Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Present Condition: Cloudy skies this morning. Conditions may become unstable over some areas with the passage of Zeta over the Yucatan.
Advisories: *A small craft caution is in effect for gusty winds and locally rough seas, especially near heavy showers and thunderstorms.*
Cloudy at times with a few showers and thunderstorms mainly over the northern half of the country and some offshore areas starting this afternoon into tonight, with possibly gusty winds.
Winds: W, 10-20 kts Sea State: Moderate-Rough
Waves: 4-7 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 84
Mainly fair conditions with isolated showers and thunderstorms; slightly more over the north on Tuesday morning and along the coast Tuesday night.
Sargassum Forecast from October 21, 2020 to October 28, 2020:
The chance of sargassum affecting local beaches in the coming days is low with minimal impacts from any mats that do make it ashore. San Pedro has a low probability and a minimal expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook:
At 6:00 am, the centre of Tropical Storm Zeta was located near latitude 18.9N, longitude 84.8W, or about 175 miles SE of Cozumel, Mexico and about 217 miles ENE of San Pedro, Ambergris Caye. Zeta was moving to the NW at 9mph with maximum sustained winds of 70mph. This system continues to be monitored by the National Meteorological Service of Belize.
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The Caribbean Sea
Tropical Storm Zeta is in the northwestern Caribbean Sea.Hurricane conditions and storm surge are expected in portions of
the northern Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico this evening through early
Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions could occur over extreme
western Cuba today and tonight.
Through Wednesday, heavy rainfall is ongoing and expected to
continue from Zeta across portions of central and western Cuba,
the Cayman Islands, and the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico. This
rainfall could lead to flash flooding in urban areas.
Southwesterly flow from the eastern Pacific region will continue
to advect abundant moisture over Central America but mainly from
Panama to Nicaragua. This will maintain the likelihood of showers
and tstms over that area on Mon.
Fresh winds will prevail over the east-central Caribbean
into Tue due to the pressure gradient between Zeta and high
pressure over the Atlantic.
The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Epsilon, located over the far North Atlantic several hundred miles east of Cape Race, Newfoundland.
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Zeta, located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Tropical Storm Zeta is centered near 18.7N 84.3W at 26/0900 UTC or 180 nm SE of Cozumel Mexico moving NW at 8 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 60 kt with gusts to 75 kt. Numerous moderate to strong convection is noted from 14N to 20N between 81W and 87W. On the latest forecast track the center of Zeta will cross the northeast Yucatan Peninsula tonight and over the south-central Gulf of Mexico Tue, then approach the norther Gulf of Mexico Wed. Strengthening is forecast, and Zeta is expected to become a hurricane day before reaching the Yucatan Peninsula.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
For more information on Tropical Storm Zeta, click here
For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 26, 2020
#545778 10/26/2007:14 AM10/26/2007:14 AM
The storm TROPICAL STORM ZETA has not made any significant movement, despite Wunderground and NOAA saying it has. However just a short time ago, there was a rapid swellup on its NW edge, which might be an indication that the storm might move in that direction. Wunderground are showing its centre even further north than my small circle, where there is relatively clear skies. There is still no clear indication of its actual movement, despite the hurricane people showing it as already moving. They say it is now close to Hurricane strength and I think they may be right
Looks as if Belize will have a mainly cloudy day, some sunshine, and perhaps some rain later, but no indication at present.
Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last night min. 25°C 78°F Yesterday max. 31°C 87°F Yesterday Rain 0.8 mm ( 0")
Present Condition: Cloudy throughout the country. Generally fair weather prevails, but conditions may become unstable over some areas of the country as Tropical Storm Zeta heads towards the Yucatan area.
24hr Forecast: Skies will continue to appear mostly cloudy, along with a few showers and thunderstorms developing over northern and central areas this afternoon and tonight, lingering over the extreme north tomorrow morning. Otherwise, showers and thunderstorms will be isolated. Gusty winds are also likely this evening and tonight, especially offshore.
Outlook: For Tuesday afternoon through to midday on Wednesday is for generally fair weather to prevail, with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms developing mostly offshore and over some coastal areas Tuesday night and Wednesday morning.
For more information on Tropical Storm Zeta, click here
A small craft caution is in effect for the possibility of gusty winds and locally rough seas near heavy showers and thunderstorms.
Surface "Tiger" wind still from the SW, but normal clouds from the west or WNW high level cloud from the east, kick off from the Tropical Storm, which is now moving towards the NNW, heading for Cancun again, and looks as if it will be Cat.1 by that time. Low level winds with white arrow, high level with orange arrows, are are different high level movements out of this storm. Low level is anticlockwise, where at the top spin out will be and is clockwise. The red arrow with a 0 shows where it has moved from over the last 36 hours
REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, Santa Cruz, San Antonio. San Roman, and Douglas and downstream to the coast levels are below normal and falling. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia below normal and falling levels exists.
REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels are below the spillways at Chalillo, Mollejon and Vaca facilities. At San Ignacio, levels are below the low-level bridge and steady. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town levels are normal and steady. On the BELIZE RIVER, at Banana Bank and Double Run levels are below normal and steady. On the CROOKED TREE LAGOON levels are below the causeway and show a minimal rise.
REGION 11 - River levels on the SIBUN RIVER near Freetown Sibun is normal and steady. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village is normal and steady. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is near normal and steady. The Swasey and Blades branch of the MONKEY RIVER levels are non-nal and falling. Levels on the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls are normal and steady. The MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan is normal and steady. Levels on the TEMASH RIVER near Crique Sarco are near normal steady.
REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER levels are normal and steady.
REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, Santa Cruz. San Antonio, San Roman, Douglas levels are expected to increase minimally becoming nonnal over the next few days. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia below normal levels are expected to increase minimally becoming normal over the next few days.
REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels are expected to remain below the spillways at Chalillo, Mollejon and Vaca facilities. At San Ignacio, normal and steady levels are expected. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town above nonnal levels are expected. On the BELIZE RIVER at Banana Bank and Double Run normal and steady levels are expected over the next few days. On the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, levels are expected to remain below the causeway over the next few days.
REGION 11 - River levels on the SIBUN RIVER near Freetown Sibun are expected to increase minimally over the next few days. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village are expected to remain at normal levels. In watersheds on the Eastern Slopes of the Mayan Mountains normal and steady levels are expected. On the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge normal and steady levels are expected over the next few days. On the Swasey and Blades branch of the MONKEY RIVER nominal and steady levels are expected over the next few days. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls levels are expected to increase minimally over the next few days. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan levels are expected to increase minimally over the next few days. Levels on the TEMASH RIVER near Crique Sarco are expected to show a minimal increase over the next few days.
REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER above normal and levels are expected overtime next few days.
The next Flood Report and Forecast will be issued on Friday October 30, 2020 at 12 pm.