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Belize Weather Forecast: October 5, 2020 #545322
10/05/20 06:08 AM
10/05/20 06:08 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 73,993
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Belize Weather Forecast: October 5, 2020


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy this morning. Mainly fair weather conditions continue across the country.
Advisories: *A small craft caution is in effect for occasionally gusty winds and locally rough seas.*
24-hour forecast: Cloudy skies at times. Except for the chance of light rain over the northern and central districts this evening and over offshore areas early tonight, little or no rain is expected.
Winds: W, 10-20 kts, Gusty
Sea State: Moderate-Rough
Waves: 5-7 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 87
Outlook: For Tuesday and Tuesday night is for continuing mainly dry conditions with little or no rainfall.
Sargassum Forecast from September 29, 2020 to October 07, 2020: Latest observations do not show significant amounts of Sargassum in the area. However, there is still the chance that a few small mats could drift into our area during the next few days with minimal impacts. San Pedro has a low probability and a minimal expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: At 6:00am Tropical Storm Delta was located near latitude 16.4N, longitude 78.4W, or about 130 miles south of Negril, Jamaica. Tropical Storm Gamma was centered near latitude 22.7N, longitude 87.5W, or about 170 miles NE of Progresso, Mexico. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

Tropical Depression Twenty-Six is in the central Caribbean. The monsoon trough extends across the southwest Caribbean from 11N74W to the coast of Costa Rica near 10N82W. Scattered moderate convection is active from 13N- 15N between 71W-77W. Isolated thunderstorms continue to impact the Virgin Islands westward into Puerto Rico. Gentle to moderate trade winds prevail across most of the Caribbean with fresh winds near the Greater Antilles and light winds in the SW Caribbean. Seas are from 3-6 ft across most of the basin with upwards of 8 ft near the low along the tropical wave, and 5 to 7 ft near the Yucatan Channel

Gamma will continue to move NW into the south-central Gulf, allowing winds and seas over the Yucatan Channel to diminish through Sun. The focus turns to the development and track of the low pressure south of Haiti There is a high chance this low may form into a tropical depression or tropical storm through next several days as the low moves west- northwest through the northwest Caribbean, south of Cuba.


  High Low
Coastal 31° C
87° F
25° C
77° F
Inland 32° C
90° F
23° C
74° F
Hills 25° C
77° F
18° C
65° F
TIDES:
Low: 6:11 AM High: 12:10 PM
Low: 5:52 PM High:11:39 PM
Sunrise: 5:43 AM Moonset: 8:41 AM
Sunset: 5:37 PM Moonrise: 8:18 PM




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Centers Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 5, 2020 [Re: Marty] #545323
10/05/20 06:09 AM
10/05/20 06:09 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 73,993
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Marty Online happy OP

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Marty  Online Happy OP
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Gamma, located over the extreme southern Gulf of Mexico just north of the Yucatan Peninsula, and on newly formed Tropical Depression Twenty-Six, located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea just south of Jamaica.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

Tropical Depression Twenty-Six is centered near 16.9N 77.8W at 05/0600 UTC or 80 nm SW of Kingston Jamaica moving WNW at 8 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are noted within 180 nm in the south semicircle of Twenty-six this morning. The depression is expected to continue to move WNW today, and strengthen to a tropical storm just west of Jamaica by this afternoon. The storm will then continue to move through the northwest Caribbean, passing over Grand Cayman tonight, then strengthen further through early Tue as it approaches western Cuba. Twenty-six is forecast to become a hurricane late Tue as it moves through the Yucatan Channel and crosses over the western tip of Cuba, then continue toward the north-central Gulf of Mexico by late in the week. Heavy rainfall will affect portions of Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and western Cuba during the next few days. This rainfall could lead to significant flash flooding and mudslides. Dangerous surf is likely over parts of western Cuba and the Isle of Youth. Interests in the northern Gulf should monitor monitor the progress of the system and check for updates to the forecast during the week.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 5, 2020 [Re: Marty] #545324
10/05/20 07:47 AM
10/05/20 07:47 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,175
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
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elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye we have a wind from the West at 18 mph and a rough seastate around our barrier reef. Today's expected high temperature is 86 f.

oct 5th.jpg

White Sands Dive Shop
https://whitesandsdiveshop.com/
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 5, 2020 [Re: Marty] #545325
10/05/20 10:04 AM
10/05/20 10:04 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 73,993
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

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Marty  Online Happy OP
There is a very complex weather situation around us at present. That TS GAMMA storm is still around, but very, very unusually it has just thinned out, no very high clouds, no rain under it, you can probably see patches of blue sky from under it. It is still rotating, but the wind speeds way out from its centre, are as fast as right in the centre, very strange animal, never seen that before, and its path has reversed, now coming back down, towards the Yucatan. it is sending out or causing high level clouds over most of Belize, together with the cool air from the north also assisting normal clouds from the west, and yet the strong surface wind over Belize is from the SW.

