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Belize Weather Forecast: October 3, 2020 #545295
10/03/20 06:04 AM
10/03/20 06:04 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 74,127
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: October 3, 2020


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy this morning. Moist and unstable conditions prevail as tropical storm gamma heads toward northern Yucatan Peninsula.
Advisories: A small craft caution is in effect for occasionally gusty winds and rough seas. A Flood Watch is in effect for the possibility of flooding over low-lying and flood prone areas across the country.*
24-hour forecast: Cloudy at times with a few showers, periods of rain and isolated thunderstorms developing across the country this afternoon, and then over southern and offshore areas tonight.
Winds: Gusty, W, 10-20 kts
Sea State: Moderate-Rough
Waves: 4-7 ft BECOMING 4-7 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 87
Outlook: For Sunday and Sunday night is for generally fair and mild weather to prevail. Showers or thunderstorms will be isolated.
Sargassum Forecast from September 29, 2020 to October 07, 2020: Latest observations do not show significant amounts of Sargassum in the area. However, there is still the chance that a few small mats could drift into our area during the next few days with minimal impacts. San Pedro has a low probability and a minimal expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: At 6:00 am, Tropical Storm Gamma was centered near latitude 19.7N, longitude 87.2W, or about 40 miles SSE of Tulum, Mexico. Gamma was moving to the NW at 9mph with maximum sustained winds of 65mph. Outer bands from this system could produce heavy rainfall over Belize, with the possibility of flooding, especially over low-lying and flood prone areas. Occasional gusty winds are also likely. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

T.S. Gamma and tropical waves are in the central Caribbean. A few showers and thunderstorms are noted off the southern coast of the Dominican Republic this morning, likely due to overnight drainage flow converging off the coast, but also near where the northern portion of the tropical wave is passing. Strong E winds are noted off the southern coast of Haiti as well, with seas likely reaching 8 ft. Moderate to fresh trade winds and 5 to 7 ft seas are noted elsewhere east of 75W, and north of 18N particularly between Jamaica and eastern Cuba. Light to gentle breezes and modest seas are noted over the southwest Caribbean.

For the forecast, Gamma will move to 20.2N 87.4W this afternoon, inland to 21.1N 87.9W Sun morning, then into the south-central Gulf of Mexico through Sun afternoon. Winds and seas will gradually diminish over the far northwest Caribbean through Mon. Elsewhere, fresh to strong trades are expected over the eastern and central Caribbean through Sun night. Winds and seas will subside through mid week across the basin as Gamma moves farther west and high pressure north of the area weakens slightly.


  High Low
Coastal 30° C
86° F
24° C
75° F
Inland 31° C
88° F
22° C
71° F
Hills 26° C
78° F
18° C
65° F
TIDES:
High: 10:52 AM Low: 4:59 PM
High: 10:41 PM Low: 5:33 AM (Sun)
Sunrise: 5:43 AM Moonset: 7:04 AM
Sunset: 5:39 PM Moonrise: 7:03 PM




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Centers Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 3, 2020 [Re: Marty] #545296
10/03/20 06:05 AM
10/03/20 06:05 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 74,127
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Gamma, located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.

A tropical wave is producing widespread cloudiness, showers, and thunderstorms over the eastern and central Caribbean Sea, with locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds affecting portions of the ABC Islands, the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico. Environmental conditions are expected to become a little more conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form next week while the system moves westward or west- northwestward at about 15 mph across the central and western Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Shower activity has increased since yesterday in association with a tropical wave located about midway between the coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles. Some slow development of this system may occur during the next several days as it moves generally westward to west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

For more information on Tropical Storm Gamma, click here

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 3, 2020 [Re: Marty] #545298
10/03/20 07:17 AM
10/03/20 07:17 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,183
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
.
elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a heavy overcast sky with a 21 mph wind from the West. The storm passed to the North of us. Today's expected high temperature is 86 f.

oct3rd.jpg

White Sands Dive Shop
https://whitesandsdiveshop.com/
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 3, 2020 [Re: Marty] #545299
10/03/20 10:07 AM
10/03/20 10:07 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 74,127
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
That TROPICAL STORM GAMMA is really large, and has moved up north as they forecasted it would. It is now very close to a Cat.1 hurricane, but they do not appear to expect it to get there. A fair bit of its spin up was caused by the cool air coming down over the Gulf, which is causing the clouds over Belize to be coming from the west.

Significant normal type clouds, but from the west, some large enough to be producing rain in a number of places. There is also high level cloud in many parts, and a strong surface wind from the SW. Some of the tail of that storm is trying to creep in from the east towards southern Belize, but may not make it.

Looks as if today will be very mixed, a lot of low and high cloud around, some blue sky, but quite probably patches of rain in any place during the day.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last night min. 25C 77F Yesterday max. 31C 88F Yesterday Rain 35.6 mm ( 1.4")

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 3, 2020 [Re: Marty] #545300
10/03/20 11:20 AM
10/03/20 11:20 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 74,127
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
The cool air clouds from the west are breaking up into individual clouds and sunshine areas and with that, a reduced chance of rain this morning, although still thick down south. High level from the storm over Corozal, San Pedro area.

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 3, 2020 [Re: Marty] #545302
10/03/20 01:04 PM
10/03/20 01:04 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 74,127
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Present Condition: Mostly cloudy. Relatively moist and unstable conditions linger over the area.

24hr Forecast: Cloudy spells with a few showers, periods of rain and isolated thunderstorms around the country this afternoon, then decreasing tonight and becoming isolated tomorrow morning.

*Small craft caution for occasionally gusty winds and rough seas.* *A flood watch is in effect for the possibility of flooding over low-lying and flood prone areas across the country.*

For more information on Tropical Storm Gamma, click here

[Linked Image]

Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill



Went out looking for seabeans and I found feeding bonefish enjoying the high tide, the cold front and the 6 months off. Video by San Pedro Scoop



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