05:27 AM
09/01/20 05:27 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,288
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
INVEST 99L

200 AM EDT Tue Sep 1 2020

A seemingly well-organized cluster of showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave is moving quickly westward across the central Caribbean Sea, but satellite-derived wind data from a few hours ago again showed that the system has not developed a closed surface wind circulation. The wave is, however, producing an area of winds near tropical storm force south of the coast of Haiti, which will move near or south of Jamaica later this morning. Environmental conditions are expected to become a little more conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days before the system reaches Central America Wednesday night. Locally heavy rains and gusty winds are possible on Jamaica today, and interests there, as well as in northern Nicaragua, Honduras, Belize, Guatemala, and the Yucatan Peninsula, should monitor the progress of this disturbance.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Invest 99L will produce locally heavy rainfall and some gusty winds over Jamaica today, then parts of northern Honduras, Belize, northern Guatemala and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico Wednesday, regardless if this feature develops into a tropical depression or storm.

The Belize MET service says that their modes do not show significant development of the tropical system before it reaches our coast. The National Hurricane Center does give the system a high chance of becoming a tropical depression in the next couple of days. Belize should stay vigilant and cautious about this approaching storm. It will being heavy rainfall to the country.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Re: Tropical Storm Nana [Re: Marty] #544638
09/01/20 07:51 AM
09/01/20 07:51 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,288
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Crown Weather:

Invest 99-L Located Just South Of Jamaica: Invest 99-L continues to be fairly well defined today, however, it seems to still lack a low-level center. The reason why the mid-level center hasn’t been able to work down to the surface and spin up a tropical storm seems to have to do with the fast forward speed that this disturbance is moving at. It should be noted that once this system forms a well-defined low-level center, it will automatically be upgraded to a tropical storm as ship observations indicate that tropical storm force winds are occurring on the northern side of this disturbance.

This means that tropical storm conditions with squally weather is likely on the island of Jamaica the rest of today.

On Wednesday, I think that Invest 99-L may slow down enough for it to spin up into a tropical storm as the environmental conditions will still be favorable for development. It should be noted though that a reconnaissance flight will be investigating Invest 99-L today & it’s quite possible that they will find that this system is already classifiable as a tropical storm.

It continues to be likely that Invest 99-L will move inland into Belize late Wednesday night or Thursday morning as a 40 to 50 mph tropical storm.

This means that tropical storm conditions continue to be likely on Wednesday night into Thursday across the Yucatan Peninsula, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador and Nicaragua.

For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

[Linked Image]

=====

That collection of cloud and ITCZ swellups continues to come our way and is now passing Jamaica with a fair bit of rain areas, but only a tiny hint of any rotation, the hurricane people still only refer to it as INVEST 99L an area to watch, 40 mph max winds, 1005 mb which is only slightly below the normal 1013 mb This area should be getting to most of Belize sometime around this evening and night. The present indication is that it will bring some much needed rain to many parts of Belize, more so for central and north.

Re: Tropical Storm Nana [Re: Marty] #544641
09/01/20 09:12 AM
09/01/20 09:12 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,288
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Clouds already building across much of Belize. Looks as if some are causing some rain in Toledo.

176F6DFE-841C-484D-A3C7-0846A5083213.png
Re: Tropical Storm Nana [Re: Marty] #544643
09/01/20 12:05 PM
09/01/20 12:05 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,288
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Storm now named Tropical Storm NANA. Moving west 18 mph, wind 50mph. TWC says perhaps 60 + at landfall. NEMO posted a NO EVACUATION orders for San Pedro. "If you choose to leave it is of your own accord"....

[Linked Image]

=====

The weather people have suddenly, over the last hour or so, changed their category from an area to watch to TROPICAL STORM NANA which, rather fast. . . As I said this morning, there was some indication of a little rotation. . . But they have sneaked their figure up from 40 to 50 mph and dropped the pressure from 1008 to 1004 mb not a big change, but enough for them to re-categorise it as a tropical storm and get a Name on it. They seem to think it will get near to Belize tomorrow evening, not over night as I thought.

======================

At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nana was located near latitude 16.7 North, longitude 78.4 West. Nana is moving toward the west near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Thursday. On the forecast track, Nana will be moving near but north of the coast of Honduras on Wednesday and likely be approaching the coast of Belize on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Nana could become a hurricane just prior to landfall on Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center, mainly northeast through northwest of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure based on data from the reconnaissance aircraft is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Northern Honduras
* Roatan Island and the Bay Islands of Honduras
* Belize

A Tropical Storm Watch may be required for portions of Guatemala and the southern Yucatan Peninsula, along with a Hurricane Watch for Belize, later today.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

NEMO DVISORY # 3: TROPICAL STORM NANA APPROACHING BELIZE EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL

NEMO DECLARES A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BELIZE TUESDAY, 1ST SEPTEMBER, 2020 as at 11:00 AM


The National Meteorological Services of Belize and the National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO) advise that as of 10:05 am local time, Tropical Storm Nana was centered near latitude 16.5N, 77.7W or about 120 miles southwest of Kingston, Jamaica. Nana was moving to the west at 18mph with maximum sustained winds of 50mph on this projected path, Nana is expected to make landfall on Belize on Thursday around midday as a Hurricane. The National Meteorological Service continues to monitor this system closely.

