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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,397
Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: September 29, 2020


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy this morning. Relatively moist and unstable conditions are setting in over the area.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Sunny with a few cloudy spells today, becoming mostly cloudy tonight. Showers and thunderstorms will be isolated, and increasing over inland areas this afternoon. Then, some showers, periods of rain and a few thunderstorms will occur over most areas tonight.
Winds: E-NE, 00-10 kts
Sea State: Slight
Waves: 1-3 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 87
Outlook: For Wednesday and Wednesday night is for a few showers, periods of rain and isolated thunderstorms during the day, increasing in the evening and night time.
Sargassum Forecast from September 22, 2020 to September 30, 2020: No significant amounts of sargassum was seen over the area on the latest satellite imagery. However, there is still the chance for smaller mats to affect the country in the coming days with minimal impacts. San Pedro has a low probability and a minimal expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the western Caribbean Sea in the next few days. There is a medium chance for tropical cyclone formation through the next 5 days, while the system moves slowly west-northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

A tropical wave is moving over the central Caribbean, while another one is approaching the Lesser Antilles. Presently, scattered moderate convection is noted overt eh south- central Caribbean south of 12N between 78W-82W. Scatterometer data depicts light to moderate trade winds across most of the basin except between 60W-70W, where moderate to fresh winds prevail.

Moderate to fresh trade winds over the central Caribbean will increase to fresh to strong speeds by mid-week. Moderate winds will continue elsewhere, except for gentle winds over the northwestern Caribbean.


  High Low
Coastal 32° C
90° F
24° C
76° F
Inland 36° C
96° F
22° C
72° F
Hills 28° C
82° F
19° C
66° F
TIDES:
High: 8:26 AM Low: 3:09 PM
High: 9:05 PM Low: 2:57 AM (Wed)
Sunrise: 5:42 AM Moonrise: 4:45 PM
Sunset: 5:42 PM Moonset: 4:42 AM (Wed)




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm


Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,397
Marty Offline OP
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A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the western Caribbean Sea in a few days. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form late this week or this weekend while the system moves slowly west-northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Satellite images show clouds, showers and thunderstorms associated with a westward moving tropical wave over the northeastern Caribbean and over adjacent waters of the Atlantic. This tropical wave is forecast to move westward and remain disorganized over the next few days. This system will reach the northwestern Caribbean on Thursday or Friday.

Meanwhile, a frontal boundary is expected to reach and then stall from near the Yucatan Peninsula to the southern coast of Cuba. This front is currently producing numerous thunderstorms over the Gulf of Mexico. As this front and the westward-moving tropical wave interact with each other, an area of low pressure will develop over the northwestern Caribbean Sea from Thursday night into Friday. There is a growing chance that a tropical depression or tropical storm might form in this area Friday night or during the upcoming weekend. Regardless of tropical development, heavy rainfall leading to the chance for flash flooding will develop by the end of the week across parts of Central America, southeastern Mexico, Cuba, the Cayman Islands and Jamaica. All residents and interests in this area should closely monitor the progress of this system.

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For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,675
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On Ambergris Caye this Morning the sea around our barrier reef is calm with a clear sky. Today's expected high temperature is 90 f.

sept 29th.jpg
Last edited by elbert; 09/29/20 06:39 AM.

White Sands Dive Shop
https://whitesandsdiveshop.com/
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,397
Marty Offline OP
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Not any Caribbean wind at present, but there is some low level cloud around and high level from the NE. Some activity up in the Yucatan, very active weather to the west of the Yucatan in the Gulf, but other than that, not much else happening, no storms in the Atlantic.

Looks as if today will be mainly sunny, clouds developing this morning, always a chance of swellups this afternoon.

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Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last night min. 25°C 78°F Yesterday max. 33°C 91°F Yesterday Rain 0.2 mm ( 0")

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,397
Marty Offline OP
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Appears rain clouds now developing in several places.

[Linked Image]

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,397
Marty Offline OP
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Present Condition: Partly cloudy. The proximity of a cold front will bring wet conditions later today.
24hr Forecast: Cloudy skies with a few showers, periods of rain and isolated thunderstorms over northern and inland areas this afternoon, then increasing and spreading to the rest of the country tonight into tomorrow morning.

There is the possibility that strong thunderstorms with damaging winds could develop across the country later this evening and tonight.

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Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill



Beautiful day but it looks like that'll change at the end of the week. Photos by San Pedro Scoop

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Last edited by Marty; 09/30/20 04:50 AM.

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