Shower activity has increased this evening in association with a low pressure area, the remnants of Paulette, located about 150 miles south-southwest of the Azores. However, environmental conditions do not appear to be conducive for re-development into a tropical cyclone at this time The low is expected to move erratically over the northeastern Atlantic for the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.
By the middle of the week, a frontal boundary is expected to reach then stall near the Yucatan Peninsula. As moisture builds along this frontal boundary and as a tropical wave moves westward and interacts with this front, an area of low pressure may begin to develop over the northwestern Caribbean Sea during the middle to end of the week, and there is at least a small chance that a tropical depression or storm can form in this area by the end of the week. Regardless of tropical development, local downpours and flooding can be expected during the middle and end of the week across parts of Central America, southeastern Mexico, Cuba, the Cayman Islands and Jamaica.