General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS:
Present Condition: Very cloudy this morning. Moist and unstable conditions continue to affect the country.
Advisories: *A Flood Warning is in effect for the entire country, especially the Belize, Cayo, Stann Creek and Toledo Districts. A Small Craft Warning is in effect for coastal waters of the country. Operators of small crafts should seek safe harbor.*
24-hour forecast:
Cloudy to overcast with frequent outbreaks of showers, periods of rain and thunderstorms.
Winds: E-NE, 15-25 kts , Gusty Sea State: Rough-Very Rough
Waves: 6-9 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 84
Outlook:
For Friday is for some showers, periods of rain and thunderstorms, gradually decreasing during Friday night.
Sargassum Forecast from October 27, 2020 to November 04, 2020:
There is the chance that a few Sargassum mats could impact local beaches in the coming days but impacts are expected to remain minimal to moderate. San Pedro has a medium probability and a moderate expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook:
At 3:00am Tropical Depression Eta was located near latitude 14.5N, longitude 87.0W, or about 90 miles south of La Ceiba, Honduras. This system will continue to affect Belize with heavy rainfall that are producing flooding, as well as strong winds today.
Click for more...
Marine Conditions:
The Caribbean Sea
Tropical Depression ETA continues to produce heavy rains and
life-threatening flooding to sections of Central America. The
center of Tropical Depression ETA, at 05/0900 UTC, is inland
over Honduras near 14.5N 87.0W. ETA is moving toward the WNW, or
300 degrees, at 7 kt. The estimated minimum central pressure is
1006 mb. The maximum sustained winds are 25 kt with gusts to 35
kt. Precipitation: scattered to numerous strong is from 150 nm
to 360 nm from the center in the E semicircle, in the coastal
waters from Honduras to Costa Rica; and from 150 nm to 250 nm
from the center in the NW quadrant in Honduras, Belize, and
Guatemala. Scattered moderate to isolate/widely scattered strong
is within 180 nm of SW Cuba. Other isolated moderate to locally
strong is elsewhere, from Hispaniola westward, including in
Central America. Rainfall may cause catastrophic, life-threatening
flash flooding and river flooding, along with landslides in
areas of higher terrain of Central America. Flash flooding and
river flooding are possible in Nicaragua, Honduras, Guatemala,
Belize, Panama, Costa Rica, El Salvador, and southeastern Mexico.
Tropical Depression Eta will become a remnant low and move to
15.0N 87.8W this afternoon, 16.2N 87.8W Fri morning, strengthen
to a tropical storm near 17.4N 86.3W Fri afternoon, 18.5N 84.7W
Sat morning, 19.6N 82.9W Sat afternoon, 21.0N 81.0W Sun morning,
and change little in intensity as it moves to 23.5N 79.5W early
Mon. The remnant low of Tropical Depression Eta will re-
intensify into a tropical cyclone on Friday in the NW Caribbean.
Tropical storm conditions are possible south of Cuba in the NW
Caribbean this weekend.
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Eta, located inland over Honduras.
Tropical Depression ETA continues to produce heavy rains and life-threatening flooding to sections of Central America. The center of Tropical Depression ETA, at 05/0900 UTC, is inland over Honduras near 14.5N 87.0W. ETA is moving toward the WNW, or 300 degrees, at 7 kt. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb. The maximum sustained winds are 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Precipitation: scattered to numerous strong is from 150 nm to 360 nm from the center in the E semicircle, in the coastal waters from Honduras to Costa Rica; and from 150 nm to 250 nm from the center in the NW quadrant in Honduras, Belize, and Guatemala. Scattered moderate to isolate/widely scattered strong is within 180 nm of SW Cuba. Other isolated moderate to locally strong is elsewhere, from Hispaniola westward, including in Central America.
Further tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
As you might expect, it is all a bit complex. There are quite a few ITCZ type swellups, generally in a ring around where the low pressure area is. ITCZ swellups only last a short time, 20 minutes to an hour or so at the same time, collapse, and that then triggers another area to swellup. So the main concentration of high activity, keeps changing, but generally, in this case, in a 200 mile ring around the depression centre. The weather people concentrate on the low pressure centre, I concentrate on where the activity is, and where it will effect us and our weather.
Looks as if most of today will continue to be heavy cloud, with swellup patches any where at any time, presently in central and southern coastal areas, but these are continually changing. That accumulated rain prediction chart does not, to me, look correct. I may be wrong, but I think the worst of the rain was yesterday.
Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last night min. 23°C 74°F Yesterday max. 24°C 75°F Yesterday Rain 50 mm (2.0")
Present Condition: Cloudy, rainy and windy. Moist and relatively unstable conditions prevail over the area as Tropical Depression Eta moves across Honduras.
24hr Forecast: Cloudy to overcast skies with some showers, periods of rain and a few thunderstorms over most areas but especially over southern and central areas of the country.
Outlook: Skies will continue mostly cloudy with some showers, periods of rain and a few thunderstorms on Friday afternoon, decreasing on Friday night and becoming generally isolated by Saturday morning.
A Flood Warning is in effect for the entire country, especially the Belize, Cayo, Stann Creek and Toledo Districts. A Small Craft Warning is in effect for coastal waters of the country. Operators of small crafts should seek safe harbor.
We got at least 10 inches of rain last night...24 hours of rain soaked yard went from sand to this. Jeff walking through dogs just now. And then walk with Elsie...it starts pouring. Photo by San Pedro Scoop The sunglasses on my head is the optimist in me. (Jeff)
A stormy week on Isla Bonita thanks to Hurricane Eta, now a tropical depression. From a walkabout my neighbourhood yesterday between downpours at high tide. This morning many islanders woke up to flooded yards. We’ll have a few days more of crazy seas and rain as the system moves back into the Caribbean Sea south east of Belize. Photos by Karen Brodie Click photos for more pictures!
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A Thursday afternoon from Corozal as ETA approaches this afternoon. Photo by Belize Scoop
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General Situation:
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