Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Present Condition: Mostly cloudy this morning, especially in the south. A gradual increase in moisture and very unstable conditions expected over the area later today and over the next several days due to the approach of Hurricane Eta to Central America.
Advisories: *Small craft caution in effect for gusty winds and rough seas with a small craft warning likely by this evening. A flood watch is in effect for the Belize, Cayo, Stann Creek and Toledo districts.*
Cloudy skies with a few showers, periods of rain and thunderstorms mainly over southern, some coastal and offshore areas this morning, increasing and spreading over most areas this afternoon and tonight.
Winds: N-NW, 10-20 kts , Gusty-Squally Sea State: Moderate-Rough
Waves: 5-7 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 84
For Tuesday and Tuesday night is for several outbreaks of showers, periods of rain and thunderstorms over the area, expecially along the coastal and over the sea.
Sargassum Forecast from October 27, 2020 to November 04, 2020:
There is the chance that a few Sargassum mats could impact local beaches in the coming days but impacts are expected to remain minimal to moderate. San Pedro has a medium probability and a moderate expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook:
At 6:00 am, the center of newly formed Hurricane Eta was located near latitude 14.8N, longitude 81.1W or about 140 miles East of Cabo Gracias on the Nicaragua/Hondura Border. Eta was moving westward at 10mph, with maximum sustained winds of 90 mph. The National Meteorological Service of Belize continues to closely monitor the progress of this system and residents are advised to be prepared and listen to official advise from the MET service and NEMO.
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The Caribbean Sea
Attention remains focused on Tropical Storm Eta forecast to
strengthen into a hurricane tonight. With this tropical
cyclone now in the Caribbean Sea, the all time record of twenty-
eight named storms established in 2005 has been tied.
In the eastern Caribbean, fresh to locally strong trade winds
dominates the area with seas of 6-8 ft. Abundant cloudiness with
embedded showers are also noted.
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Eta, located over the western Caribbean Sea a few hundred miles from the coast of Nicaragua.
Eta is forecast to continue to strengthen, and it could become a major hurricane before it reaches the northeastern coast of Nicaragua early Tuesday, where a Hurricane Warning is in effect. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for a portion of the northeastern coast of Honduras.
Eta could be Cat.2 as it gets to the Nicaragua coast, but be a very wet Depression when it gets near to southern Belize. It is likely to cause significant rain in Belize on Tuesday.
Further tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
This Storm in now HURRICANE ETA at Cat.2 and they reckon it will be Cat.3 at landfall tomorrow, Tuesday evening. They still think it will dip south, but I am not seeing that myself. But which ever way it goes, it is going to bring a lot of RAIN to Belize, most of Belize, I think mainly central and south Belize. In the mean time the cool air from the north, combined with the Caribbean wind from the north, clashing with some areas of high level winds and clods to cause rain, presently off shore, but probably moving inland later today.
Looks as if today will start a mixture of cloud and sunshine, then change to cloud and rain, some heavy in places later today.
Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last night min. 23°C 73°F Yesterday max. 31°C 88°F Yesterday Rain 33 mm ( 1.3")
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 2, 2020
#545935 11/02/2010:33 AM11/02/2010:33 AM
Cloud patches but probably still no rain at present. The cloud patches over the sea, coming down from the north are now being helped down by the Storm. The high level cloud coming up from the south and Honduras are beginning to be associated with the Storm.
Present Condition: Mostly cloudy. A gradual increase in moisture and instability is expected to start today and conditions will continue deteriorating over the next several days, as Hurricane Eta approaches Central America.
24hr Forecast: Cloudy skies with a few showers, periods of rain and thunderstorms will affect most places this afternoon. Activity will increase tonight into tomorrow morning, especially along the coast and offshore.
Outlook: Frequent showers, periods of rain and thunderstorms, especially along the coast and offshore Tuesday afternoon, increasing with near gale force winds tuesday night into Wednesday morning.
*A small craft warning is in effect for coastal waters of Belize. Operators of small craft should seek safe harbor. *A flood watch is in effct for the Cayo, Belize, Stann Creek and Toledo districts.
REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas and downstream to the coast levels are below nomial and falling. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia below normal and falling levels exists.
REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels are below the spillways at Chalillo, Mollejon and Vaca facilities. At San Ignacio, levels are below the low-level bridge and falling. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town levels are near normal and falling. On the BELIZE RIVER, at Banana Bank and Double Run levels are non-nal and rising. On the CROOKED TREE LAGOON levels are below the causeway and steady.
REGION 11 - River levels on the SIBUN RIVER near Freetown Sibun is normal and falling. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village is normal and steady. The SITrEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is near normal and steady. The Swasey and Bladen branch of the MONKEY RIVER levels are near normal and steady. Levels on the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls are near normal and rising. The MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan is near normal and steady. Levels on the TEMASH RIVER near Crique Sarco are near normal steady.
REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER levels are normal and steady.
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR RIVERS, STREAMS and WATERWAYS IN THE SOUTH OF THE COUNTRY
REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas levels are expected to remain at normal levels for today increasing by tomorrow evening. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia below normal levels are expected to continue for today increasing tomorrow evening.
REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels are expected to increase over the next few days. At San Ignacio, levels are expected to increase over the next few days. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town above normal levels are expected to continue for today and increase minimally by tomorrow afternoon. On the BELIZE RIVER at Banana Bank and Double Run normal and rising levels are expected to become steady today, increasing again by tomorrow evening. On the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, levels are expected to remain below the causeway over the next few days.
REGION 11 - River levels on the SIBUN RIVER near Freetown Sibun are expected to increase minimally by tomorrow evening. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village are expected to remain at normal levels for today and tomorrow. In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS levels are expected to begin to increase tomorrow afternoon and reach FLOOD STAGE by tomorrow night into Wednesday morning. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan levels are expected to increase over the next few clays. Levels on the TEMASH RIVER near Crique Sarco levels are expected to increase over the next few days.
REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER above normal levels are expected over the next few days.
The next Flood Report and Forecast will be issued on Tuesday November 3, 2020 at 12 pm.
Monday afternoon view from Corozal Bay. These pictures were taken before the rain and after the rain. Photos by Belize Scoop