Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Present Condition: Mostly cloudy this morning. Relatively moist and unstable conditions prevail.
Advisories: *A small craft caution is in effect for occasional gusty winds and locally rough seas near heavy showers and thunderstorms. The BECOL storage facilities on the Macal River became active overnight causing the river at San Ignacio to rise significantly. Therefore, residents in the San Ignacio area are advised to exercise caution as the low-level bridge may become inundated.*
Cloudy spells with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms ove southern coastal areas and over the sea. Showers and thunderstorms will be isolated elsewhere.
Winds: N-NW, 5-15 kts Sea State: Light Chop
Waves: 2-4 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue to affect the sea and southern coastal areas on Monday, increasing on Monday night.
Sargassum Forecast from October 27, 2020 to November 04, 2020:
There is the chance that a few Sargassum mats could impact local beaches in the coming days but impacts are expected to remain minimal to moderate. San Pedro has a medium probability and a moderate expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook:
At 6:00 am, the center of Tropical Storm Eta was located near latitude 14.9N, longitude 76.7W or about 215 miles south of Kingston, Jamaica and was moving westward at 15mph, with maximum sustained winds near 40 mph.The National Meteorological Service of Belize is closely monitoring this system.
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The Caribbean Sea
The center of Tropical Storm ETA, at 01/0300 UTC, is near 15.0N
74.2W. This position is also about 235 nm/435 km to the SE of
Kingston in Jamaica, and about 520 nm/965 km to the E of Cabo
Gracias A Dios that is along the border of Honduras and
Nicaragua. ETA is moving toward the W, or 275 degrees, 13 knots.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb. The maximum
sustained wind speeds are 35 knots with gusts to 45 knots. A
tropical wave is along 78W/79W, from 22N in Cuba southward. The
wave is moving westward 10 to 15 knots. The monsoon trough is
along 10N/11N from 73W in Colombia beyond Costa Rica.
Precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong from
14N to 17N between 71W and 76W. Numerous strong is from 11N to
14N between 71W and 73W, from La Peninsula de la Guajira of
Colombia into the Caribbean Sea. Other widely scattered moderate
to isolated strong in clusters covers the rest of the Caribbean
Sea from 20N southward between 63W and 84W. A stationary front
curves through NW Cuba toward the western sections of Honduras.
Precipitation: isolated moderate from 84W westward in the NW
corner of the Caribbean Sea.
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Eta, located over the central Caribbean Sea.
Tropical Storm Eta was just under 300 hundred miles southeast of Jamaica with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph. The system is then forecast to intensify into a hurricane by Monday. A landfall as a Category 1 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale (maximum sustained winds 74-95 mph) in Nicaragua is expected on Tuesday. Rainfall of 10-15 inches with a maximum of 30 inches is expected.
Further tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
There is a steady movement of cool air, and that includes the Caribbean winds, coming down from the north, together with a bit of almost stationary high level clouds, is giving a heavy cloudy morning for central Belize, a fair bit of cloud in the north, but largely sunshine in the south. The cool air from the north over land and the Caribbean air from the north are clashing just off the coast, with pockets of rain. The storm area, well to the east of Honduras is still not particularly well collected together, I am not seeing it as a Storm as yet, but they have declared it as TROPICAL STORM ETA but they do agree with me, its centre is no a little further south than yesterday. I can't help feeling, that the artificially bumped its winds up to 40mph for the last 12 hours, so they can call it a TS, but they still think it will be Cat.1 when it gets to Honduras. It appears to have a lot of rain to its north, so it is possible, we will get significant rain from it.
Looks like today will be rather mixed, sunshine in the south, heavy in central this morning and thin, high cloud in the north, so thee could be isolated rain in parts of central.
Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last night min. 24°C 76°F Yesterday max. 30°C 87°F Yesterday Rain 2.6 mm ( 0.1")
Present Condition: Partly cloudy. Relatively moist and unstable conditions prevail.
24hr Forecast: Cloudy spells with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms over southern coastal areas and over the sea. Showers and thunderstorms will be isolated elsewhere.
Outlook: A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue to affect the sea and southern coastal areas on Monday, increasing on Monday night.
Residents in San Ignacio are advised to exercise caution as the low-level bridge may become inundated. A small craft caution is in effect for occasional gusty winds and locally rough seas near heavy showers and thunderstorms.
The large swellups over Roatan Island are also not the tropical storm but are being made significantly more active, by some of the high level winds associated with the storm. The TROPICAL STORM ETA is shown in the two lower pictures. Note, how they expect it to come up from Honduras, through the south of Belize, as a rain event.
Sunday morning and I need to run to our local shop...Bonito's - for onions and Diet Coke and maybe some honey-BBQ Frito twirls. If you haven’t been to the island recently or this far north - you might be surprised by the roads, cleared lots and small homes around 9miles north Ambergris Caye. There is a Street about to be filled JUST to the south of Bonitos store. 1. He’s excited about it. 2. He’s already made a road sign. The first in San Pedro Norte Photos by San Pedro Scoop