NEMO hereby declares a Tropical Storm Watch (one red flag with a black centre). The watch is declared because heavy rain can cause flooding, washout roads, bridges, culverts, winds between 39 to 73 miles can damage homes, tree branches will snap, shallowly rooted trees may be toppled, power lines and poles likely to be affected which could result in power outages and water shortage, loose items can be blown about and storm surge can cause flooding, drowning and beach vessels not securely moored. These are the range of likely impacts. The public must monitor the progress of this system but do not panic!

The WATCH means the public is advised to start putting your family emergency plan into action and to be prepared to seek safe shelter, (2) school managements be notified that NEMO will need to access schools as shelters, (3) boat owners start securing your vessels, (4) a price freeze is in effect (5) public and private essential agencies and utility companies must release their employees when they need to seek shelter for their safety, (6) road infrastructure works need to be prioritized to maintain the lines of communication and (7) media houses and telephone service providers are advised to be prepared to secure your communication infrastructure. We must make plans for the worst case scenario which is a Hurricane. All Emergency Operations Centre (Command Centres) countrywide will be activated today at 4pm today. All of them had their first meeting yesterday.

All persons in high-risk coastal areas are reminded IF the need arises for you to evacuate and you are (1) not COVID positive, (2) not in quarantine, (3) not awaiting a test result or (4) being contact traced, and (5) not showing symptoms, move early! You must wear a mask. Know which shelter you will go to, take along your essential necessities required for you to survive. The elderly and persons with underlying health conditions must not occupy the same space with normal persons.

Note, people showing symptoms will be contained in a separate section of the shelter building. Hand washing /sanitizing must be done before entering a shelter. Shelter Wardens will allocate shelter space. Social distance must be adhered to and shelters must be sanitized on a regular basis. Garbage must be properly disposed of. Proper cleaning and disinfecting must be done on a regular basis. Shelter Managers must monitor and correct hygiene and cough /sneeze etiquette. The Ministry of Health (MoH) will conduct daily monitoring of shelters to detect people who are sick and showing signs of COVID19. The Shelter Management Team (Public Officers/ Volunteers) MUST use PPE.

We are asking people not to panic, stay calm, don't listen to rumours. Stays tuned for and adhere to the official release from NEMO and the National Met Service and stay alert. Prepare, and move without alarm, scare mongering does more harm than good considering some people's medical condition. NEMO will keep the general public updated. Do not panic Belize we have faced tropical cyclones many times before, the bigger threat is COVID 19 we must wear our masks, social distance and clean our hands and all surfaces on a regular basis.

PREPAREDNESS TIPS BEFORE A STORM ARRIVAL:

(1) Avoid being near the coast if your home is not safe, if you live on the cayes and along the coast be familiar with the evacuation routes. Know which shelter you will need to go to.

(2) protect windows with plywood or shutters,

(3) review your family emergency plan; consider all COVID 19 measures,

(4) if you can afford to purchase non-perishable foods and water.

(5) Keep an extra supply of medication. If a member of your household is bed-ridden, seek medical advice. Notify authorities ahead of time if you have persons in your neighborhood that require special assistance to evacuate due to a medical condition.

(6) Secure your important documents and identification. Save the emergency contact numbers for NEMO, the police, fire, and medical facility in your cell phone.

(7) Pets are not allowed in shelters, make plans for your pets, continue to trim trees, clear drains, and secure outdoor items. Farmers make plans to move your animals to higher ground and stockpile feed when required.

================

PRESS RELEASE
NEMO Belize Rural South
September 1, 2020 9:35am

There is NO NEMO evacuation order for Ambergris Caye or Caye Caulker.
Note that If you choose to leave Ambergris Caye or Caye Caulker at this time, you do so at your own accord and expense

================

[Linked Image]

Re: Tropical Storm Nana [Re: Marty] #544645
09/01/20 12:26 PM
09/01/20 12:26 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,288
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Crown Weather:

Nana Forms Just Southwest Of Jamaica & Is Currently Strengthening Quickly; Nana Likely Will Be A Hurricane When It Moves Inland Into Central America On Wednesday Night Into Thursday

It’s been a busy few hours trying to keep up with the latest reconnaissance aircraft reports with Nana.

First things first, Nana seems to be strengthening quickly this afternoon as the initial reconnaissance reports indicated that Nana had 50 mph winds. Since then, it seems as Nana has developed a closed eyewall with what could be an eye forming. If true, then Nana is very close to, if not already at hurricane strength. Based on this rapid intensification, I urge everyone in the southern Yucatan Peninsula, Belize and northern Honduras to start preparing for hurricane conditions which will start on Wednesday night and continue into Thursday.

Before then, tropical storm conditions with squally weather will continue to be likely on the island of Jamaica the rest of this afternoon.

I expect that given the favorable environmental conditions, Nana is likely strengthen from now until landfall on Wednesday night. Because of then, I think that Nana will probably be a hurricane with 85 to 105 mph winds when it moves inland into Belize late Wednesday night or Thursday morning .

This means that hurricane conditions are expected on Wednesday night into Thursday across the southern Yucatan Peninsula, Belize, Guatemala and northern Honduras.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

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