The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Paulette, located over the central tropical Atlantic, and on Tropical Storm Rene, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic.
Satellite wind data and surface observations indicate that the low pressure area of of the coast of the Carolinas has weakened to a trough. The system is forecast to move northwestward at 10 to 15 mph and move inland over eastern North Carolina this afternoon, and the chances for significant development by that time are decreasing. Interests along the coasts of North and South Carolina should continue to monitor the progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorm is centered a couple of hundred miles northeast of the Central Bahamas. This system is forecast to drift westward and will likely be in the vicinity of the Florida peninsula on Friday. Afterward, upper-level conditions could become conducive for some development this weekend while the system drifts west-northwestward over the eastern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa later today. Gradual development is anticipated once the system moves over water, and a tropical depression is expected to form late this week or over the weekend while the system moves generally westward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
Another tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa this weekend. Environmental conditions could be conducive for slow development over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean early next week while the wave moves slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
As of 8:00 PM Dominica time / September 9, 2020, the National Hurricane Center-Miami has yet to designate this tropical wave as 95L. The NHC-Miami will issue the 95L designation as soon as this TROPICAL WAVE enters the warm waters of the East Atlantic Ocean and begins a track towards the west overall in the general direction of the East Caribbean Islands. Weather data in the past 8 hours has resumed a trend of possible 95L track back to a southward latitude path. Thus, people/friends of the Lesser Antilles Islands should continue to monitor this TROPICAL WAVE / 95L, for CYCLONE development and possible impacts including a possible LANDFALL, September 15-17, 2020.
For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here