All this now starting to clash with this next TS DELTA storm, which they have classified as a storm from nothing yesterday, to a Tropical Storm this morning and possibly a Hurricane before it gets up through the Cuba - Yucatan gap, and Cat.2 across the Gulf to New Orleans area.

Meanwhile, looks as if our weather will probably be mainly dry but cloudy for much of the day, but rain clashing way out at sea, not near land.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last night min. 25C 79F Yesterday max. 30C 85F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0")

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 5, 2020 [Re: Marty] #545330
10/05/20 11:31 AM
10/05/20 11:31 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 73,993
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

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Marty  Online Happy OP
As I said earlier, that storm circulation is back on the north tip of the Yucatan, but its heavy clouds and rain, went up north and causing rain over Florida. That is a separation of the low pressure circulation centre and the high rain clouds.. . I saw this same thing happen to hurricane Earl that came right over us in 2016. When it got to about Belmopan, the Rain turned south, into the Mountains, but its rotation centre, with no rain, carried on over Guatamala, Mexico and into the Gulf, where it reformed.

In any case, TS GAMMA is sending a lot of cloud over Belize today.

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 5, 2020 [Re: Marty] #545333
10/05/20 12:24 PM
10/05/20 12:24 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 73,993
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

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Marty  Online Happy OP
Present Condition: Mostly cloudy. Mainly fair weather prevails.
24hr Forecast: Cloudy skies with little or no rainfall expected, except for the chance of light rain or brief isolated showers over northern and central districts this afternoon, and some coastal areas tonight.

A small craft caution remains in effect for occasionally gusty winds and locally rough seas.

[Linked Image]

For more information on Tropical Storm Delta, click here

Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 5, 2020 [Re: Marty] #545336
10/05/20 03:08 PM
10/05/20 03:08 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 73,993
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

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Marty  Online Happy OP
Increasingly heavy clouds in central Belize, could be rain later this afternoon.

CLICK HERE for animated version of the below image, really shows the rotation...

[Linked Image]

Cold weather on Ambergris Caye. Photo by Marlena Gomez

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 5, 2020 [Re: Marty] #545352
10/06/20 04:59 AM
10/06/20 04:59 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 73,993
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

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Marty  Online Happy OP
Flood Report and Forecast | October 5, 2020

River Conditions

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek and downstream at Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas levels are near nonnal and steady. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia levels are normal and steady.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels are below the spillways at Chalillo, Mollejon and Vaca facilities. At Sari Ignacio, levels are below the low-level bridge and steady. The MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town is nearing above normal and rising. On the BELIZE RIVER, levels at Banana Bank and Double Run are normal and steady. On the CROOKED TREE LAGOON levels remain below the causeway and steady.

REGION 11 - River levels on the SIBUN RIVER near Freetown Sibun is normal falling. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village is normal and falling. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is nomial and steady. The Swasey and Bladen branch of the MONKEY RIVER is normal and steady. Levels on the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls are near normal and falling. The MOHO RIVER at Jordan and Blue Creek South are above normal and falling. Levels on the TEMASH RIVER near Crique Sarco are above normal falling.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER levels are above normal and steady.

Flood Forecast

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, Santa Cruz, Sari Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas and downstream to the coast, levels are expected to increase to near above normal. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia above nonnal levels are expected.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels are expected to remain below the spillways at Chalillo, Mollejon and Vaca facilities. At San Ignacio, normal and steady levels are expected. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town river levels are expected to increase to near above normal. On the BELIZE RIVER, rio significant changes are expected. On the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, rio significant changes are expected.

REGION 11 - No significant changes are expected.

REGION 13 - No significant changes are expected.

The next Flood Report and Forecast will be issued on Friday October 9, 2020 at 12 pm.


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