Belize Weather Forecast: October 2, 2020

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy this morning. A broad area of low pressure is affecting the area.
Advisories: *A small craft caution is in effect for gusty winds and rough seas near heavy showers and thunderstorms. A Flood Watch is in effect for the possibility of flooding over low-lying and flood prone areas across the country, especially over inland and southern Belize.*
24-hour forecast: Mostly cloudy to overcast skies with some showers, thunderstorms and periods of rain over most of the country, increasing especially over northern, central and offshore areas.
Winds: Gusty, W-NW, 5-15 kts
Sea State: Choppy BECOMING Rough
Waves: 3-5 ft BECOMING 4-7 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 87
Outlook: Cloudy skies with some showers, thunderstorms and periods of rain over most places on Saturday. Then, mainly over southern, coastal and offshore areas Saturday night, decreasing.
Sargassum Forecast from September 29, 2020 to October 07, 2020: Latest observations do not show significant amounts of Sargassum in the area. However, there is still the chance that a few small mats could drift into our area during the next few days with minimal impacts. San Pedro has a low probability and a minimal expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: A broad area of low pressure has developed over the west-central Caribbean Sea. Showers and thunderstorms are slowly becoming better organized with this system, and there is a high chance for a tropical depression or tropical storm to form during the next 48 hours, over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or the southern Gulf of Mexico. The National Meteorological Service of Belize continues to monitor the progress of this system as it moves slowly west-northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

Low pressure in the northwest Caribbean is becoming better organized this morning. The low is centered near 17N84W, and has an estimated pressure of 1006 mb. Strong, rotating convection is building near the center of the low, and a large band is observed within 180 nm to the northeast of the center. The low pressure developed along a tropical wave, currently moving into Central America. Environmental conditions are favorable enough to support a high chance for the low pressure to develop into a tropical depression or a tropical storm today or Saturday as it moves slowly to the northwest into the northeastern Yucatan peninsula. The low may emerge into the south central Gulf of Mexico by Sunday, then shift westward through early next week. Regardless of development, the slow moving low pressure will likely bring heavy rains, with possible flash flooding, to portions of southeastern Mexico, Central America, and western Cuba during the next several days. Seas will build over the far northwestern Caribbean and Yucatan Channel through Saturday night, and in the south- central Gulf through early next week.

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm