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Belize Weather Forecast: November 4, 2020 #545978
11/04/20 06:09 AM
11/04/20 06:09 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,379
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: November 4, 2020


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Very cloudy this morning. Hurricane Eta over Central America is supporting gusty, very moist and unstable conditions over our area.
Advisories: *A Small Craft Warning is in effect for coastal waters of the country. Operators of small crafts should seek safe harbor. A Flood Warning is in effect for the entire country, especially the Belize, Cayo, Stann Creek and Toledo Districts.*
24-hour forecast: Skies will be cloudy to overcast today and tonight. There will be numerous thunderstorms, showers and periods of rain across the country, with the bulk of rainfall activity expected over the Belize, Cayo, Stann Creek and Toledo districts. Winds will also be strong and gusty.
Winds: N-NE, 25-35 kts, Gusty
Sea State: Rough-Very Rough
Waves: 8-12 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
Outlook: For Thursday and Thursday night is for continuing cloudy skies along with frequent outbreaks of showers, periods of rain and thunderstorms across the country and especially offshore during the night.
Sargassum Forecast from October 27, 2020 to November 04, 2020: There is the chance that a few Sargassum mats could impact local beaches in the coming days but impacts are expected to remain minimal to moderate. San Pedro has a medium probability and a moderate expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: At 6:00am Tropical Storm Eta was located near latitude 13.8N, longitude 85.0W, or about 90 miles west of Puerto Cabezas, Nicaragua. This system will continue to affect Belize with heavy rainfall that are likely to produce flooding, as well as strong winds today through to early Thursday. The National Meteorological Service of Belize continues to closely monitor the progress of this system and residents are advised to be prepared and listen to official information from the NMS and NEMO. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

Tropical Storm Eta is in the Caribbean. Convection in the western Caribbean west of 73W is due to Hurricane Eta and its interaction with an old lingering frontal zone. Clusters of scattered moderate to strong convection are over E Cuba and Hispaniola. An ASCAT pass showed moderate to fresh trades across the eastern and central Caribbean, east of 75W.

Outside of Eta, scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue to cover portions of the W Caribbean through the end of the week, while strong to near gale NE winds remain over the NW Caribbean through early Thu. In the central and E Caribbean, the trades will diminish by late Thu and remain weaker than usual for the next several days.


  High Low
Coastal 26° C
78° F
22° C
72° F
Inland 26° C
78° F
20° C
68° F
Hills 20° C
68° F
17° C
62° F
TIDES:
Low: 6:31 AM High: 12:44 PM
Low: 5:42 PM High: 11:40 PM
Sunrise: 5:52 AM Moonset: 9:12 AM
Sunset: 5:19 PM Moonrise: 8:31 PM




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 4, 2020 [Re: Marty] #545979
11/04/20 06:10 AM
11/04/20 06:10 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,379
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Eta, located inland over Nicaragua.

Tropical Storm Eta is centered near 13.8N 84.7W at 04/0900 UTC or 80 nm W of Puerto Cabezas Nicaragua moving W at 7 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 60 kt with gusts to 75 kt. Numerous strong convection is east of the center over the Caribbean from 13N-20N between 77W-83W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is elsewhere from 13N-20N between 75W-89W. A faster west-northwestward motion is expected through Thursday morning. A turn toward the north, and then northeast is forecast Thursday night and Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Eta is expected to move over northern Nicaragua through this morning, and then move across the central portions of Honduras through Thursday morning. The system is forecast to emerge over the northwestern Caribbean Sea on Friday. Continued weakening will occur while Eta moves over land during the next couple of days, and Eta should become a tropical depression tonight. Rainfall will lead to catastrophic, life-threatening flash flooding and river flooding, along with landslides in areas of higher terrain of Central America. Flash flooding and river flooding will be possible across Nicaragua, Honduras, Guatemala, Belize, Panama, Costa, El Salvador, southeastern Mexico, El Salvador, Jamaica, southern Haiti, and the Cayman Islands.

Further tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

For more on Hurricane Eta, click here

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For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 4, 2020 [Re: Marty] #545980
11/04/20 06:52 AM
11/04/20 06:52 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 12,991
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
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elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have hard rain and a heavy overcast sky. The wind is from the North at 24 mph. Today's expected high temperature is 78 f.

nov 4th.jpg

White Sands Dive Shops Daily Blog
http://scubalessonsbelize.blogspot.com/
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 4, 2020 [Re: Marty] #545982
11/04/20 09:07 AM
11/04/20 09:07 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,379
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
Well Tropical Storm Eta has, in my opinion, broken up and no longer even has storm force winds at its centre, the cloud around most of Nicaragua and south Honduras is breaking up, so they will probably not be getting all that much more rain. However, there are two very large, very active rain areas, the large area in way out in the Caribbean, between Jamaica and Honduras. The nearer area to Belize is rather fragmented and continually changing, it generally has one area over most of eastern Belize and the other area presently off shore, but likely to move in, as the storm rotational centre continues to move across Nicaragua today.

