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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,398
Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: September 13, 2020


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy this morning. Relatively moist and unstable conditions prevail.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Sunny with some cloudy spells today and cloudy at times tonight. A few showers, thunderstorms and periods of rain will occur over most areas this afternoon and then mostly over inland areas tonight. Otherwise, showers and thunderstorms will be isolated.
Winds: Light and Variable
Sea State: Slight
Waves: 1-3 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 87
Outlook: For Monday and Monday night is for isolated showers and thunderstorms to develop, except for a few more developing over inland areas during the afternoon.
Sargassum Forecast from September 9, 2020 to September 16, 2020: Latest observations show a few sargassum mats over the area. These mats will likely drift ashore and produce moderate impacts on local beaches in the coming days. San Pedro has a medium probability and a moderate expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave near the Cape Verde Islands has a medium chance of becoming a tropical depression during the next 48 hours. At 3:00 am Tropical Depression Twenty was near latitude 12.2N, longitude 35.5W, or about 1745 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Tropical Storm Sally was centered near latitude 27.0N, longitude 84.0W, or about 115 miles west of Port Charlotte, Florida. Tropical Depression Rene was centered near latitude 26.2N, longitude 47.1W, or about 1160 miles ENE of the northern Leeward Islands. Hurricane Paulette was centered near latitude 29.4N, longitude 60.8W, or about 310 miles SE of Bermuda. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

Moderate trade winds will prevail in the central and eastern Caribbean through late Tue as Hurricane Paulette continue to move northwest and then northeast over the north- central Atlantic waters. Surface ridging will establish over the SW Atlantic waters afterwards, resulting in moderate to fresh trades in the central and eastern Caribbean. Moderate southeast winds are expected to continue in the NW basin through Tue. Otherwise, large swell associated with current Tropical Depression Twenty is forecast to affect the tropical Atlantic waters E of the Leeward Islands by the middle of the week.


  High Low
Coastal 33° C
91° F
27° C
80° F
Inland 35° C
95° F
23° C
74° F
Hills 29° C
85° F
20° C
68° F
TIDES:
High: 6:00 AM Low: 1:41 PM
High: 7:56 PM Low: 12:45 AM (Mon)
Sunrise: 5:40 AM Moonset: 3:14 PM
Sunset: 5:55 PM Moonrise: 2:43 AM (Mon)




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm


Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,398
Marty Offline OP
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The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Hurricane Paulette and Tropical Depression Rene, both located over the central Atlantic Ocean, on Tropical Storm Sally, centered over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, and on Tropical Depression Twenty, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic.

A surface trough over the west-central Gulf of Mexico is producing limited shower activity. While some slow development of this system is possible, strong upper-level winds associated with Tropical Storm Sally will probably limit the chances of tropical cyclone formation through Monday. The disturbance is forecast to move southwestward and then southward over the west-central and southwestern Gulf of Mexico through the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Showers and thunderstorms located near and west of the Cabo Verde Islands are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions support some additional development, and a tropical depression could form over the far eastern tropical Atlantic during the next couple of days while the system moves slowly west-northwestward. By mid-week, however, upper-level winds should become less conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa around mid-week. Some gradual development of the system will be possible thereafter as the disturbance moves slowly westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,675
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On Ambergris Caye this morning the sea around our barrier reef is flat calm with a breeze from the West at 5 mph. Today's expected high temperature is 91f.

sept 13th.jpg

White Sands Dive Shop
https://whitesandsdiveshop.com/
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,398
Marty Offline OP
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That is certainly causing the Caribbean winds to be going in the wrong direction across Belize, and up over Cuba. But probably not much influence over the high level winds clashing causing the Swellups and rain. Today looks a bit like a rerun of yesterday, cloud or patchy sunshine with swellups likely do develop later today. Presently a surface "Tiger" wind from the SW

Looks as if today will be a mixture of sun and cloud, then an increasing chance of swellups and rain at first small areas, later larger and heavier rains.

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last night min. 24°C 76°F Yesterday max. 34°C 92°F Yesterday Rain 45 mm ( 1.8")

9F017138-2985-4FF7-A86E-B817D008AF12.png
Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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Present Condition: Party cloudy. Clear in San Pedro. Relatively moist and unstable conditions linger over the area.
24hr Forecast: Cloudy spells with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms, especially over inland and southern districts.

[Linked Image]

Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill


Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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Clouds developing now, in several places and some could be causing some rain. . . Probably more rain later this afternoon.

[Linked Image]

That TROPICAL STORM SALLY is pulling Caribbean air up into it. Right now, there are a whole bunch of storms or potential storms, including HURRICANE PAULETTE which may get to Cat.2 and hit Bermuda, out there in the Atlantic.

[Linked Image]

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,398
Marty Offline OP
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Before the rain, before the lightning, we had this beauty show up on the tip of a thundercloud. Videos by Marlena Gomez







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