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Belize Weather Forecast: November 15, 2020 #546243
11/15/20 06:05 AM
11/15/20 06:05 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,379
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: November 15, 2020


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly clear in the north, more clouds in the south. A relatively moist air mass dominates our weather.
Advisories: *A Flood Warning is in effect for communities in the Belize district. Residents in the Belize River Valley and downstream to the coast should remain vigilant as the rising flood waters move downstream to the coast.*
24-hour forecast: Sunny with a few cloudy spells today and cloudy at times tonight. Showers and thunderstorms will be isolated with a few more inland and south this afternoon; then mainly over southern, some coastal and offshore areas tonight.
Winds: N-NE, 5-10 kts
Sea State: Slight
Waves: 1-3 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 83
Outlook: A few showers, periods of rain and isolated thunderstorms mainly over central and southern areas on Monday. Then activity will affect mostly coastal and offshore areas Monday night along with gusty winds; while being isolated elsewhere.
Sargassum Forecast from November 10, 2020 to November 18, 2020: No significant impact from sargassum is expected during the next few days. San Pedro has a low probability and a minimal expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: At 6:00am, Hurricane Iota was centered near latitude 13.2N, longitude 77.8W, or about 240 miles east of Isla de Providencia Colombia. The National Meteorological Service of Belize is closely monitoring the progress of this system and there is the potential for more flooding over Belize in the coming week. At 3:00am, Tropical Depression Theta was centered near latitude 31.8N, longitude 18.3W, or about 650 miles SE of the Azores. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Hurricane Iota and the associated very heavy rainfall, located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea.

Outside of Iota, overnight scatterometer data showed gentle to moderate N-NE flow in the western Caribbean, with moderate to fresh trades E of 70W and fresh to strong between 70W-75W to the E of Iota. Fresh to strong NE flow was blowing across the approach to the Windward Passage, but these winds have likely diminished to moderate to fresh in the past few hours. Seas are mainly 2-4 ft in the NW Caribbean, and 3-6 ft E of 70W.

A cold front will move into the NW Caribbean by mid-week, stalling from eastern Cuba to the Gulf of Honduras Thu. Fresh to strong winds will follow the front, with very hazardous conditions possible near the Yucatan Channel. The front will weaken high pressure NE of the area, while Iota is forecast to have moved inland over Central America. This will allow for trades across the SW, central and eastern Caribbean to diminish to mainly moderate.


  High Low
Coastal 30° C
86° F
24° C
76° F
Inland 32° C
90° F
22° C
72° F
Hills 27° C
80° F
19° C
66° F
TIDES:
High: 10:23 AM Low: 3:40 PM
High: 9:38 PM Low: 4:58 AM (Mon)
Sunrise: 5:57 AM Moonrise: 6:20 AM
Sunset: 5:16 PM Moonset: 5:57 PM




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Centers Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm


Last edited by Marty; 11/16/20 05:56 AM.
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 15, 2020 [Re: Marty] #546244
11/15/20 06:06 AM
11/15/20 06:06 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,379
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Theta, located over the far eastern Atlantic, and on recently upgraded Hurricane Iota, located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea.

Hurricane Iota is centered near 13.1N 77.3W at 15/0900 UTC or 240 nm E of Isla De Providencia Colombia moving W at 5 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 70 kt with gusts to 85 kt. Rapid strengthening is expected during the next day or two, and Iota is forecast to be a major hurricane when it approaches Central America. Numerous moderate to strong convection is noted within 150 nm of the center of Iota, except within 210 nm in the SW quadrant. Scattered moderate to strong convection is noted elsewhere from 09N-16N between 72W-80W, and across the remainder of the area from 09N-14N between 69W-83W. Through Thursday, heavy rainfall from Iota will likely lead to life-threatening flash flooding and river flooding across portions of northern Colombia and Central America. Flooding and mudslides in Honduras and Nicaragua could be exacerbated by Hurricane Etas recent effects there, resulting in significant to potentially catastrophic impacts. Please refer to statements issued by your national meteorological service. Peak seas are currently around 18 ft, but are forecast to build significantly to greater than 30 ft as Iota increases to major hurricane strength.

Further tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

[Linked Image]

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For more on Hurricane Iota, click here

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 15, 2020 [Re: Marty] #546250
11/15/20 07:09 AM
11/15/20 07:09 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 12,991
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
.
elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning the wind is from the East at 6 mph creating a calm sea state around our barrier reef. We have a sunny day ahead with an expected high temperature of 86 f.

nov 15th.jpg

White Sands Dive Shops Daily Blog
http://scubalessonsbelize.blogspot.com/
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 15, 2020 [Re: Marty] #546251
11/15/20 09:29 AM
11/15/20 09:29 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,379
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
The storm has spun up fast over night and is now HURRICANE IOTAand has got very big. Right now Cat.1 but expected to rapidly increase to Cat.3 at Nicaragua land fall on Tuesday. It predicted land fall has been changing, and is now a little further north, the present predicted path could even pass Honduras and come straight to Belize. For more on Hurricane Iota, click here

[Linked Image]

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At present, there is not much happening around us. The easterly Caribbean winds are slow, only a few traces of high cloud around.

Looks as if today will be mainly sunny, with cloud patches building this afternoon, there could be the odd rain shower.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last night min. 24C 76F Yesterday 31C 88F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0")

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 15, 2020 [Re: Marty] #546256
11/15/20 02:20 PM
11/15/20 02:20 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,379
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Clouds building and some high level starting some clashing in the south.

[Linked Image]

Present Condition: Mostly clear. Generally fair weather prevails today. A relatively moist northeasterly airflow will continue over the area.

24hr Forecast: Sunny with a few cloudy spells during the daytime and partly cloudy to cloudy tonight. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms can be expected over southern and inland areas this afternoon, then mostly over central and southern parts of the country tonight and tomorrow morning, to also include a few periods of rain. Otherwise, showers and thunderstorms will be isolated.

Flood warning remains in effect for communities in the Belize district. Residents in the Belize River Valley and downstream to the coast should remain vigilant as the rising flood waters move downstream to the coast.

Outlook: Is for a few showers, periods of rain and isolated thunderstorms mostly over central and southern areas Monday afternoon and evening, then offshore and along coastal areas late Monday night and Tuesday morning, while winds will become moderate to gusty.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill



Beautiful day today.... Photo by San Pedro Scoop

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