Looks as if all Belize will be under heavy cloud most of the day and any part of could get significant patchy rain, some heavy.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last night min. 22°C 72°F Yesterday max. 24°C 76°F Yesterday Rain 47.6 mm ( 1.9")

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 4, 2020 [Re: Marty] #545983
11/04/20 11:14 AM
11/04/20 11:14 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,379
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
The whole of Belize is covered by cloud, both low level and high level, most coming down from the NNE. Very high cloud is going the opposite direction.. . Cool Surface winds are now also from the NNE Rain on and off at any time.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 4, 2020 [Re: Marty] #545987
11/04/20 12:10 PM
11/04/20 12:10 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,379
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Present Condition: Cloudy, windy and rainy as Tropical storm Eta continues to affect the region. It's pouring rain in San Pedro.

24hr Forecast: Cloudy to overcast skies with numerous showers, thunderstorms and periods of rain especially affecting the Belize, Cayo, Stann Creek and Toledo districts. These will be accompanied by strong gusty winds.

Outlook: Between Thursday afternoon and Friday midday is for frequent showers, periods of rain and thunderstorms around the country.

A Small Craft Warning is in effect for coastal waters of the country. Operators of small crafts should seek safe harbor. A Flood Warning is in effect for the entire country, especially the Belize, Cayo, Stann Creek and Toledo Districts.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 4, 2020 [Re: Marty] #545994
11/04/20 02:14 PM
11/04/20 02:14 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,379
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
That very active ITCZ type or hurricane outer band activity in the Caribbean near Jamaica, is reducing and a new very active area developing just off Nicaragua . . . If I did not know better, I would say it looks like a new storm forming. Also it is not clear what is happening close to Belize and Honduras, not much change, just continual rain type high clouds.

[Linked Image]

Flood Report and Forecast for November 4, 2020 from the National Hydrological Service

River Conditions

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, Santa C111Z, Sari Antonio. San Roman, and Douglas and downstream to the coast levels are below normal and falling. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia levels are below normal and falling.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels at Mollejon and Vaca facilities are above the spillway. the Chalillo reservoir is below the spillway by only one meter. At San Ignacio, levels are about 3.5m above the low-level bridge and rising. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town Flood levels are 0.20m below the Historical Keith stage and .036m below the Historical Mitch stage, this station continues to rise. On the BELIZE RIVER, at Banana Bank and Double Run levels are approaching Flood Stage and rising. On the CROOKED TREE LAGOON levels are below the causeway and rising steadily.

REGION 11 - River levels on the SIBUN RIVER near Freetown Sibun is above normal and rising steadily. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village is near Flood stage. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is approaching Flood stage and rising steadily. On the Swasey and Blades branch of the MONKEY RIVER levels are above normal rising slowly. Levels on the RIO GRANDE at Sari Pedro Columbia and Big Falls are near above normal and rising. The MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan is above normal and rising. Levels on the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco is above normal and rising.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER levels are near normal and steady.

FLOOD FORECAST

A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR RIVERS. STREAMS. CREEKS and WATERWAYS IN THE SOUTII. WEST, and CENTRA OF THE COUNTRY AND ALSO THE BELIZE RIVER (especially the Iguana Creek. and Belize River Valley area)

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek levels shows a minimal rise, at Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas and downstream to the coast levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia levels are expected increasing to above nonnal levels. Residents are advised that Rivers may not be at Flood Stage but the CREEKS and STREAMS may reach FLOOD stage.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels are expected to exceed its spillway at Chalillo facility and above spillway levels will continue for all reservoir facilities over the next few days. At Sari Ignacio, Flood levels are expected to continue over the next few days. 011 the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town Flood levels are expected to continue to rise. On the BELIZE RIVER at Banana Bank and Double Run levels are expected to continue to rise and reach Flood Stage. On the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, levels are expected to continue to rise.

REGION 11 - Increasing river levels on the SIBUN RIVER near Freetown Sibun are expected to continue over the next few days. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village are expected to rise and reach Flood Stage. In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS levels are expected to increase and exceed FLOOD STAGE. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan Flood levels are expected to reach Flood Stage. Levels on the TEMASH RIVER near Crique Sarco are expected to reach Flood levels. RESIDENTS ESPECIALLY IN WATERSHEDS ON THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUN MAINS - front North Stann Creek to Sarstoon River are ADVISED THAT RIVERS MAY RISE SIGNIFICANTLY this evening into the night. THESE RIVERS ALSO MAY RISE RAPIDLY.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER Flood stage are expected over the next few days.

The next Flood Report and Forecast will be issued on Friday November 6, 2020 at 12 pm.

==========

Cat 4 Hurricane Eta is now a tropical depression and to our south - heres today’s high tide...around 1pm. Still getting a bunch of rain. The wading birds are loving it. Photo by San Pedro Scoop

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Eta is making Ambergris Caye very wet as you can see on Sunflower st. San Pablo area. Photo by Tacogirl

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Stormy day! It's made for an angry reef, crazy high tides and a ton of rain (which is ongoing and likely to be with us for days still). Photos by Karen Brodie
Click photos for more pictures!



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