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Belize Weather Forecast: November 5, 2020 #546005
11/05/20 06:08 AM
11/05/20 06:08 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,307
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: November 5, 2020


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Very cloudy this morning. Moist and unstable conditions continue to affect the country.
Advisories: *A Flood Warning is in effect for the entire country, especially the Belize, Cayo, Stann Creek and Toledo Districts. A Small Craft Warning is in effect for coastal waters of the country. Operators of small crafts should seek safe harbor.*
24-hour forecast: Cloudy to overcast with frequent outbreaks of showers, periods of rain and thunderstorms.
Winds: E-NE, 15-25 kts , Gusty
Sea State: Rough-Very Rough
Waves: 6-9 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 84
Outlook: For Friday is for some showers, periods of rain and thunderstorms, gradually decreasing during Friday night.
Sargassum Forecast from October 27, 2020 to November 04, 2020: There is the chance that a few Sargassum mats could impact local beaches in the coming days but impacts are expected to remain minimal to moderate. San Pedro has a medium probability and a moderate expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: At 3:00am Tropical Depression Eta was located near latitude 14.5N, longitude 87.0W, or about 90 miles south of La Ceiba, Honduras. This system will continue to affect Belize with heavy rainfall that are producing flooding, as well as strong winds today. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

Tropical Depression ETA continues to produce heavy rains and life-threatening flooding to sections of Central America. The center of Tropical Depression ETA, at 05/0900 UTC, is inland over Honduras near 14.5N 87.0W. ETA is moving toward the WNW, or 300 degrees, at 7 kt. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb. The maximum sustained winds are 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Precipitation: scattered to numerous strong is from 150 nm to 360 nm from the center in the E semicircle, in the coastal waters from Honduras to Costa Rica; and from 150 nm to 250 nm from the center in the NW quadrant in Honduras, Belize, and Guatemala. Scattered moderate to isolate/widely scattered strong is within 180 nm of SW Cuba. Other isolated moderate to locally strong is elsewhere, from Hispaniola westward, including in Central America. Rainfall may cause catastrophic, life-threatening flash flooding and river flooding, along with landslides in areas of higher terrain of Central America. Flash flooding and river flooding are possible in Nicaragua, Honduras, Guatemala, Belize, Panama, Costa Rica, El Salvador, and southeastern Mexico.

Tropical Depression Eta will become a remnant low and move to 15.0N 87.8W this afternoon, 16.2N 87.8W Fri morning, strengthen to a tropical storm near 17.4N 86.3W Fri afternoon, 18.5N 84.7W Sat morning, 19.6N 82.9W Sat afternoon, 21.0N 81.0W Sun morning, and change little in intensity as it moves to 23.5N 79.5W early Mon. The remnant low of Tropical Depression Eta will re- intensify into a tropical cyclone on Friday in the NW Caribbean. Tropical storm conditions are possible south of Cuba in the NW Caribbean this weekend.


  High Low
Coastal 26° C
78° F
22° C
72° F
Inland 26° C
78° F
20° C
68° F
Hills 20° C
68° F
17° C
62° F
TIDES:
Low: 7:17 AM High: 1:37 PM
Low: 6:18 PM High: 12:22 AM (Fri)
Sunrise: 5:53 AM Moonset: 10:05 AM
Sunset: 5:19 PM Moonrise: 9:23 PM




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Centers Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 5, 2020 [Re: Marty] #546006
11/05/20 06:12 AM
11/05/20 06:12 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,307
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Eta, located inland over Honduras.

Tropical Depression ETA continues to produce heavy rains and life-threatening flooding to sections of Central America. The center of Tropical Depression ETA, at 05/0900 UTC, is inland over Honduras near 14.5N 87.0W. ETA is moving toward the WNW, or 300 degrees, at 7 kt. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb. The maximum sustained winds are 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Precipitation: scattered to numerous strong is from 150 nm to 360 nm from the center in the E semicircle, in the coastal waters from Honduras to Costa Rica; and from 150 nm to 250 nm from the center in the NW quadrant in Honduras, Belize, and Guatemala. Scattered moderate to isolate/widely scattered strong is within 180 nm of SW Cuba. Other isolated moderate to locally strong is elsewhere, from Hispaniola westward, including in Central America.

Further tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

For more on Tropical Depression Eta, click here

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 5, 2020 [Re: Marty] #546014
11/05/20 09:35 AM
11/05/20 09:35 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,307
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
As you might expect, it is all a bit complex. There are quite a few ITCZ type swellups, generally in a ring around where the low pressure area is. ITCZ swellups only last a short time, 20 minutes to an hour or so at the same time, collapse, and that then triggers another area to swellup. So the main concentration of high activity, keeps changing, but generally, in this case, in a 200 mile ring around the depression centre. The weather people concentrate on the low pressure centre, I concentrate on where the activity is, and where it will effect us and our weather.

Looks as if most of today will continue to be heavy cloud, with swellup patches any where at any time, presently in central and southern coastal areas, but these are continually changing. That accumulated rain prediction chart does not, to me, look correct. I may be wrong, but I think the worst of the rain was yesterday.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last night min. 23C 74F Yesterday max. 24C 75F Yesterday Rain 50 mm (2.0")

For more on Tropical Depression Eta, click here

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 5, 2020 [Re: Marty] #546019
11/05/20 12:01 PM
11/05/20 12:01 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,307
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Present Condition: Cloudy, rainy and windy. Moist and relatively unstable conditions prevail over the area as Tropical Depression Eta moves across Honduras.

24hr Forecast: Cloudy to overcast skies with some showers, periods of rain and a few thunderstorms over most areas but especially over southern and central areas of the country.

Outlook: Skies will continue mostly cloudy with some showers, periods of rain and a few thunderstorms on Friday afternoon, decreasing on Friday night and becoming generally isolated by Saturday morning.

A Flood Warning is in effect for the entire country, especially the Belize, Cayo, Stann Creek and Toledo Districts. A Small Craft Warning is in effect for coastal waters of the country. Operators of small crafts should seek safe harbor.

For more on Tropical Depression Eta, click here

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 5, 2020 [Re: Marty] #546020
11/05/20 12:05 PM
11/05/20 12:05 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,307
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
We got at least 10 inches of rain last night...24 hours of rain soaked yard went from sand to this. Jeff walking through dogs just now.
And then walk with Elsie...it starts pouring. Photo by San Pedro Scoop
The sunglasses on my head is the optimist in me. (Jeff)

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

================

Wet conditions prevail over our Corozal area. Stay safe! Corozal Daily...


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 5, 2020 [Re: Marty] #546030
11/05/20 01:11 PM
11/05/20 01:11 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,307
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
[Linked Image]

A stormy week on Isla Bonita thanks to Hurricane Eta, now a tropical depression. From a walkabout my neighbourhood yesterday between downpours at high tide. This morning many islanders woke up to flooded yards. Well have a few days more of crazy seas and rain as the system moves back into the Caribbean Sea south east of Belize. Photos by Karen Brodie
Click photos for more pictures!

============

A Thursday afternoon from Corozal as ETA approaches this afternoon. Photo by Belize Scoop

[Linked Image]


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