Belize Weather Forecast: September 11, 2020

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#544850 09/11/20 06:11 AM

Joined: Oct 1999

Posts: 84,398

oregon, spr

Marty

Marty

Belize Weather Forecast: September 11, 2020

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy this morning. Sunny in San Pedro. A slight increase in moisture is expected later today.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells today and cloudy at times tonight. Showers or thunderstorms will be isolated with a few more north and inland this afternoon then an increase in showers and thunderstorms is expected over most areas tonight.
Winds: E-NE, 5-10 kts
Sea State: Slight
Waves: 1-3 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue mostly over the south Saturday morning then north and inland Saturday afternoon, spreading to most areas Saturday night.
Sargassum Forecast from September 9, 2020 to September 16, 2020: Latest observations show a few sargassum mats over the area. These mats will likely drift ashore and produce moderate impacts on local beaches in the coming days. San Pedro has a medium probability and a moderate expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands has a medium chance of becoming a tropical depression during the next 48 hours. At 3:00am Tropical Storm Rene was centered near latitude 19.7N, longitude 38.5W, or about 985 miles WNW of the Cabo Verde Islands. Tropical Storm Paulette was centered near latitude 23.1N, longitude 51.7W, or about 810 miles ENE of the northern Leeward Islands. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 85W from 18N southward, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. An upper level cyclonic circulation center is between Haiti and Jamaica. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong covers the waters that are from Haiti westward, and inland in Honduras and Nicaragua.

The monsoon trough is along 09N/11N, between 73W in Colombia and beyond Costa Rica. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong covers the Caribbean Sea from 15N southward from 70W westward.

Tropical Storm Paulette near 23.1N 51.7W 991 mb at 5 AM EDT moving WNW at 9 kt. Maximum sustained winds 55 kt gusts 65 kt. Large swell associated with T. S. Paulette will reach the Atlantic and Caribbean Passages this weekend. A tropical wave in the western Caribbean will exit the basin tonight.

	High	Low
Coastal	32° C 89° F	27° C 80° F
Inland	34° C 94° F	23° C 74° F
Hills	28° C 82° F	20° C 68° F

TIDES:
Low: 11:45 AM	High: 6:13 PM
Low: 10:23 PM	High: 4:47 AM (Sat)
Sunrise: 5:40 AM	Moonset: 1:25 PM
Sunset: 5:57 PM	Moonrise: 12:45 AM (Sat)

Four Day Weather Outlook:

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 11, 2020 Marty #544851 09/11/20 06:13 AM
Joined: Oct 1999 Posts: 84,398 oregon, spr Marty OP
OP Marty	The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Paulette, located over the central tropical Atlantic, and on Tropical Storm Rene, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending from near the Central and Northwest Bahamas eastward over the western Atlantic for a few hundred miles is associated with a surface trough of low pressure. This system is forecast to move westward, crossing the Bahamas and Florida later today and moving into the eastern Gulf of Mexico over the weekend. Upper-level winds are expected to become conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form while this system moves slowly west-northwestward over the eastern Gulf of Mexico early next week. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce locally heavy rainfall over portions of South Florida and the Keys during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Another trough of low pressure is located over the north-central Gulf of Mexico. Although the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is currently minimal, some slow development of this system is possible while it moves westward and then southwestward over the northern and western Gulf of Mexico through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A tropical wave is located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands and is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is forecast, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next few days while the system moves generally westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Another tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa this weekend. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form over the far eastern tropical Atlantic early next week while the system moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. PRELIMINARY POSSIBLE TRACK MAP track for likely to be designated 95L / possible Sally, September 10-27, 2020. For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 11, 2020 Marty #544852 09/11/20 06:53 AM
Joined: Dec 2006 Posts: 13,675 San Pedro Belize elbert
elbert	On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a flat calm sea around our barrier reef with a breeze from the East at 4 mph. The expected high temperature for the day is 89 f. White Sands Dive Shop https://whitesandsdiveshop.com/

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 11, 2020 Marty #544855 09/11/20 08:48 AM
Joined: Oct 1999 Posts: 84,398 oregon, spr Marty OP
OP Marty	A rather mixed weather at present, Caribbean winds with many patches of cloud coming in from the ENE but with high level above it. Other high level sort of trying to come over from the SW. All rather mixed us, causing many small patches of rain. You saw how most of the Yucatan, south Mexico, Guatamala were all under very heavy large swellups last night, which just missed Belize. Looks as if today will be highly variable and very quickly changeable, cloud, sun, some rain patches. Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last night min. 27°C 81°F Yesterday max. 33°C 91°F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0")

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 11, 2020 Marty #544858 09/11/20 12:24 PM
Joined: Oct 1999 Posts: 84,398 oregon, spr Marty OP
OP Marty	Present Condition: Mostly cloudy, some clearing in the west. Relatively moist and unstable conditions will prevail for the next few days. 24hr Forecast: Cloudy at times with a few showers and thunderstorms mostly over the southern districts and some coastal areas this afternoon spreading to most of the country by tonight. Activity will decrease and become generally isolated tomorrow morning. Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 11, 2020 Marty #544860 09/11/20 12:46 PM
Joined: Oct 1999 Posts: 84,398 oregon, spr Marty OP
OP Marty	Today's gentle breeze is moving from the north making the sea around the island calm. Some thunderclouds passing through, hopefully one will bring some rain to cool off on this hot day. /Users/marty/Desktop/PicOday aliasPhotos by Marlena Gomez

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 11, 2020 Marty #544862 09/11/20 03:10 PM
Joined: Oct 1999 Posts: 84,398 oregon, spr Marty OP
OP Marty	A number of small swellups are starting up : Could be increasing amounts and areas of rain developing this afternoon, evening.