Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Present Condition: Partly cloudy this morning. Relatively moist and unstable conditons prevail.
Variably cloudy skies with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly over northern and inland areas today, then over southern and offshore areas tonight.
Winds: N-NW, 0-10 kts Sea State: Slight
Waves: 1-3 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
A few showers, periods of rain and isolated thunderstorms will affect mostly inland and southern areas on Saturday, then over coastal and southern areas Saturday night.
Sargassum Forecast from October 27, 2020 to November 04, 2020:
There is the chance that a few Sargassum mats could impact local beaches in the coming days but impacts are expected to remain minimal to moderate. San Pedro has a medium probability and a moderate expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook:
Shower activity associated with a tropical wave, over the eastern Caribbean Sea, has become better organised. This system has a high chance of becoming a tropical depression over the weekend or early next week, as it moves westward into the central and western Caribbean Sea. The National Meteorological Service of Belize is closely monitoring this system.
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The Caribbean Sea
Tropical waves along 63W, 71W and 85W are moving westward across
the Caribbean Sea. The tropical wave along 63W has a medium chance
of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
See the Special Features section above for more details. Showers
and thunderstorms associated with the other tropical waves are
discussed in the Tropical Waves section above.
The eastern extension of the monsoon trough in the eastern Pacific
Ocean is along 10N to 11N, from 73W in northern Colombia into Costa
Rica. Widely scattered moderate showers are noted from 10N to 13N
southward from 75W westward. Little change in the position of the
monsoon trough in the SW Caribbean is expected through Sat.
Active weather associated with the tropical wave moving into the
eastern Caribbean will shift westward into the western Caribbean
Sea through Fri night. An area of low pressure is expected to
develop from this wave in the Caribbean Sea this weekend, and a
tropical depression could form by early next week.
Shower activity continues to become better organized in association with a tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea. Conditions are conducive for further development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week as the system moves into the central and western Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
The centre of the low-pressure system (INVEST 96L) which moved over the southern Windward Islands last night into earlier today is presently over the Caribbean Sea west of The Grenadines Cloudiness, and or showers, and or gusty winds and thunderstorms in some areas within the associated tropical wave's environment should continue over most of the CAI but in higher concentrations over some areas south of Montserrat to Trinidad including Guadeloupe, the Windward Islands, Barbados, and Tobago today.
Elsewhere across the Atlantic basin, conditions will remain unfavorable for additional tropical development though at least the middle of the upcoming week.
For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 30, 2020
#545877 10/30/2006:57 AM10/30/2006:57 AM
All a bit complex this morning. Cool air pushing down from the north over the Yucatan, light "Tiger" surface wind from the SW Easterly Caribbean winds mixing with the others to produce a fair amount of cloud,not ran type. But then there is a clashing of two air out at sea, which are causing rain. Off Honduras, that ITCZ activity collapsed and sending a ring of cloud out.
Looks like tod ay will be a mixed day, starting with significant cloud, then becoming more sunny, then cloud building this afternoon, when there could be some rain in a few places.
Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last night min. 25°C 78°F Yesterday max. 32°C 90°F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0")
Present Condition: Partly cloudy. An approaching tropical wave will support relatively moist and unstable conditions during the next 24 to 36 hours.
24hr Forecast: There will be some cloudy spells, along with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly over northern and inland areas this afternoon, and a few more thunderstorms occurring over southern areas also this afternoon. Then, for tonight and tomorrow morning, a few thunderstorms along with some showers and periods of rain will affect southern and some coastal areas.
Small craft caution for gusty winds near heavy showers and thunderstorms.
Outlook: A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will occur mostly over southern and inland areas on Saturday afternoon, then over southern and some coastal areas Saturday night and Sunday morning.
We are monitoring Invest96L, an organizing LOW-PRESSURE AREA, located just west of the Lesser Antilles Islands, tracking west at 11 mph, towards the open waters of the Central Caribbean Sea. It is projected to be Tropica lDepression Eta by or on Saturday, October 31, 2020, followed by Tropical Storm Eta formation by or on Sunday, November 1, 2020, with a landfall of a strong Tropical Storm Eta or very possibly Hurricane Eta along the Nicaragua / Honduras border late November 2, 2020.
Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill
The National Meteorological Service of Belize continues to closely monitor an area of disturbed weather associated with a tropical wave over the eastern Caribbean Sea.
A low pressure system accompanies this wave and it is located near latitude 13.0N, longitude 64.0W. The wave is moving to the west at around 10 to 15 mph. The forecast is for this system to continue moving westward into the central and western Caribbean Sea. Conditions are favourable for this system to develop into a tropical depression over the weekend or early next week.
This system is forecast to approach the eastern Coast of Honduras and Nicaragua around Tuesday of next week where the models show it slowing down before eventually making landfall on Nicaragua.
It is way too early to tell what impacts, if any, this system could have on Belize. However, there is still plenty of time to monitor it and the NMS of Belize will continue to do so and update you. -- Ronald Gordon MSc Meteorologist