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Belize Weather Forecast: October 2, 2020 #545267
10/02/20 06:12 AM
10/02/20 06:12 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 80,387
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: October 2, 2020

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy this morning. A broad area of low pressure is affecting the area.
Advisories: *A small craft caution is in effect for gusty winds and rough seas near heavy showers and thunderstorms. A Flood Watch is in effect for the possibility of flooding over low-lying and flood prone areas across the country, especially over inland and southern Belize.*
24-hour forecast: Mostly cloudy to overcast skies with some showers, thunderstorms and periods of rain over most of the country, increasing especially over northern, central and offshore areas.
Winds: Gusty, W-NW, 5-15 kts
Sea State: Choppy BECOMING Rough
Waves: 3-5 ft BECOMING 4-7 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 87
Outlook: Cloudy skies with some showers, thunderstorms and periods of rain over most places on Saturday. Then, mainly over southern, coastal and offshore areas Saturday night, decreasing.
Sargassum Forecast from September 29, 2020 to October 07, 2020: Latest observations do not show significant amounts of Sargassum in the area. However, there is still the chance that a few small mats could drift into our area during the next few days with minimal impacts. San Pedro has a low probability and a minimal expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: A broad area of low pressure has developed over the west-central Caribbean Sea. Showers and thunderstorms are slowly becoming better organized with this system, and there is a high chance for a tropical depression or tropical storm to form during the next 48 hours, over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or the southern Gulf of Mexico. The National Meteorological Service of Belize continues to monitor the progress of this system as it moves slowly west-northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

Low pressure in the northwest Caribbean is becoming better organized this morning. The low is centered near 17N84W, and has an estimated pressure of 1006 mb. Strong, rotating convection is building near the center of the low, and a large band is observed within 180 nm to the northeast of the center. The low pressure developed along a tropical wave, currently moving into Central America. Environmental conditions are favorable enough to support a high chance for the low pressure to develop into a tropical depression or a tropical storm today or Saturday as it moves slowly to the northwest into the northeastern Yucatan peninsula. The low may emerge into the south central Gulf of Mexico by Sunday, then shift westward through early next week. Regardless of development, the slow moving low pressure will likely bring heavy rains, with possible flash flooding, to portions of southeastern Mexico, Central America, and western Cuba during the next several days. Seas will build over the far northwestern Caribbean and Yucatan Channel through Saturday night, and in the south- central Gulf through early next week.

  High Low
Coastal 30° C
86° F
24° C
76° F
Inland 31° C
88° F
23° C
73° F
Hills 26° C
78° F
19° C
66° F
High: 10:16 AM Low: 4:33 PM
High: 10:16 PM Low: 4:55 AM (Sat)
Sunrise: 5:43 AM Moonset: 6:17 AM
Sunset: 5:40 PM Moonrise: 6:28 PM

Four Day Weather Outlook:

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Centers Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:


Caye Caulker:

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 2, 2020 [Re: Marty] #545268
10/02/20 06:12 AM
10/02/20 06:12 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 80,387
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
Last night TORRENTIAL rain and lightening.

For more information on Invest 91L, click here

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 2, 2020 [Re: Marty] #545269
10/02/20 08:00 AM
10/02/20 08:00 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,497
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a 12 mph wind from the North after a night of thunderstorms and heavy rainfall. The strong Northern winds make the sea state's appearance around our barrier reef deceptive. It's currently very hazardous for boats or any watersports.

oct 2nd.jpg
Last edited by elbert; 10/02/20 08:01 AM.

White Sands Dive Shop
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 2, 2020 [Re: Marty] #545270
10/02/20 09:59 AM
10/02/20 09:59 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 80,387
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
We now have a storm on our back door. The hurricane people are only calling it TD TWENTY-FIVE but, to me it is a much larger and more significant storm than many they give names to as tropical storms. Perhaps because it is not a threat to the States, and perhaps, because, it is mainly a rain event, despite very significant, large area rotation, being helped by the cool air pushing down from the north over the Yucatan.

There is Caribbean wind from the east pushing in over the north and most of Belize right now and high cloud from this storm, also from the east, and at the same time, there is mid-level cool air cloud pushing in from the west, over most of Belize, so there will be some clashing going on, at present that does not appear to be rain yet, but there probably will be later today.

Looks like today will be mainly cloudy, with patches and areas of rain later, in any part of Belize.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last night min. 25C 77F Yesterday max. 32C 90F Yesterday Rain 30 mm ( 1.2")

For more information on Tropical Depression 25, which is east of Belize, click here

Also check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook: click here

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 2, 2020 [Re: Marty] #545273
10/02/20 11:47 AM
10/02/20 11:47 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 80,387
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
The storm weather is not actually getting much closer at present. Being pushed back by the cool air from the NW, which is causing a few small rain showers.

[Linked Image]

For more information on Tropical Depression 25, click here

Clapper Rail. Rails walk on lily pads too.

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 2, 2020 [Re: Marty] #545279
10/02/20 12:33 PM
10/02/20 12:33 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 80,387
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
Present Condition: Mostly cloudy. Moist and unstable conditions prevail with the support of Tropical Depression Twenty-five located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.

24hr Forecast: Some cloudy spells this afternoon, becoming cloudy to overcast this evening. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will begin developing over inland areas this afternoon, increasing to some showers, periods of rain and thunderstorms over most areas this evening and tonight. Activity will then linger mostly offshore and over some coastal areas tomorrow morning.

For more information on Tropical Depression 25, click here

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

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