Belize Weather Forecast: October 13, 2020 General Situation: Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post! Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy this morning. A relatively moist northeasterly airflow is developing over the area. Advisories: None. 24-hour forecast: Skies will become increasingly cloudy with some showers and a few thunderstorms mainly over the south at first, then spreading to most areas after mid-morning and continuing across most of the country this afternoon and tonight. Winds: NE, 5-15 kts Sea State: Slight Waves: 1-3 ft Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86 Outlook: Similar weather conditions will continue across the country on Wednesday followed by a gradual decrease in showers and thunderstomrs on Wednesday night. Sargassum Forecast from October 6, 2020 to October 14, 2020: The chances of sargassum affecting local beaches in the next few days remain low with minimal impacts expected from any mats that do make it ashore. San Pedro has a low probability and a minimal expected impact. Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical Cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea or Gulf of Mexico, during the next 48 hours. Click for more... Marine Conditions: The Caribbean Sea Scattered showers are in the far eastern Caribbean being supported by an upper level trough that extends from the central tropical Atlc SW to a base near northern Colombia. Diffluence between the upper trough and an upper level high over the western half of the basin supports similar rainshower activity over the SW and NW Caribbean. Otherwise, a tropical wave near 75W is generating showers between Haiti and Jamaica. A tropical wave will bring moderate to fresh winds and building seas to the tropical waters E of the Lesser Antilles today and Wed, and to the eastern half of the Caribbean Wed through Sat night. Moderate trade winds over the south-central Caribbean will increase to fresh speeds Thu evening as high pressure establishes N of the area. These winds will prevail through the weekend, increasing to strong in the Gulf of Venezuela at night.   High Low Coastal 29° C 84° F 26° C 78° F Inland 32° C 90° F 23° C 73° F Hills 26° C 78° F 20° C 68° F TIDES: High: 6:46 AM Low: 1:45 PM High: 7:51 PM Low: 1:35 AM (Wed) Sunrise: 5:45 AM Moonset: 3:29 PM Sunset: 5:31 PM Moonrise: 3:28 AM (Wed) Four Day Weather Outlook: For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook. Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO) Ambergris Caye: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro Philip S W Goldson International Airport: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today Belmopan: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78 Caye Caulker: http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm

A tropical wave and associated broad area of low pressure located about 600 miles east of the Windward Islands have changed little in organization this morning. Upper-level winds are gradually becoming less conducive, so only some slow additional development is possible today. By tonight, upper-level winds are expected to become even less favorable for tropical cyclone formation to occur.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

A tropical wave located approximately 600 miles east of the Windward Islands has a weak low pressure area associated with it. This feature, designated 93L, is moving through a region featuring strong easterly wind shear. This shear is likely strong enough to inhibit tropical development during the next few days as this wave and area of low pressure tracks to the west-northwest. Regardless of development, 93L will bring the Lesser Antilles strong gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall later tonight into Thursday. 93L is expected to track westward through the eastern Caribbean during the latter part of the week then into the central Caribbean by this coming weekend.

The rest of the Atlantic basin remains relatively quiet, and additional tropical development is not expected through the rest of this week and through the upcoming weekend.

Some long-range models suggest an area to watch for tropical development may be the western parts of the Caribbean Sea later next week. Some of the guidance show an area of low pressure forming south or southwest of Jamaica around midweek before slowly becoming stronger and better organized, perhaps into a tropical depression or storm, by the end of the week.





For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

There is a lot of fog or low blanket cloud around this morning. the Caribbean winds are from the E by N and the high level clouds are also in the same direction, causing clashing and rain in quite a few places. Presently mainly in the south of Belize. But could be anywhere later.

Looks as if today will have a lot of cloud, with sunny patches later, but a high chance of some rain showers.



Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last night min. 25°C 78°F Yesterday max. 33°C 91°F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0")

Very heavy clouds over Belmopan earlier and a few drops, but no actual rain, but thunder to the south earlier.

Heavy rain over Belmopan and to the south, moving towards the west of Cayo.

Present Condition: Mostly cloudy. A moist northeasterly airflow prevails over the area.

24hr Forecast: Some showers and a few thuderstorms over most places but especially over the south and coast.

Outlook: Some showers and a few thunderstorms will affect most places wednesday afternoon, especially the southern districts and the coast. Activity will gradually decrease late Wednesday night becoming generally isolated by Thursday morning.



Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill

Flood Forecast for October 13, 2020 from the National Hydrological Service

River Conditions

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, Santa C., San Antonio, San Roman, Douglas and downstream to the coast levels are below normal and steady. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia levels are normal and steady.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels are below the spillways at Chalillo, Mollejon and Vaca facilities. At San Ignacio. levels are below the low-level bridge and steady. The MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town is normal and steady. On the BELIZE RIVER, levels at Banana Bank and Double Run are normal and steady. On the CROOKED TREE LAGOON levels remain below the causeway and steady.

REGION 11 - River levels on the SIBUN RIVER near Freetown Sibun is normal steady. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village is nomial and steady. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is normal and steady. The Swasey and Blades branch of the MONKEY RIVER are normal and steady. Levels on the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls are normal and steady. The MOHO RIVER at Jordan and Blue Creek South are normal and steady. Levels on the TEMASH RIVER near Crique Sarco are normal steady.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER levels are normal and steady.

FLOOD FORECAST

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, Douglas and downstream to the coast, levels are expected to increase near to above normal levels. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia above normal levels are expected.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels are expected to remain below the spillways at Chalillo, Mollejon and Vaca facilities. At San Ignacio, non-nal and steady levels are expected. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town above normal levels are expected. On the BELIZE RIVER at Banana Bank and Double Run levels are expected to increase to near above normal levels over the next few days. On the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, levels are expected rise but remain below the causeway and become steady over the next few days.

REGION 11 - River levels on the SIBUN RIVER near Freetown Sibun are expected to rise to near above nomial levels. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village are expected to remain at normal levels. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is expected to show a minimal increase over the next few days. The Swasey and Blades branch of the MONKEY RIVER is expected to continue to increase to near above normal levels. Levels on the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls are expected to show increase to near above nomial levels. The MOHO RIVER at Jordan and Blue Creek South are expected to increase then become steady over the next few days. Levels on the TEMASH RIVER near Crique Sarco are expected to rise to above normal levels.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER levels are expected to increase to above normal levels.

The next Flood Report and Forecast will be issued on Friday October 16, 2020 at 12 pm.

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Find out gas station in town has new hours - closes from 11 to 2pm... Weather? HOT! Photos by San Pedro Scoop

Northern blast hit Corozal yesterday afternoon. Photo by Jay Eiley for the Corozal Daily