Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Present Condition: Mostly clear this morning. Relatively moist and unstable conditions prevail.
Some cloudy spells with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly over coastal and offshore areas this morning, inland this afternoon, and mostly over central and coastal areas tonight.
Winds: E-SE, 00-10 kts Sea State: Slight
Waves: 1-3 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Cloudy spells with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms over most places on Sunday, decreasing.
Sargassum Forecast from October 6, 2020 to October 14, 2020:
The chances of sargassum affecting local beaches in the next few days remain low with minimal impacts expected from any mats that do make it ashore. San Pedro has a low probability and a minimal expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook:
Tropical Cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea or Gulf of Mexico, during the next 48 hours.
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The Caribbean Sea
The only significant showers and tstorms currently over the
Caribbean Sea are associated with the two tropical waves over the
basin. See the tropical waves section above for details. The
latest ASCAT pass shows fresh trades in the south-central
Caribbean and to the north of eastern Honduras. Gentle to locally
moderate winds cover the remainder of the basin.
Building high pressure over the northwest Atlantic will support
fresh trade winds and moderate seas over the south-central
Caribbean, and gentle to moderate trade winds and slight seas
elsewhere today. Winds and seas will diminish across the basin
through early next week as the high pressure shifts east.
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Delta, centered inland over central Louisiana.
The rest of the Atlantic basin remains relatively quiet, and additional tropical development is not expected through the rest of this week and through Saturday. Long-range computer forecasts are suggesting some potential for tropical development east of the Lesser Antilles late in the weekend or early next week.
A westward moving tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central tropical Atlantic. Slow development of this system could be possible later this weekend or early next week while the wave continues moving westward at 15 to 20 mph. Upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable for further development by the middle of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
No Tropical Development Is Expected For The Next Several Days; Possible Tropical Development Between The Central Caribbean & The Bahamas By Late Next Week (Around October 16)
The tropical disturbance that is now about halfway between the Lesser Antilles and the coast of Africa should reach the region from Jamaica to the Bahamas by later next week (October 15-16). At the same time this is happening, a trough of low pressure will push across the eastern United States leading to cooler than average temperatures and convergence & energy to increase to the south of this trough near the Bahamas and the Caribbean. This, I think, will give the spark that leads to tropical development somewhere between the central Caribbean and the Bahamas next weekend (October 17-18).
As for possible tracks, it is way too early to really tell, especially since this is still a 10 plus day forecast. There are many possible ways this development could go, ranging from a northeast track across Cuba, Hispaniola and the Bahamas as it’s picked up by the eastern trough to a westward track into the northwest Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico because that eastern trough misses it & it is guided by a ridge of high pressure westward.
For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 10, 2020
#545464 10/10/2006:52 AM10/10/2006:52 AM
Much of central and north Belize just sitting under a stationary blanket of low cloud, not moving. the Caribbean winds are only out at sea and from the SSE There is a little high level winds from the SW clashing but only out at sea.
Looks as if today will start of cloudy and brighten somewhat during the morning, more so in the south, a low chance of some rain.
Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last night min. 25°C 77°F Yesterday max. 31°C 88°F Yesterday Rain 0.3 mm ( 0")
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 10, 2020
#545466 10/10/2010:28 AM10/10/2010:28 AM
There was briefly, clashing clouds, working their way near, even over San Pedro, but they have now backed away. Clouds developing in southern areas could result in some rain in the south and could later develop to produce rain in some central areas.
Present Condition: Mostly clear, a few clouds in the south. Generally fair and warm weather prevails today. 24hr Forecast: Sunny with a few cloudy spells during the daytime and partly cloudy to cloudy tonight. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will develop over inland areas this afternoon (especially the Maya Mountains) and then over some coastal areas tonight and tomorrow morning. Otherwise, showers and thunderstorms will be isolated. Outlook: A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will occur over most areas, but especially inland on Sunday afternoon, and then over some coastal areas Sunday night. Then, mainly fair weather will prevail on Monday.